2010 Maine gubernatorial election
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Template:Short description Template:Use American English Template:Use mdy dates Script error: No such module "infobox".Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". Template:ElectionsME The 2010 Maine gubernatorial election took place on November 2, 2010, to elect the governor of Maine. Incumbent Democratic governor John Baldacci was term-limited and could not seek re-election to a third consecutive term. Primary elections took place on June 8, 2010. The candidates who appeared on the November ballot were (in alphabetical order by last name): Eliot Cutler (Independent), Paul LePage (Republican), Libby Mitchell (Democratic), Shawn Moody (Independent), and Kevin Scott (Independent).[1]
With 94% of precincts reporting on the day after the election, the Bangor Daily News declared LePage the winner, carrying 38.1% of the votes.[2] Cutler was in second place with 36.7% of the votes (less than 7,500 votes behind LePage), while Mitchell was a distant third with 19%.[2] Moody and Scott had 5% and 1%, respectively.[2] Two days after the election, with 99% of precincts reporting, LePage's lead over Cutler had widened to more than 10,000 votes.[3] This election was the first since 1990 that Maine elected a Republican governor.
Democratic primary
Candidates
On ballot
- Patrick K. McGowan, former State Conservation Commissioner[4][5]
- Elizabeth "Libby" Mitchell, President of the Maine Senate and candidate for U. S. Senate in 1984[6]
- Steven Rowe, former Maine Attorney General and former state representative[7][8]
- Rosa Scarcelli, business owner[9][10]
Write-in
- Donna Dion, former Mayor of Biddeford.[11][12] Did not appear on the ballot due to lack of petition signatures, but continued her campaign in the primary as a write-in candidate.[13]
Withdrawn
- Dawn Hill, State Representative.[14][15] Hill withdrew from the race on January 1, 2010, citing the crowded field of candidates.[16]
- John G. Richardson, former Commissioner of Economic and Community Development and former Speaker of the House.[4][17] Richardson withdrew from the race on April 26 amid allegations that some of his campaign workers had not followed proper procedures for collecting donations to qualify him for Maine Clean Election funding.[18] The primary ballots had already been printed before Richardson withdrew from the race, so Richardson's name appeared on the ballot even though he was no longer a candidate.[19]
- Peter Truman (also known as Peter Throumoulos), former state representative and convicted forger.[20] Did not appear on the ballot due to lack of petition signatures.
Declined
Polling
| Poll source | Dates administered | Mitchell | Rowe | Scarcelli | McGowan | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pan Atlantic SMS Group[23] | May 21–29, 2010 | style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 13.3% | 11.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 61.7% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Script error: No such module "Political party". | Elizabeth "Libby" Mitchell | Script error: No such module "string". | 34.4 | |
| Script error: No such module "Political party". | G. Steven Rowe | Script error: No such module "string". | 22.7 | |
| Script error: No such module "Political party". | Rosa Scarcelli | Script error: No such module "string". | 21.5 | |
| Script error: No such module "Political party". | Patrick K. McGowan | Script error: No such module "string". | 19.8 | |
| Script error: No such module "Political party". | John Richardson | Script error: No such module "string". | 1.3 | |
| Script error: No such module "Political party". | Write-in | Script error: No such module "string". | 0.3 | |
| Total votes | Script error: No such module "string". | 100 | ||
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At 11:32 p.m. EDT, WCSH declared Libby Mitchell the winner of the Democratic primary.[25]
Republican primary
Candidates
On ballot
- Steve Abbott, former chief of staff for Senator Susan Collins[26][27]
- William Beardsley, former president of Husson University[28][29]
- Matt Jacobson, president of Maine & Company, a private business attraction organization; former President of the St. Lawrence & Atlantic Railroad[30][31]
- Paul LePage, Mayor of Waterville and general manager of Marden's Surplus & Salvage store chain[32][33][34][35]
- Peter Mills, State Senator and candidate for governor in 2006[36][37][38]
- Les Otten, founder of American Skiing Company and former Boston Red Sox co-owner[39][40]
- Bruce Poliquin, business owner/manager and economist[41][42]
Declined
- Peter Cianchette, United States Ambassador to Costa Rica and 2002 Republican nominee for governor[43]
- Kevin Raye, State Senate Minority Leader[44]
- Josh Tardy, State House Minority Leader[45]
Polling
| Poll source | Dates administered | Otten | LePage | Mills | Abbott | Beardsley | Poliquin | Jacobson | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MECPO[46][47] | May 22-June 2, 2010 | 17.0% | 10.7% | style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center | 22.1% | 13.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 24.0% |
| Pan Atlantic SMS Group[23] | May 21–29, 2010 | style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 17.0% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 47.0% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Script error: No such module "Political party". | Paul LePage | Script error: No such module "string". | 37.4 | |
| Script error: No such module "Political party". | Les Otten | Script error: No such module "string". | 17.4 | |
| Script error: No such module "Political party". | Peter Mills | Script error: No such module "string". | 14.7 | |
| Script error: No such module "Political party". | Steve Abbott | Script error: No such module "string". | 13.1 | |
| Script error: No such module "Political party". | William "Bill" Beardsley | Script error: No such module "string". | 9.2 | |
| Script error: No such module "Political party". | Bruce Poliquin | Script error: No such module "string". | 4.9 | |
| Script error: No such module "Political party". | Matt Jacobson | Script error: No such module "string". | 3.3 | |
| Total votes | Script error: No such module "string". | 100 | ||
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At 11:19 p.m. EDT, WCSH declared Paul LePage the winner of the GOP primary.[48]
Independents
Candidates on the ballot
- Eliot Cutler, attorney, former staff member for U.S. Senator Edmund Muskie, and former adviser to President Jimmy Carter[49][50][51]
- Shawn Moody, business owner[51][52][53]
- Kevin L. Scott, business owner[51][54][55]
Write-in candidates
- John Jenkins, former state senator, former mayor of both Auburn and Lewiston, and a 2002 gubernatorial candidate.[56] Jenkins, who won his most recent mayoral campaign by write-in, declared he would run for Governor of Maine if 5,000 people followed his Facebook fan page[57] within 45 days.
- Beverly Cooper-Pete.[58] Did not appear on the ballot due to lack of petition signatures,[51] but continued her campaign as a write-in candidate.[59]
Disqualified candidates
- Alex Hammer, business owner and self-published author.[4][60] Did not appear on the ballot due to not meeting the deadline for turning in petition signatures. Hammer attempted to turn in some of the signatures electronically, but the Secretary of State ruled that such methods were not allowed. Hammer filed suit to appear on the ballot in Penobscot County Superior Court on June 28, 2010.[61][62] On September 28, 2010, the judge upheld the Secretary of State's decision.[63]
Withdrawn
- Samme Bailey.[4][64] Did not appear on the ballot due to lack of petition signatures.[51]
- Augustus Edgerton.[4] Did not appear on the ballot due to lack of petition signatures.[51]
- Michael Heath, former leader of the Christian Civic League of Maine (now known as the Maine Family Policy Council).[65] Withdrew from the race due to lack of petition signatures.[66]
- John Whitcomb.[4] Did not appear on the ballot due to lack of petition signatures.[51]
Maine Green Independent Party
The Maine Green Independent Party did not have a gubernatorial candidate on the ballot, as no candidate collected required number of signatures.[67]
Withdrawn
- Lynne Williams, attorney and former state chair of the Maine Green Independent Party.[68][69] On March 15, 2010, Lynne Williams announced her withdrawal from the campaign, citing a lack of clean elections funds and qualifying signatures.[70]
- Patrick Quinlan, political activist, author, and lone legislative aide of Maine Green Independent Party caucus in state House of Representatives for 2004 and 2005; former campaign manager and consultant for Green state representative John Eder[4]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[71] | Template:USRaceRating | October 14, 2010 |
| Rothenberg[72] | Template:USRaceRating | October 28, 2010 |
| RealClearPolitics[73] | Template:USRaceRating | November 1, 2010 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[74] | Template:USRaceRating | October 28, 2010 |
| CQ Politics[75] | Template:USRaceRating | October 28, 2010 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Paul LePage (R) | Libby Mitchell (D) | Eliot Cutler (I) | Shawn Moody (I) | Kevin Scott (I) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MPRC/Down East Magazine[76] | October 28–30, 2010 | 546 | ± 4.19% | style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 39% | 24% | 29% | 4% | 1% | 2% |
| Critical Insights/MaineToday Media[77] | October 27–28, 2010 | 621 | ± 4% | style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 40% | 21% | 21% | 4% | 1% | 11% |
| Pan Atlantic SMS[78] | October 25–28, 2010 | 400 | ± 4.9% | style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 38.6% | 21.8% | 30.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 7.3% |
| Public Policy Polling[79] | October 26–28, 2010 | 1,812 | ± 2.3% | style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 40% | 24% | 28% | 4% | 1% | 2% |
| Rasmussen Reports[80] | October 26, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 40% | 26% | 26% | - | - | 5% |
| Critical Insights[81] | October 13–17, 2010 | 600 | ± 4% | style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 32% | 20% | 19% | 5% | 1% | 21% |
| Pan Atlantic SMS[82] | October 11–15, 2010 | 501 | ± 4.4% | style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 32.9% | 28.0% | 14.0% | 4.6% | 0.4% | 20.2% |
| Rasmussen Reports[80] | October 12, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 35% | 32% | 21% | * | * | 6% |
| Critical Insights/MaineToday Media[83] | October 10–11, 2010 | 605 | ± 4% | style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 32% | 26% | 11% | 5 | 1 | 26% |
| Pine Tree Politics/Maine Center for Public Opinion[84] | October 4–7, 2010 | 679 | ± 3.76% | style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 29.6% | 28.7% | 11.1% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 24.1% |
| Critical Insights/MaineToday Media[85] | September 27, 2010 | 405 | ± 4.9% | 29% | style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 30% | 9% | 5% | 0% | 26% |
| Rasmussen Reports[86] | September 20, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 45% | 27% | 14% | * | * | 10% |
| Critical Insights/MaineToday Media[87] | September 13, 2010 | 603 | ± 4% | style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 38% | 25% | 11% | 4% | 1% | 21% |
| Public Policy Polling[88] | September 2–6, 2010 | 1,468 | ± 2.6% | style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 43% | 29% | 11% | 5% | 1% | 12% |
| Rasmussen Reports[89] | August 12, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 38% | 30% | 16% | * | * | 11% |
| Rasmussen Reports[90] | July 14, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 39% | 31% | 15% | * | * | 12% |
| Rasmussen Reports[91] | June 10, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 43% | 36% | 7% | * | * | 14% |
* Shawn Moody and Kevin Scott, two Independent candidates who appeared on the ballot, were not offered as choices in the Rasmussen polls.[92]
Results
Template:Election box winning candidate with party link| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | <templatestyles src="Template:Tooltip/styles.css" />±%Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independent | Eliot Cutler | 208,270 | 35.9% | Script error: No such module "String". | |
| Script error: No such module "Political party". | Libby Mitchell | 109,387 | 18.8% | Script error: No such module "String". | |
| Independent | Shawn Moody | 28,756 | 5.0% | Script error: No such module "String". | |
| Independent | Kevin Scott | 5,664 | 1.0% | ||
| Majority | 9,795 | 1.7% | Script error: No such module "String". | ||
| Turnout | 580,538 | Script error: No such module "String". | |||
| Script error: No such module "Political party". gain from Script error: No such module "Political party". Template:Yesno | Swing | ||||
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Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Androscoggin (largest city: Lewiston)
- Aroostook (largest city: Presque Isle)
- Kennebec (largest city: Augusta)
- Lincoln (Largest city: Waldoboro)
- Oxford (largest town: Rumford)
- Penobscot (largest city: Bangor)
- Waldo (Largest city: Belfast)
- York (largest town:Biddeford)
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Independent
- Cumberland (largest municipality: Portland)
- Hancock (largest municipality: Ellsworth)
- Knox (largest municipality: Rockland)
- Sagadahoc (largest town:Bath)
See also
References
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- ↑ Rosa Scarcelli, Democratic Candidate for Governor of Maine, 2010 (official candidate web site)
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- ↑ Richardson withdrawing from governor's race Portland Press Herald, April 26, 2010
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- ↑ a b Pan Atlantic SMS Group
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- ↑ Mills declares candidacy for governorScript error: No such module "Unsubst".
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- ↑ Peter Mills for Governor of Maine (official candidate web site) Template:Webarchive
- ↑ Les Otten for Governor (official candidate web site) Template:Webarchive
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- ↑ MECPO
- ↑ Note: Poll paid for by Mills Campaign
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- ↑ Draft John Jenkins to be Maine Governor in 2010 Facebook Fan Page. August 26, 2010.
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- ↑ Alex Hammer for Maine Governor (official candidate web site)
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- ↑ Lynne Williams for Governor 2010 (official candidate web site)
- ↑ Green candidate drops out of governor's race Template:Webarchive March 15, 2010, Portland Press Herald
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- ↑ MPRC / Down East Magazine
- ↑ Critical Insights / MaineToday Media
- ↑ Pan Atlantic SMS
- ↑ Public Policy Polling
- ↑ a b Rasmussen Reports
- ↑ Critical Insights
- ↑ Pan Atlantic SMS
- ↑ Critical Insights / MaineToday Media
- ↑ Pine Tree Politics / Maine Center for Public Opinion
- ↑ Critical Insights / MaineToday Media
- ↑ Rasmussen Reports
- ↑ Critical Insights / MaineToday Media
- ↑ Public Policy Polling
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External links
- Maine Secretary of State – Elections Division
- Maine Governor Candidates at Project Vote Smart
- Campaign contributions for 2010 Maine Governor from Follow the Money
- Maine Governor 2010 from OurCampaigns.com
- 2010 Maine Gubernatorial General Election: Paul LePage (R) vs Libby Mitchell (D) graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
- Election 2010: Maine Governor from Rasmussen Reports
- 2010 Maine Governor – LePage vs. Mitchell vs. Cutler from Real Clear Politics
- 2010 Maine Governor's RaceScript error: No such module "Unsubst". from CQ Politics
- Race Profile in The New York Times
Official campaign websites (Archived)
- Patrick McGowan (D)
- Elizabeth "Libby" Mitchell (D)
- Steven Rowe (D)
- Rosa Scarcelli (D)
- Steven Abbott (R)
- William Beardsley (R)
- Matt Jacobson (R)
- Paul LePage (R)
- Peter Mills (R)
- Les Otten (R)
- Bruce Poliquin (R)
- Eliot Cutler (I)
- Alex Hammer (I)
- Shawn Moody (I)
- Kevin Scott (I)
Debates
- Debate hosted by the Associated General Contractors of America (Democrats, Republicans, and Cutler)
- Democrat debate hosted by WCSH-TV, Part 1
- Democrat debate hosted by WCSH-TV, Part 2
- Republican debate hosted by WCSH-TV, Part 1
- Republican debate hosted by WCSH-TV, Part 2
- Democrat debate hosted by WMTW-TV and University of Southern Maine, Part 1
- Democrat debate hosted by WMTW-TV and University of Southern Maine, Part 2
- Republican debate hosted by WMTW-TV and University of Southern Maine, Part 1
- Republican debate hosted by WMTW-TV and University of Southern Maine, Part 2
- Democrat debate hosted by Maine Public Broadcasting
- Republican debate hosted by Maine Public Broadcasting
- Debate featuring all five general election candidates, hosted by WGME-TV and MaineToday Media, Part 1
- Debate featuring all five general election candidates, hosted by WGME-TV and MaineToday Media, Part 2
- Debate featuring all five general election candidates, hosted by WMTW-TV and University of Southern Maine, Part 1
- Debate featuring all five general election candidates, hosted by WMTW-TV and University of Southern Maine, Part 2
- Debate featuring all five general election candidates, hosted by WCSH-TV and Maine State Chamber of Commerce, Part 1
- Debate featuring all five general election candidates, hosted by WCSH-TV and Maine State Chamber of Commerce, Part 2
- Debate featuring four of the five general election candidates (LePage chose not to participate), hosted by MPBN and Bates College Template:Webarchive
- Debate featuring all five general election candidates, hosted by WGME-TV, WGAN-AM, and MaineToday Media, Part 1
- Debate featuring all five general election candidates, hosted by WGME-TV, WGAN-AM, and MaineToday Media, Part 2
Candidate interviews
- Interview with Democratic candidate Donna DionScript error: No such module "Unsubst".
- Interview with Republican candidate Les Otten
- Interview with Democratic candidate Rosa Scarcelli
- Interview with Republican candidate Paul LePageScript error: No such module "Unsubst".
- Interview with Democratic candidate Libby MitchellScript error: No such module "Unsubst".
- Interview with Independent Alex Hammer
- Interview with Republican candidate Paul LePage
- Interview with Democratic candidate Libby Mitchell
- Interview with Republican candidate Bruce Poliquin
- Interview with Democratic candidate Steven Rowe
- Interview with Green candidate Lynne Williams
- Interview with Independent candidate Shawn Moody
Template:Maine gubernatorial elections Template:United States elections, 2010 Template:US Third Party Election