2008 Wisconsin Democratic presidential primary

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Template:Short description Template:Use American English Template:Use mdy dates Script error: No such module "infobox".Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". Template:ElectionsWI The 2008 Wisconsin Democratic presidential primary took place on February 19, 2008. 74 pledged delegates were at stake. The 2008 Hawaii Democratic presidential caucuses took place the same day.

The Wisconsin primary came after Senator Barack Obama had won the majority of delegates and votes in 8 straight primaries and caucuses; his wins in Wisconsin, and Hawaii extended his winning streak to 10 and reinforced his front-runner status.[1]

In the days leading up to the primary the Hillary Clinton campaign ran television ads criticizing Obama on healthcare and for not agreeing to more candidate debates.[2] This caused the Obama campaign to launch a response ad that mentioned the 18 debates already held and 2 more scheduled.[3] The Clinton campaign also charged Obama using lines in a speech similar to words spoken by Massachusetts Governor and Obama friend Deval Patrick; Patrick responded by saying he and Obama often swap ideas, and that he had willingly shared lines without asking for credit to be given.[4] Barack Obama was the winner.[5][6]

Polls

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Polls taken throughout 2007 consistently put Hillary Clinton in the lead, but during February 2008 most polls showed Barack Obama with the advantage.[7] A Rasmussen poll taken February 13 reported that almost one-fourth of those polled said there was a good chance they might change their mind. It also found that while Clinton was doing well among women, with a 10-point advantage over Obama, Obama was polling 23 points higher than her among men.[8]

Results

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Key: Withdrew
prior to contest
2008 Wisconsin Democratic presidential primary[9]
Candidate Votes Percentage National delegates[10]
Barack Obama 646,851 58.08% 42
Hillary Clinton 453,954 40.76% 32
John Edwards 6,693 0.60% 0
Dennis Kucinich 2,625 0.24% 0
Joe Biden 755 0.07% 0
Bill Richardson 528 0.05% 0
Mike Gravel 517 0.05% 0
Christopher Dodd 501 0.04% 0
Uninstructed 861 0.08% 0
Totals 1,113,285 100% 74

Analysis

In the weeks and days leading up to the Wisconsin Democratic Primary, most pundits agreed that it was Hillary Clinton's chance to halt Obama's momentum after winning contests in Washington, Louisiana, Nebraska, Virginia, Maryland, Washington, D.C. following Super Tuesday.

Hillary Clinton enjoyed healthy leads among white voters in previous states and hoped that winning Wisconsin or at least the white vote would allow for a victory of sorts. However, CNN Exit Polls showed that Obama won the white vote (which comprised 87% of the electorate on primary day) 54%-45%. Also, other key Clinton constituencies showed Obama making significant strides such as the female vote which split 50%-50%, the 54-65 Age Group which voted for Obama 54%-45%.[11]

After the victory in Wisconsin as well as Caucuses in Washington and a primary in Hawaii held on the same day gave Obama the momentum of winning 10 straight contests.[12] The Pledged delegate standing after the Wisconsin Primary was Obama leading 1154-1011.

2008 Wisconsin Democratic presidential primary[13]
Demographic subgroup Obama Clinton % of

total vote

Total vote 58 41 100
Sex
Male 61 35 43
Female 51 49 57
Age
18–64 years old 61 37 72
65 and older 39 60 28
Marital status
Married 53 45 63
Single 58 39 37
Family income
Less than $50,000 51 49 41
$50,000 or more 59 39 59
Religion
Protestant/Other Christian 57 43 32
Catholic 49 51 40
None 53 38 11
Education
High school graduate 44 52 25
Some college or associate degree 57 43 31
College graduate 59 41 22
Postgraduate study 64 32 20
Party affiliation
Democrat 50 49 64
Independent / Other 63 34 27
Political philosophy
Liberal 56 40 47
Moderate 54 46 40
Conservative 52 48 13
Which issue is the most important facing the country?
The economy 55 43 43
The war in Iraq 57 40 29
Health care 51 48 25
Candidate quality that matters most
Can bring about needed change 77 20 52
Cares about people like me 53 46 16
Has the right experience 5 95 24

See also

References

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  10. The Green Papers
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