Saanich—Gulf Islands

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Saanich—Gulf Islands is a federal electoral district in British Columbia, Canada, that has been represented in the House of Commons of Canada since 1988. It is named for its geographical location across the Gulf Islands and Saanich Peninsula in the Vancouver Island region.

Demographics

Panethnic groups in Saanich—Gulf Islands (2011−2021)
Panethnic
group
2021[1] 2016[2] 2011[3]
Pop. % Pop. % Pop. %
EuropeanTemplate:Efn 88,690 Script error: No such module "Percentage". 85,125 Script error: No such module "Percentage". 85,695 Script error: No such module "Percentage".
East AsianTemplate:Efn 8,705 Script error: No such module "Percentage". 8,175 Script error: No such module "Percentage". 6,740 Script error: No such module "Percentage".
Indigenous 4,825 Script error: No such module "Percentage". 4,675 Script error: No such module "Percentage". 3,885 Script error: No such module "Percentage".
South Asian 3,820 Script error: No such module "Percentage". 3,285 Script error: No such module "Percentage". 2,350 Script error: No such module "Percentage".
Southeast AsianTemplate:Efn 2,345 Script error: No such module "Percentage". 1,655 Script error: No such module "Percentage". 1,330 Script error: No such module "Percentage".
African 860 Script error: No such module "Percentage". 705 Script error: No such module "Percentage". 640 Script error: No such module "Percentage".
Latin American 785 Script error: No such module "Percentage". 530 Script error: No such module "Percentage". 490 Script error: No such module "Percentage".
Middle EasternTemplate:Efn 670 Script error: No such module "Percentage". 440 Script error: No such module "Percentage". 530 Script error: No such module "Percentage".
OtherTemplate:Efn 660 Script error: No such module "Percentage". 530 Script error: No such module "Percentage". 440 Script error: No such module "Percentage".
Total responses 111,360 Script error: No such module "Percentage". 105,110 Script error: No such module "Percentage". 102,085 Script error: No such module "Percentage".
Total population 113,541 Script error: No such module "Percentage". 107,339 Script error: No such module "Percentage". 104,285 Script error: No such module "Percentage".
Notes: Totals greater than 100% due to multiple origin responses.
Demographics based on 2012 Canadian federal electoral redistribution riding boundaries.
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More than 21 percent of Saanich—Gulf Islands' residents are immigrants, and more than 31 percent are older than 65, making this the riding with the third largest senior population in Canada. The riding has a median age of 52.4, making it the riding with the highest median age in Canada.[4] The average family income is $119,500; unemployment is 6.4 percent.

According to the 2021 Canadian census; 2013 representation

Languages: 82.3% English, 2.6% Mandarin, 1.8% Yue, 1.2% French, 1.2% German, 1.2% Punjabi
Religions (2021): 35.6% Christian (10.3% Catholic, 6.6% Anglican, 4.6% United Church, 1.3% Baptist, 1.1% Lutheran, 1.0% Presbyterian), 1.7% Sikh, 1.0% Buddhist, 58.3% No religion[5]
Median income (2020): $44,400
Average income (2020): $59,550

Geography

The riding of Saanich—Gulf Islands consists of the north part of the Municipality of Saanich, as well as the municipalities of Central Saanich, North Saanich, and Sidney on Vancouver Island. The district also includes a number of the southern Gulf Islands, including Salt Spring Island, the Pender Islands, Galiano Island, Mayne Island and Saturna Island. The district's southeastern border runs along the University of Victoria.

History

The electoral district was created in 1987 from Esquimalt—Saanich and Cowichan—Malahat—The Islands ridings.

The 2012 federal electoral boundaries redistribution concluded that the electoral boundaries of Saanich—Gulf Islands should be adjusted, and a modified electoral district of the same name will be contested in future elections.[6] The redefined Saanich—Gulf Islands loses a small portion of its current territory in the urbanized portion of Saanich to the new district of Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke. These new boundaries were legally defined in the 2013 representation order, which came into effect upon the call of the 42nd Canadian federal election, which was held October 19, 2015.[7]

Political geography

Script error: No such module "Unsubst". Despite the usually close vote between the various right-leaning parties, the Canadian Alliance, Reform and Conservative parties consistently won the district from 1993 to 2011. From 1953 to 2011, the riding and its predecessor, Esquimalt—Saanich, were only won by a non-conservative candidate two times: 1968 by Liberal David Anderson, and in 1988 by New Democrat Lynn Hunter. In each election from 2011 onwards, it has been won by Green party leader Elizabeth May, who in 2015 won every poll-district within the constituency. The 1988 Conservative loss is attributed to vote splitting between the Progressive Conservatives and the new Reform party. Despite a Conservative majority in 2011, the Greens won their very first elected seat here and it went on to become their only stronghold in the country. The peninsular portion of the riding is more competitive, with significant support for all parties except the Liberals. However, the Gulf Islands have probably the strongest Green support in the country, with many voters being environmentally conscious, moderate retirees, as well as a notable artist population. Even with the Green collapse nationally in 2021, May held on with 37%, although it was her lowest voteshare in the riding.

Riding associations

Riding associations are the local branches of political parties:

Party Association name President HQ city

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Saanich--Gulf Islands Conservative Association Michael Dickerson Central Saanich

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Saanich--Gulf Islands Green Party Association Thomas Niemann Saanich

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Saanich--Gulf Islands Federal Liberal Association Sulochana Saravanabawan Saanich

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Saanich--Gulf Islands Federal NDP Riding Association Elroy Deimert Sidney

Members of Parliament

This riding has elected the following members of Parliament:

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Current member of Parliament

As of 2024, the district's member of Parliament is Green Party leader Elizabeth May. She was first elected in 2011 and was the first Green MP to be elected to the House of Commons.[8] She defeated Conservative incumbent and cabinet minister Gary Lunn.[9][10][11]

Election results

Graph of election results in Saanich—Gulf Islands (1988-, minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)

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Template:2025 Canadian federal election/Saanich—Gulf Islands

2021 federal election redistributed results[12]
Party Vote %
Template:Canadian party colour |   Green 25,136 35.77
Template:Canadian party colour |   Conservative 15,915 22.65
Template:Canadian party colour |   New Democratic 13,738 19.55
Template:Canadian party colour |   Liberal 13,216 18.81
Template:Canadian party colour |   People's 2,115 3.01
Template:Canadian party colour |   Others 156 0.22

Template:2021 Canadian federal election/Saanich—Gulf Islands Template:2019 Canadian federal election/Saanich—Gulf Islands Template:2015 Canadian federal election/Saanich—Gulf Islands

2011 federal election redistributed results[13]
Party Vote %
Template:Canadian party colour |   Green 28,993 46.42
Template:Canadian party colour |   Conservative 22,785 36.48
Template:Canadian party colour |   New Democratic 6,898 11.04
Template:Canadian party colour |   Liberal 3,787 6.06

Template:2011 Canadian federal election/Saanich—Gulf Islands Template:2008 Canadian federal election/Saanich—Gulf Islands Template:2006 Canadian federal election/Saanich—Gulf Islands Template:2004 Canadian federal election/Saanich—Gulf Islands Template:2000 Canadian federal election/Saanich—Gulf Islands Template:1997 Canadian federal election/Saanich—Gulf Islands

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See also

References

Notes

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  13. Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections

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External links

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