Roy Amara

Template:Short description Script error: No such module "Template wrapper".Script error: No such module "Check for clobbered parameters". Roy Charles Amara (7 April 1925^[1] – 31 December 2007^[2]) was an American researcher, scientist, futurist^[3] and president of the Institute for the Future best known for coining Amara's law on the effect of technology. He held a BS in Management, an MS in the Arts and Sciences, and a PhD in Systems Engineering,^[4] and also worked at the Stanford Research Institute.

Amara's law

His adage about forecasting the effects of technology has become known as Amara's law and states:

We tend to overestimate the effect of a technology in the short run and underestimate the effect in the long run.^[5]^[6]^[7]

The law has been used in explaining nanotechnology.^[8]

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Script error: No such module "citation/CS1". Published in Conference proceedings 1978 Winter Simulation Conference (WSC 1978). Pdf.^[9]
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