2010 Iowa gubernatorial election
(Redirected from 2010 Iowa Gubernatorial Election)
Template:Short description Template:Use American English Script error: No such module "Unsubst". Script error: No such module "infobox".Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". Template:ElectionsIA The 2010 Iowa gubernatorial election was held on Tuesday, November 2, 2010, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor, to serve a four-year term beginning on January 14, 2011. In Iowa, the governor and lieutenant governor are elected on the same ballot. Along with the election in Ohio, this was one of the two gubernatorial elections where the incumbent lost reelection.
The two major party candidates were first-term incumbent governor Chet Culver, a Democrat, who ran for re-election with first-term incumbent lieutenant governor Patty Judge, and former four-term governor Terry Branstad, who won a three-way primary for the Republican nomination and ran with State Senator Kim Reynolds.
Branstad defeated Culver in the general election, becoming the first challenger to unseat an incumbent Iowa governor since Harold Hughes in 1962.[1][2]
Democratic primary
Candidates
- Chet Culver, incumbent Governor
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Script error: No such module "Political party". | Chet Culver (incumbent) | Script error: No such module "string". | 95.69 | |
| Script error: No such module "Political party". | Write-ins | Script error: No such module "string". | 4.31 | |
| Total votes | Script error: No such module "string". | 100 | ||
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Republican primary
Candidates
On ballot
As listed by the Iowa Secretary of State's office:[4]
- Terry Branstad, former Governor[5]
- Rod Roberts, State Representative[6]
- Bob Vander Plaats, businessman and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2006[6]
Withdrew
- State Senator Paul McKinley withdrew after Terry Branstad formed an exploratory committee[7]
- Cedar Rapids businessman Christian Fong suspended his campaign due to a lack of campaign finances[8]
- Minority Leader of the Iowa House of Representatives Christopher Rants withdrew from the race due to lack of campaign funds[9]
- State Senator Jerry Behn withdrew from the race and endorsed Terry Branstad[10]
Polling
| Poll source | Dates administered | Terry Branstad |
Bob Vander Plaats |
Rod Roberts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selzer & Co. Inc of Des Moines[11] | June 1–3, 2010 | align=center style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"| 57% | 29% | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling[12] | May 25–27, 2010 | align=center style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"| 46% | 31% | 13% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Script error: No such module "Political party". | Terry Branstad | Script error: No such module "string". | 50.30 | |
| Script error: No such module "Political party". | Bob Vander Plaats | Script error: No such module "string". | 40.90 | |
| Script error: No such module "Political party". | Rod Roberts | Script error: No such module "string". | 8.74 | |
| Script error: No such module "Political party". | Write-ins | Script error: No such module "string". | 0.05 | |
| Total votes | Script error: No such module "string". | 100 | ||
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General election
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Candidates
- Chet Culver (D), incumbent governor; running with incumbent lieutenant governor Patty Judge.
- Gregory James Hughes (I), running with Robin Prior-Calef.[1][13]
- Terry Branstad (R), former four-term governor; running with State Senator Kim Reynolds.
- Eric Cooper (L), professor at Iowa State University; running with judicial administrator Nick Weltha.[14]
- Jonathan Narcisse (Iowa Party), former member of the Des Moines school board; running with truck driver Rick Marlar. Narcisse is a Democrat and Marlar is a Republican.[15] Narcisse's campaign and that of Senate District 45 candidate Douglas William Phillips were not affiliated, though both appeared on the ballot under the "Iowa Party" name.[16][17]
- David Rosenfeld (SWP), running with Helen Meyers.[1][18]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[19] | Template:USRaceRating | October 14, 2010 |
| Rothenberg[20] | Template:USRaceRating | October 28, 2010 |
| RealClearPolitics[21] | Template:USRaceRating | November 1, 2010 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Template:USRaceRating | October 28, 2010 |
| CQ Politics[23] | Template:USRaceRating | October 28, 2010 |
Polling
| Poll source | Dates administered | Chet Culver (D) |
Terry Branstad (R) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports[24] | September 23, 2010 | 37% | style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 55% |
| Rasmussen Reports[25] | August 5, 2010 | 36% | style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 52% |
| Rasmussen Reports[26] | June 14, 2010 | 31% | style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 57% |
| Public Policy Polling[27] | May 25–27, 2010 | 37% | style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 52% |
| KCCI-TV[28] | May 3–5, 2010 | 41% | align=center style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"| 48% |
| Rasmussen Reports[29] | April 29, 2010 | 38% | align=center style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"| 53% |
| Rasmussen Reports[30] | March 17, 2010 | 36% | align=center style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"| 52% |
| Rasmussen Reports[31] | February 18, 2010 | 37% | align=center style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"| 53% |
| KCCI-TV[32] | February 15–17, 2010 | 38% | align=center style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"| 54% |
| Selzer & Co. of Des Moines[33] | January 31 – February 3, 2010 | 33% | align=center style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"| 53% |
| Selzer & Co. of Des Moines[34] | November 8–11, 2009 | 33% | align=center style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"| 57% |
| Daily Kos/Research 2000[35] | October 12–14, 2009 | 43% | align=center style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"| 48% |
| Rasmussen Reports[36] | September 22, 2009 | 34% | align=center style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"| 54% |
| Iowa First Foundation[37] | July 23–July 26, 2009 | 34% | align=center style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"| 53% |
| Concordia Group LLC[38] | July 2009 | 37% | align=center style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"| 53% |
Results
Template:Election box write-in with party link| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | <templatestyles src="Template:Tooltip/styles.css" />±%Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Script error: No such module "Political party". | Terry Branstad | Template:Replace | 52.81% | Script error: No such module "String". | |
| Script error: No such module "Political party". | Chet Culver (incumbent) | 484,798 | 43.21% | Script error: No such module "String". | |
| Iowa Party[17] | Jonathan Narcisse | 20,859 | 1.86% | Script error: No such module "String". | |
| Script error: No such module "Political party". | Eric Cooper | 14,398 | 1.28% | Script error: No such module "String". | |
| Independent[13] | Gregory Hughes | 3,884 | 0.35% | Script error: No such module "String". | |
| Script error: No such module "Political party". | David Rosenfeld[18] | 2,757 | 0.25% | Script error: No such module "String". | |
| Total votes | 1,122,013 | 100.00% | n/a | ||
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Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Adams (largest city: Corning)
- Audubon (largest city: Audubon)
- Benton (largest city: Vinton)
- Emmet (largest city: Estherville)
- Greene (largest city: Jefferson)
- Hamilton (largest city: Webster City)
- Hardin (largest city: Iowa Falls)
- Iowa (largest city: Williamsburg)
- Kossuth (largest city: Algona)
- Palo Alto (largest city: Emmetsburg)
- Warren (largest city: Indianola)
- Winnebago (largest city: Forest City)
- Allamakee (largest city: Waukon)
- Boone (largest city: Boone)
- Bremer (largest city: Waverly)
- Buchanan (largest city: Independence)
- Cedar (largest city: Tipton)
- Cerro Gordo (largest city: Mason City)
- Chickasaw (largest city: New Hampton)
- Clarke (largest city: Osceola)
- Clayton (largest city: Guttenberg)
- Clinton (largest city: Clinton)
- Fayette (largest city: Oelwein)
- Floyd (largest city: Charles City)
- Howard (largest city: Cresco)
- Jackson (largest city: Maquoketa)
- Jasper (largest city: Newton)
- Jones (largest city: Anamosa)
- Louisa (largest city: Wapello)
- Marshall (largest city: Marshalltown)
- Mitchell (largest city: Osage)
- Muscatine (largest city: Muscatine)
- Poweshiek (largest city: Grinnell)
- Scott (largest city: Davenport)
- Tama (largest city: Tama)
- Union (largest city: Creston)
- Wapello (largest city: Ottumwa)
- Webster (largest city: Fort Dodge)
- Winneshiek (largest city: Decorah)
- Worth (largest city: Northwood)
- Appanoose (Largest city: Centerville)
- Davis (Largest city: Bloomfield)
- Decatur (Largest city: Lamoni)
- Hancock (Largest city: Garner)
- Henry (Largest city: Mount Pleasant)
- Lucas (Largest city: Chariton)
- Monona (Largest city: Onawa)
- Monroe (Largest city: Albia)
- Ringgold (Largest city: Mount Ayr)
- Taylor (Largest city: Bedford)
- Wayne (Largest city: Corydon)
- Wright (Largest city: Eagle Grove)
By congressional district
Branstad won four of five congressional districts, including two that elected Democrats.[39]
| District | Culver | Branstad | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|Template:Ushr | 47% | 50% | style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|Bruce Braley |
| style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|Template:Ushr | 50% | 46% | style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|Dave Loebsack |
| style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|Template:Ushr | 44% | 51% | style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|Leonard Boswell |
| style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|Template:Ushr | 42% | 54% | style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|Tom Latham |
| style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|Template:Ushr | 32% | 65% | style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|Steve King |
References
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- ↑ Selzer & Co. Inc of Des Moines Script error: No such module "webarchive".
- ↑ Public Policy Polling
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- ↑ Rasmussen Reports
- ↑ Rasmussen Reports
- ↑ Rasmussen Reports
- ↑ Public Policy Polling
- ↑ KCCI-TV
- ↑ Rasmussen Reports
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- ↑ Rasmussen Reports
- ↑ KCCI-TV
- ↑ Selzer & Co. of Des Moines Script error: No such module "webarchive".
- ↑ Selzer & Co. of Des Moines Script error: No such module "webarchive".
- ↑ Daily Kos/Research 2000
- ↑ Rasmussen Reports
- ↑ Iowa First Foundation
- ↑ Concordia Group LLC
- ↑ https://www.ourcampaigns.com/RaceDetail.html?RaceID=409673
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External links
- Iowa Secretary of State – Voter/Elections
- Iowa Governor Candidates at Project Vote Smart
- Campaign contributions for 2010 Iowa Governor from Follow the Money
- 2010 Iowa Gubernatorial General Election: All Head-to-Head MatchupsScript error: No such module "Unsubst". graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
- Election 2010: Iowa Governor from Rasmussen Reports
- 2010 Iowa Governor – Branstad vs. Culver from Real Clear Politics
- 2010 Iowa Governor's RaceScript error: No such module "Unsubst". from CQ Politics
- Race Profile in The New York Times
Debates
- Iowa Gubernatorial Debate, C-SPAN, September 14, 2010
Official campaign websites (Archived)