2010 Oklahoma gubernatorial election
Template:Short description Script error: No such module "Labelled list hatnote". Template:Use American English Template:Use mdy dates Script error: No such module "infobox".Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". Template:ElectionsOK The 2010 Oklahoma gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2010, to elect the governor of Oklahoma. Due to term limits established by the Oklahoma Constitution, incumbent Democratic governor Brad Henry couldn't seek re-election. The race had been hotly contested by both political parties, with several well-known Oklahomans announcing their candidacy up to two years before the election. This was the first time a woman challenged another woman for Governor of Oklahoma.
As both parties nominated female candidates (Jari Askins for the Democrats and Mary Fallin for the Republicans), both of whom have also previously held the office of the lieutenant governor of Oklahoma, and as no third-party or write-in candidate qualified for the ballot, Oklahoma was guaranteed its first female governor. In 2008, Republicans won majorities in both chambers of the state legislature for the first ever; as they expanded these majorities in the 2010 elections and Fallin won the governorship, a Republican state government trifecta was established for the first time since statehood when Fallin was sworn in on January 10, 2011.
Askins carried only four counties: her home county of Stephens and neighboring Comanche, Cotton, and Jefferson. While Fallin won all other 73 counties (of which she flipped 70), her margins varied, ranging from narrow wins in much of Eastern Oklahoma to a 66-point victory in staunchly Republican Beaver County.
Fallin was the first Republican to win Atoka County, Choctaw County, Coal County, Haskell County, Hughes County, Johnston County, Latimer County, LeFlore County, McCurtain County, Okfuskee County, Pittsburg County, and Pushmataha County in a gubernatorial election since Oklahoma statehood. Fallin was the first non-Democrat to win Tillman County, which had voted for the Democratic candidate for governor in each election since Oklahoma statehood, thus breaking a 103-year streak of voting Democratic Party.
Democratic primary
Declared
- Jari Askins, incumbent lieutenant governor of Oklahoma[1]
- Drew Edmondson, incumbent attorney general of Oklahoma[2]
Polling
| Poll source | Dates administered | Drew Edmondson |
Jari Askins |
|---|---|---|---|
| SoonerPoll.com[3] | July 16–21, 2010 | style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 49% | 33% |
| Sooner Survey[4] | July 18–20, 2010 | style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 38% | 27% |
| SoonerPoll.com[5] | May 25 – June 9, 2010 | style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 37% | 36% |
| SoonerPoll.com[6] | January 2–5, 2010 | style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 46% | 36% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Script error: No such module "Political party". | Jari Askins | Script error: No such module "string". | 50.28 | |
| Script error: No such module "Political party". | Drew Edmondson | Script error: No such module "string". | 49.72 | |
| Total votes | Script error: No such module "string". | 100.00 | ||
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Republican primary
Declared
- Mary Fallin, former lieutenant governor and current congresswoman for Oklahoma's 5th congressional district[8]
- Roger L. Jackson, retired businessman, former president of the Oklahoma Office Machine Dealers Association (OOMDA)[9]
- Randy Brogdon, state senator[10]
- Robert Hubbard, business owner of Piedmont, Oklahoma's "Hubbard Ranch Supply"[11]
Declined
- J. C. Watts, former congressman from Oklahoma's 4th congressional district[12]
- Mick Cornett, Mayor of Oklahoma City
Polling
| Poll source | Dates administered | Mary Fallin |
Randy Brogdon |
|---|---|---|---|
| SoonerPoll.com[3] | July 16–21, 2010 | style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 56% | 18% |
| Sooner Survey[4] | July 18–20, 2010 | style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 50% | 22% |
| SoonerPoll.com[13] | May 25 – June 9, 2010 | style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 59% | 10% |
| SoonerPoll.com[6] | January 2–5, 2010 | style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 68% | 16% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Script error: No such module "Political party". | Mary Fallin | Script error: No such module "string". | 54.79 | |
| Script error: No such module "Political party". | Randy Brogdon | Script error: No such module "string". | 39.41 | |
| Script error: No such module "Political party". | Robert Hubbard | Script error: No such module "string". | 3.26 | |
| Script error: No such module "Political party". | Roger L. Jackson | Script error: No such module "string". | 2.53 | |
| Total votes | Script error: No such module "string". | 100.00 | ||
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General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[14] | Template:USRaceRating | October 14, 2010 |
| Rothenberg[15] | Template:USRaceRating | October 28, 2010 |
| RealClearPolitics[16] | Template:USRaceRating | November 1, 2010 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] | Template:USRaceRating | October 28, 2010 |
| CQ Politics[18] | Template:USRaceRating | October 28, 2010 |
Polling
| Poll source | Dates administered | Mary Fallin (R) |
Jari Askins (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| SoonerPoll.com[19] | October 23, 2010 | style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 56% | 39% |
| SoonerPoll.com[19] | October 7, 2010 | style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 54% | 36% |
| Rasmussen Reports[20] | September 23, 2010 | style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 60% | 34% |
| Rasmussen Reports[21] | August 26, 2010 | style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 52% | 37% |
| Rasmussen Reports[22] | July 28, 2010 | style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 57% | 36% |
| SoonerPoll.com[3] | July 16–21, 2010 | style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 46% | 40% |
| Rasmussen Reports[23] | June 30, 2010 | style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 55% | 32% |
| SoonerPoll.com[24] | May 25 – June 9, 2010 | style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 49% | 36% |
| Rasmussen Reports[25] | February 24, 2010 | style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 51% | 37% |
| SoonerPoll.com[6] | January 2–5, 2010 | style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 52% | 36% |
| Public Policy Polling[26] | May 13–17, 2009 | style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 50% | 34% |
Results
Template:Election box winning candidate with party link| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | <templatestyles src="Template:Tooltip/styles.css" />±%Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Script error: No such module "Political party". | Jari Askins | 409,261 | 39.55% | Script error: No such module "String". | ||
| Total votes | 1,034,767 | 100.00% | N/A | |||
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Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
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References
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- ↑ McNutt, Michael. "Oklahoma Lt. Gov. Jari Askins said she will run for governor in 2010." NewsOk.com, January 4, 2009.
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- ↑ a b c SoonerPoll.com
- ↑ a b Sooner Survey
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- ↑ Estus, John, "Oklahoma candidate filing period marks start of busy campaign season", The Oklahoman, May 31, 2010.
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- ↑ SoonerPoll.com
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- ↑ a b SoonerPoll.com
- ↑ Rasmussen Reports
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- ↑ SoonerPoll.com
- ↑ Rasmussen Reports
- ↑ Public Policy Polling
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External links
- Oklahoma State Election Board
- Candidates for Oklahoma State Offices at Project Vote Smart
- Campaign contributions for 2010 Oklahoma Governor from Follow the Money
- Oklahoma Governor 2010 from OurCampaigns.com
- Election 2010: Oklahoma Governor from Rasmussen Reports
- 2010 Oklahoma Governor Race from Real Clear Politics
- 2010 Oklahoma Governor's Race from CQ Politics
- Race Profile in The New York Times
- News coverage from The Oklahoman
Debates
- Oklahoma Gubernatorial Debate on C-SPAN, July 21, 2010
Official campaign sites