Comonotonicity

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In probability theory, comonotonicity mainly refers to the perfect positive dependence between the components of a random vector, essentially saying that they can be represented as increasing functions of a single random variable. In two dimensions it is also possible to consider perfect negative dependence, which is called countermonotonicity.

Comonotonicity is also related to the comonotonic additivity of the Choquet integral.[1]

The concept of comonotonicity has applications in financial risk management and actuarial science, see e.g. Script error: No such module "Footnotes". and Script error: No such module "Footnotes".. In particular, the sum of the components X1 + X2 + · · · + XnScript error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". is the riskiest if the joint probability distribution of the random vector (X1, X2, . . . , Xn)Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". is comonotonic.[2] Furthermore, the αScript error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters".-quantile of the sum equals the sum of the αScript error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters".-quantiles of its components, hence comonotonic random variables are quantile-additive.[3][4] In practical risk management terms it means that there is minimal (or eventually no) variance reduction from diversification.

For extensions of comonotonicity, see Script error: No such module "Footnotes". and Script error: No such module "Footnotes"..

Definitions

Comonotonicity of subsets of RnScript error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters".

A subset SScript error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". of RnScript error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". is called comonotonic[5] (sometimes also nondecreasing[6]) if, for all (x1, x2, . . . , xn)Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". and (y1, y2, . . . , yn)Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". in SScript error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". with xi < yiScript error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". for some i ∈ {1, 2, . . . , nScript error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters".}, it follows that xjyjScript error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". for all j ∈ {1, 2, . . . , nScript error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters".}.

This means that SScript error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". is a totally ordered set.

Comonotonicity of probability measures on RnScript error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters".

Let μScript error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". be a probability measure on the nScript error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters".-dimensional Euclidean space RnScript error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". and let FScript error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". denote its multivariate cumulative distribution function, that is

F(x1,,xn):=μ({(y1,,yn)ny1x1,,ynxn}),(x1,,xn)n.

Furthermore, let F1, . . . , FnScript error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". denote the cumulative distribution functions of the nScript error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". one-dimensional marginal distributions of μScript error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters"., that means

Fi(x):=μ({(y1,,yn)nyix}),x

for every i ∈ {1, 2, . . . , nScript error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters".}. Then μScript error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". is called comonotonic, if

F(x1,,xn)=mini{1,,n}Fi(xi),(x1,,xn)n.

Note that the probability measure μScript error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". is comonotonic if and only if its support SScript error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". is comonotonic according to the above definition.[7]

Comonotonicity of RnScript error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters".-valued random vectors

An RnScript error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters".-valued random vector X = (X1, . . . , Xn)Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". is called comonotonic, if its multivariate distribution (the pushforward measure) is comonotonic, this means

Pr(X1x1,,Xnxn)=mini{1,,n}Pr(Xixi),(x1,,xn)n.

Properties

An RnScript error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters".-valued random vector X = (X1, . . . , Xn)Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". is comonotonic if and only if it can be represented as

(X1,,Xn)=d(FX11(U),,FXn1(U)),

where =dScript error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". stands for equality in distribution, on the right-hand side are the left-continuous generalized inverses[8] of the cumulative distribution functions FX1, . . . , FXnScript error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters"., and UScript error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". is a uniformly distributed random variable on the unit interval. More generally, a random vector is comonotonic if and only if it agrees in distribution with a random vector where all components are non-decreasing functions (or all are non-increasing functions) of the same random variable.[9]

Upper bounds

Upper Fréchet–Hoeffding bound for cumulative distribution functions

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Let X = (X1, . . . , Xn)Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". be an RnScript error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters".-valued random vector. Then, for every i ∈ {1, 2, . . . , nScript error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters".},

Pr(X1x1,,Xnxn)Pr(Xixi),(x1,,xn)n,

hence

Pr(X1x1,,Xnxn)mini{1,,n}Pr(Xixi),(x1,,xn)n,

with equality everywhere if and only if (X1, . . . , Xn)Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". is comonotonic.

Upper bound for the covariance

Let (X, Y)Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". be a bivariate random vector such that the expected values of XScript error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters"., YScript error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". and the product XYScript error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". exist. Let (X*, Y*)Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". be a comonotonic bivariate random vector with the same one-dimensional marginal distributions as (X, Y)Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters"..[note 1] Then it follows from Höffding's formula for the covariance[10] and the upper Fréchet–Hoeffding bound that

Cov(X,Y)Cov(X*,Y*)

and, correspondingly,

E[XY]E[X*Y*]

with equality if and only if (X, Y)Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". is comonotonic.[11]

Note that this result generalizes the rearrangement inequality and Chebyshev's sum inequality.

See also

Notes

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  1. (X*, Y*)Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". always exists, take for example (FX−1(U), FY −1(U))Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters"., see section Properties above.

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Citations

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  5. Script error: No such module "Footnotes".
  6. See Script error: No such module "Footnotes". for the case n = 2Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters".
  7. See Script error: No such module "Footnotes". for the case n = 2Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters".
  8. Script error: No such module "Footnotes".
  9. Script error: No such module "Footnotes".
  10. Script error: No such module "Footnotes".
  11. Script error: No such module "Footnotes".

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References

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