2008 Andalusian regional election
Template:Short description Script error: No such module "infobox".Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". A regional election was held in Andalusia on Sunday, 9 March 2008, to elect the 8th Parliament of the autonomous community. All 109 seats in the Parliament were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with the 2008 Spanish general election.
Incumbent President Manuel Chaves from the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE–A) was re-elected for a sixth term in office with a slightly reduced majority. Final results showed a major breakthrough by the People's Party (PP), which gained 10 seats from 37 to 47 and scored its best result in the community at the time. United Left (IULV–CA) remained stagnant with 6 seats, whereas the Andalusian Party (PA) suffered a major drop in support and failed to enter the regional parliament for the first time.
Overview
Electoral system
The Parliament of Andalusia was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Andalusia, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Andalusian Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[1] Voting for the Parliament was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Andalusia and in full enjoyment of their political rights.
The 109 members of the Parliament of Andalusia were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Almería, Cádiz, Córdoba, Granada, Huelva, Jaén, Málaga and Seville, with each being allocated an initial minimum of eight seats and the remaining 45 being distributed in proportion to their populations (provided that the number of seats in each province did not exceed two times that of any other).[1][2]
As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Parliament constituency was entitled the following seats:
| Seats | Constituencies |
|---|---|
| 18 | Seville |
| 16 | Málaga |
| 15 | Cádiz |
| 13 | Granada |
| 12 | Almería(+1), Córdoba(–1), Jaén |
| 11 | Huelva |
In smaller constituencies, the use of the electoral method resulted in an effective threshold based on the district magnitude and the distribution of votes among candidacies.[3]
Election date
The term of the Parliament of Andalusia expired four years after the date of its previous election, unless it was dissolved earlier. The election decree was required to be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of the Regional Government of Andalusia (BOJA), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication barring any date within from 1 July to 31 August. The previous election was held on 14 March 2004, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 14 March 2008. The election decree was required to be published in the BOJA no later than 19 February 2008, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Parliament on Sunday, 13 April 2008.[1][2][4]
The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of Andalusia and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process and that dissolution did not occur before one year had elapsed since the previous one. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Parliament was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[1][5]
Background
With the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) regaining its absolute majority in Andalusia in the 2004 election, Manuel Chaves was able to govern alone again, after 10 years of minority government, having relied on the support of the Andalusian Party in the previous 8 years. Teófila Martínez, who had been PP candidate for President of the Regional Government of Andalusia in the previous two elections (1996 and 2000), was replaced by Javier Arenas as head of the Andalusian People's Party (PP). Arenas had been PP candidate in the 1994 and 1996 elections, but left the PP regional leadership in order to become Spain's Minister of Labor and Social Affairs in the Aznar cabinet and, later, Secretary-General of the People's Party.
Concurrently in 2004, José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero from PSOE was elected as Spain's new prime minister, after unexpectedly winning the 2004 general election. This meant that, for the first time since 1996, both the regional and national governments were ruled by the same party.
Parties and candidates
The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[2][4]
Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:
| Candidacy | Parties and alliances |
Leading candidate | Ideology | Previous result | Gov. | Ref. | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vote % | Seats | ||||||||
| width="1" style="color:inherit;background:Template:Party color"| | PSOE–A | Script error: No such module "collapsible list". | File:Manuel Chaves 2010 (cropped).jpg | Manuel Chaves | Social democracy | 50.4% | 61 | Template:Ya | |
| style="color:inherit;background:Template:Party color"| | PP | Script error: No such module "collapsible list". | File:Javier Arenas (cropped).jpg | Javier Arenas | Conservatism Christian democracy |
31.8% | 37 | Template:Na | |
| style="color:inherit;background:Template:Party color"| | IULV–CA | Script error: No such module "collapsible list". | File:Diego Valderas 14.05.20-Vicepresidente y Portavoz (cropped).jpg | Diego Valderas | Socialism Communism |
7.5% | 6 | Template:Na | |
| style="color:inherit;background:Template:Party color"| | CA | Script error: No such module "collapsible list". | File:Portrait placeholder.svg | Julián Álvarez | Andalusian nationalism Social democracy |
8.3% Template:Efn |
5 | Template:Na | |
Campaign
Election debates
| Date | Organisers | Moderator(s) | Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". Template:Colors PresentTemplate:Efn Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". Template:Colors Not invited Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSOE–A | PP | IULV–CA | CA | Audience | Ref. | |||
| style="color:inherit;background:Template:Party color;"| | style="color:inherit;background:Template:Party color;"| | style="color:inherit;background:Template:Party color;"| | style="color:inherit;background:Template:Party color;"| | |||||
| 26 February | Canal Sur | Carlos María Ruiz | P ChavesScript error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". |
P ArenasScript error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". |
P ValderasScript error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". |
P ÁlvarezScript error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". |
15.7% (518,000)Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". |
[6] [7] |
| 2 March | Canal Sur | Esther Martín | P ChavesScript error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". |
P ArenasScript error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". |
NI | NI | 21.5% (781,000)Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". |
[8] [9] |
Opinion polls
The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.
Graphical summary
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Voting intention estimates
The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 55 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Andalusia.
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| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | PSOE–A | PP | IULV | PA | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| style="color:inherit;background:Template:Party color;"| | style="color:inherit;background:Template:Party color;"| | style="color:inherit;background:Template:Party color;"| | style="color:inherit;background:Template:Party color;"| | |||||
| 2008 regional election | 9 Mar 2008 | — | 74.7 | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 48.4 Template:Font |
38.5 Template:Font |
7.1 Template:Font |
2.8 Template:Font |
style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 9.9 |
| TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[p 1][p 2] | 9 Mar 2008 | ? | ? | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 47.0 Template:Font |
33.3 Template:Font |
8.6 Template:Font |
7.1 Template:Font |
style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 13.7 |
| Demométrica/Tele 5[p 1][p 2] | 9 Mar 2008 | ? | ? | Template:Party shading/PSOE|? Template:Font |
? Template:Font |
? Template:Font |
? Template:Font |
style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"|? |
| Ipsos/RTVA[p 1][p 2][p 3] | 9 Mar 2008 | ? | ? | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 52.0 Template:Font |
37.6 Template:Font |
? Template:Font |
? Template:Font |
style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 14.4 |
| Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[p 4] | 2 Mar 2008 | ? | ? | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 48.3 Template:Font |
36.0 Template:Font |
? Template:Font |
? Template:Font |
style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 12.3 |
| Metroscopia/El País[p 5] | 1 Mar 2008 | ? | ? | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 48.6 Template:Font |
37.2 Template:Font |
8.4 Template:Font |
? Template:Font |
style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 11.4 |
| IMC/ABC[p 6] | 28 Jan–1 Mar 2008 | 3,000 | ? | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 48.9 Template:Font |
39.0 Template:Font |
6.8 Template:Font |
4.0 Template:Font |
style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 9.9 |
| Sigma Dos/Vocento[p 7] | 21–26 Feb 2008 | 3,000 | ? | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 47.6 Template:Font |
38.5 Template:Font |
7.0 Template:Font |
3.7 Template:Font |
style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 9.1 |
| IMC/ABC[p 8] | 28 Jan–24 Feb 2008 | 2,400 | ? | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 49.6 | 38.7 | 6.7 | 3.5 | style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 10.9 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 9][p 10] | 18–21 Feb 2008 | 2,000 | ? | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 46.8 Template:Font |
38.4 Template:Font |
6.5 Template:Font |
4.6 Template:Font |
style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 8.4 |
| IMC/ABC[p 11] | 28 Jan–17 Feb 2008 | 1,800 | ? | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 49.4 | 38.9 | 6.5 | 3.0 | style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 10.5 |
| IMC/ABC[p 12] | 28 Jan–10 Feb 2008 | 1,200 | ? | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 49.7 | 38.6 | 6.1 | 3.2 | style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 11.1 |
| Nexo/CEPES–A[p 13] | 31 Jan–7 Feb 2008 | 1,008 | 79 | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 46.9 Template:Font |
37.3 Template:Font |
7.3 Template:Font |
4.5 Template:Font |
style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 9.6 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 14][p 15] | 6 Feb 2008 | 1,600 | ? | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 49.0 Template:Font |
35.0 Template:Font |
7.0 Template:Font |
4.0 Template:Font |
style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 14.0 |
| TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[p 16] | 6 Feb 2008 | ? | ? | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 48.5 Template:Font |
36.1 Template:Font |
5.4 Template:Font |
6.3 Template:Font |
style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 12.4 |
| CIS[p 17][p 18] | 21 Jan–4 Feb 2008 | 3,277 | ? | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 49.2 Template:Font |
36.8 Template:Font |
6.6 Template:Font |
4.1 Template:Font |
style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 12.4 |
| Nexo/CEPES–A[p 19][p 20][p 21] | 17–24 Jan 2008 | 1,008 | 71.7 | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 45.2 Template:Font |
37.3 Template:Font |
7.3 Template:Font |
4.2 Template:Font |
style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 7.9 |
| CA | 8–18 Jan 2008 | 8,500 | 65 | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 47.8 Template:Font |
? Template:Font |
? Template:Font |
? Template:Font |
style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"|? |
| Idea Asesores/PP[p 22][p 23] | 15 Jan 2008 | 4,000 | ? | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 45.6 Template:Font |
39.3 Template:Font |
7.2 Template:Font |
4.5 Template:Font |
style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 6.3 |
| CADPEA/UGR[p 24][p 25] | 10 Dec–12 Jan 2008 | 3,200 | 74.6 | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 48.8 Template:Font |
34.2 Template:Font |
6.8 Template:Font |
4.8 Template:Font |
style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 14.6 |
| TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[p 23] | 8–10 Jan 2008 | 750 | ? | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 46.3 Template:Font |
37.7 Template:Font |
6.0 Template:Font |
5.1 Template:Font |
style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 8.6 |
| Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[p 26] | 9 Jan 2008 | ? | ? | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 49.1 Template:Font |
37.7 Template:Font |
5.4 Template:Font |
? Template:Font |
style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 11.4 |
| IESA/CSIC[p 27][p 28] | 10 Oct–9 Nov 2007 | 3,700 | 69.8 | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 49.1 | 36.7 | 7.3 | 4.9 | style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 12.4 |
| PA[p 29] | 5–7 Sep 2007 | 1,600 | 63–65 | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 48.3 Template:Font |
36.1 Template:Font |
7.6 Template:Font |
6.4 Template:Font |
style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 12.2 |
| CADPEA/UGR[p 30][p 31][p 32] | 11 Jun–9 Jul 2007 | 3,200 | 73.0 | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 48.9 | 33.6 | 7.7 | 5.5 | style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 15.3 |
| 2007 local elections | 27 May 2007 | — | 61.6 | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 40.7 | 32.1 | 12.4 | 6.2 | style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 8.6 |
| Nexo/CEPES–A[p 33] | 31 Jan–28 Feb 2007 | 1,015 | 70.8 | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 45.9 Template:Font |
34.1 Template:Font |
7.2 Template:Font |
6.9 Template:Font |
style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 11.8 |
| Opina/El País[p 34] | 21–22 Feb 2007 | 1,500 | ? | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 48.0 Template:Font |
33.0 Template:Font |
7.5 Template:Font |
5.5 Template:Font |
style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 15.0 |
| Sigma Dos/Vocento[p 35] | 19–22 Feb 2007 | 1,000 | ? | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 47.8 Template:Font |
36.3 Template:Font |
7.2 Template:Font |
5.0 Template:Font |
style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 11.5 |
| Idea Asesores/PP[p 36] | 19–22 Feb 2007 | 850 | ? | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 45.3 | 37.2 | – | – | style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 8.1 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 37][p 38] | 6 Feb 2007 | ? | ? | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 50.0 | 33.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 17.0 |
| Grupo ESTIO/El Correo[p 39] | 17 Dec 2006 | ? | ? | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 45.1 | 34.5 | 7.3 | 5.8 | style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 10.6 |
| IESA/CSIC[p 40][p 41] | 15 Dec 2006 | 3,706 | 75.3 | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 50.6 | 32.8 | 7.9 | 5.3 | style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 17.8 |
| CADPEA/UGR[p 42][p 43] | 10 Nov–12 Dec 2006 | 3,200 | 76.5 | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 49.4 | 31.3 | 8.1 | 4.7 | style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 18.1 |
| Metroscopia/ABC[p 44] | 17–19 Oct 2006 | 1,002 | 65 | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 47.5 | 36.5 | 7.0 | 5.9 | style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 11.0 |
| CADPEA/UGR[p 45] | 20 Jun–16 Jul 2006 | 3,200 | 78 | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 49.5 | 34.7 | 7.8 | 4.8 | style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 14.8 |
| Grupo ESTIO/El Correo[p 46] | 18–25 May 2006 | 1,009 | ? | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 47.5 | 34.5 | 7.5 | 4.2 | style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 13.0 |
| Metroscopia/ABC[p 47] | 8–11 May 2006 | 1,001 | 74–75 | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 46.8 Template:Font |
38.6 Template:Font |
7.0 Template:Font |
4.1 Template:Font |
style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 8.2 |
| Sigma Dos/Vocento[p 48] | 28 Feb 2006 | ? | ? | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 46.0 Template:Font |
39.2 Template:Font |
6.6 Template:Font |
4.5 Template:Font |
style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 6.8 |
| Ipsos–Eco/Grupo Joly[p 48] | 26 Feb 2006 | ? | ? | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 48.8 Template:Font |
32.6 Template:Font |
6.8 Template:Font |
7.2 Template:Font |
style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 16.2 |
| Grupo ESTIO/El Correo[p 48] | 26 Feb 2006 | ? | ? | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 48.5 | 34.6 | 6.9 | 5.9 | style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 13.9 |
| Opina/El País[p 49] | 13–15 Feb 2006 | 1,500 | ? | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 47.0 Template:Font |
33.5 Template:Font |
7.5 Template:Font |
6.5 Template:Font |
style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 13.5 |
| Idea Asesores/PP[p 50] | 23 Jan–10 Feb 2006 | 1,000 | ? | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 46.0 | 38.5 | – | – | style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 7.5 |
| Nexo/CEPES–A[p 51][p 52] | 6–8 Feb 2006 | 1,043 | ? | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 45.6 Template:Font |
34.6 Template:Font |
6.5 Template:Font |
6.6 Template:Font |
style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 11.0 |
| Metroscopia/ABC[p 53] | 10–17 Jan 2006 | 802 | 72 | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 52.1 Template:Font |
32.4 Template:Font |
7.2 Template:Font |
5.6 Template:Font |
style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 19.7 |
| CADPEA/UGR[p 54][p 55] | 15 Nov–4 Dec 2005 | 3,200 | 75.8 | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 47.5 | 34.5 | 7.5 | 5.4 | style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 13.0 |
| IESA/CSIC[p 56][p 57] | 14 Nov–3 Dec 2005 | 3,710 | 71 | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 47.8 | 33.3 | 7.0 | 6.4 | style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 14.5 |
| Grupo ESTIO/El Correo[p 58] | 23–30 Nov 2005 | 1,000 | ? | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 48.3 | 33.3 | 7.9 | 5.2 | style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 15.0 |
| Sigma Dos/PP[p 59] | 14–15 Nov 2005 | 1,000 | ? | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 47.8 | 37.3 | 6.3 | 5.1 | style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 10.5 |
| Metroscopia/ABCTemplate:Efn[p 60] | 22–29 Sep 2005 | 802 | 67.8 | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 50.6 | 29.8 | 8.7 | 5.0 | style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 20.8 |
| CADPEA/UGR[p 61] | 1–22 Jul 2005 | 1,200 | 75 | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 48.1 | 35.3 | 7.8 | 5.1 | style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 12.8 |
| Metroscopia/ABCTemplate:Efn[p 62] | 1–6 Jul 2005 | 798 | 71.9 | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 49.5 | 32.8 | 5.0 | 6.8 | style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 16.7 |
| Metroscopia/ABCTemplate:Efn[p 63] | 27 Apr–4 May 2005 | 800 | 71.4 | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 52.5 | 31.2 | 7.8 | 4.9 | style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 21.3 |
| Ipsos–Eco/Grupo Joly[p 64] | 28 Feb 2005 | ? | ? | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 50.0 Template:Font |
29.8 Template:Font |
7.2 Template:Font |
7.7 Template:Font |
style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 20.2 |
| Opina/El País[p 65] | 28 Feb 2005 | 1,500 | ? | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 51.0 Template:Font |
32.5 Template:Font |
7.5 Template:Font |
6.5 Template:Font |
style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 18.5 |
| Insight/PP[p 66] | 26 Feb 2005 | 1,200 | ? | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 49.5 | 34.8 | 6.4 | 5.0 | style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 14.7 |
| Nexo/CEPES–A[p 67] | 22 Feb 2005 | ? | ? | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 51.6 | 30.8 | 6.9 | 5.8 | style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 20.8 |
| Sigma Dos/Vocento[p 68] | 15–18 Feb 2005 | 1,000 | ? | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 50.0 | 34.2 | 6.8 | 5.3 | style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 15.8 |
| IESA/CSIC[p 69][p 70] | 15 Jan 2005 | 3,700 | 72 | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 50.5 | 32.5 | 8.1 | 6.6 | style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 18.0 |
| CADPEA/UGR[p 42] | 24 Nov–20 Dec 2004 | ? | ? | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 50.9 | 31.4 | 7.8 | 5.5 | style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 19.5 |
| IESA/CSIC[p 71] | 15 Nov–3 Dec 2004 | 3,700 | 72 | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 49.2 | 33.9 | 8.4 | 6.3 | style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 15.3 |
| Insight/PP[p 66][p 72] | 20 Nov 2004 | ? | ? | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 49.6 | 33.7 | 7.2 | 5.4 | style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 15.9 |
| Synovate/PSOE[p 73][p 74] | 13–18 Oct 2004 | 1,200 | ? | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 54.9 | 32.4 | 6.5 | 5.2 | style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 22.5 |
| 2004 EP election | 13 Jun 2004 | — | 40.9 | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 54.4 Template:Font |
36.1 Template:Font |
5.0 Template:Font |
2.6 Template:Font |
style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 18.3 |
| 2004 regional election | 14 Mar 2004 | — | 74.7 | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 50.4 Template:Font |
31.8 Template:Font |
7.5 Template:Font |
6.2 Template:Font |
style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 18.6 |
Voting preferences
The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PSOE–A | PP | IULV | PA | Template:Qmark | Template:Cross | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| style="color:inherit;background:Template:Party color;"| | style="color:inherit;background:Template:Party color;"| | style="color:inherit;background:Template:Party color;"| | style="color:inherit;background:Template:Party color;"| | ||||||
| 2008 regional election | 9 Mar 2008 | — | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 35.3 | 28.3 | 5.2 | 2.0 | — | 26.4 | style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 7.0 |
| CIS[p 17] | 21 Jan–4 Feb 2008 | 3,277 | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 40.3 | 19.8 | 3.7 | 2.4 | 21.9 | 9.2 | style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 20.5 |
| CADPEA/UGR[p 24] | 10 Dec–12 Jan 2008 | 3,200 | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 32.3 | 19.3 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 26.3 | 11.7 | style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 13.0 |
| 2004 regional election | 14 Mar 2004 | — | Template:Party shading/PSOE| 37.9 | 24.0 | 5.7 | 4.7 | — | 24.2 | style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 13.9 |
Voter turnout
The table below shows registered vote turnout on election day without including voters from the Census of Absent-Residents (CERA).
| Province | Time | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | 18:00 | 20:00 | ||||||||
| 2004 | 2008 | +/– | 2004 | 2008 | +/– | 2004 | 2008 | +/– | ||
| Almería | 40.09% | 40.32% | −0.23 | 62.09% | 60.52% | −1.57 | 74.03% | 74.66% | +0.63 | |
| Cádiz | 38.34% | 37.19% | −1.15 | 58.93% | 55.85% | −3.08 | 70.79% | 68.12% | −2.67 | |
| Córdoba | 43.22% | 39.91% | −3.31 | 65.57% | 60.88% | −4.69 | 79.64% | 76.62% | −3.02 | |
| Granada | 42.03% | 39.98% | −2.05 | 64.61% | 61.01% | −3.60 | 77.54% | 75.89% | −1.65 | |
| Huelva | 37.20% | 36.24% | −0.96 | 59.01% | 55.62% | −3.39 | 73.82% | 70.40% | −3.42 | |
| Jaén | 40.91% | 38.97% | −1.94 | 64.97% | 61.25% | −3.72 | 81.25% | 79.26% | −1.99 | |
| Málaga | 41.02% | 39.93% | −1.09 | 61.73% | 59.49% | −2.24 | 72.94% | 72.31% | −0.63 | |
| Seville | 42.51% | 36.26% | −6.25 | 65.89% | 60.72% | −5.17 | 77.79% | 74.38% | −3.41 | |
| Total | 40.99% | 39.07% | –1.92 | 63.16% | 59.51% | –3.65 | 75.85% | 73.65% | –2.20 | |
| Sources[10][11] | ||||||||||
Results
Overall
| Parties and alliances | Popular vote | Seats | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | ±pp | Total | +/− | ||
| width="1" style="color:inherit;background:Template:Party color"| | Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia (PSOE–A) | 2,178,296 | 48.41 | −1.95 | 56 | −5 |
| style="color:inherit;background:Template:Party color"| | People's Party (PP) | 1,730,154 | 38.45 | +6.67 | 47 | +10 |
| style="color:inherit;background:Template:Party color"| | United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia (IULV–CA) | 317,562 | 7.06 | −0.45 | 6 | ±0 |
| style="color:inherit;background:Template:Party color"| | Andalusian Coalition (CA)1 | 124,243 | 2.76 | −5.53 | 0 | −5 |
| style="color:inherit;background:Template:Party color"| | Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) | 27,712 | 0.62 | New | 0 | ±0 |
| style="color:inherit;background:Template:Party color"| | The Greens (LV) | 25,886 | 0.58 | New | 0 | ±0 |
| style="color:inherit;background:Template:Party color"| | Party of Almería (PdeAL) | 14,806 | 0.33 | New | 0 | ±0 |
| style="color:inherit;background:Template:Party color"| | Andalusian Convergence (CAnda) | 7,862 | 0.17 | New | 0 | ±0 |
| style="color:inherit;background:Template:Party color"| | Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (C's) | 6,024 | 0.13 | New | 0 | ±0 |
| style="color:inherit;background:Template:Party color"| | Republican Left (IR) | 4,815 | 0.11 | +0.04 | 0 | ±0 |
| style="color:inherit;background:Template:Party color"| | Humanist Party (PH) | 3,951 | 0.09 | −0.04 | 0 | ±0 |
| style="color:inherit;background:Template:Party color"| | Communist Party of the Andalusian People (PCPA) | 2,743 | 0.06 | New | 0 | ±0 |
| style="color:inherit;background:Template:Party color"| | Internationalist Solidarity and Self-Management (SAIn) | 2,729 | 0.06 | New | 0 | ±0 |
| style="color:inherit;background:Template:Party color"| | Spanish Phalanx of the CNSO (FE–JONS) | 1,763 | 0.04 | −0.06 | 0 | ±0 |
| style="color:inherit;background:Template:Party color"| | Andalusian Social Democratic Party (PSDA) | 1,477 | 0.03 | −0.01 | 0 | ±0 |
| style="color:inherit;background:Template:Party color"| | Family and Life Party (PFyV) | 890 | 0.02 | New | 0 | ±0 |
| style="color:inherit;background:Template:Party color"| | Christian Positivist Party (PPCr) | 780 | 0.02 | New | 0 | ±0 |
| Blank ballots | 47,920 | 1.06 | −0.33 | |||
| Total | 4,499,613 | 109 | ±0 | |||
| Valid votes | 4,499,613 | 99.37 | +0.02 | |||
| Invalid votes | 28,658 | 0.63 | −0.02 | |||
| Votes cast / turnout | 4,528,271 | 72.67 | −1.99 | |||
| Abstentions | 1,702,816 | 27.33 | +1.99 | |||
| Registered voters | 6,231,087 | |||||
| Sources[12][13][14] | ||||||
| <templatestyles src="Template:Hidden begin/styles.css"/> Footnotes: | ||||||
Distribution by constituency
| Constituency | PSOE–A | PP | IULV–CA | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| colspan="2" style="background:Template:Party color"| | colspan="2" style="background:Template:Party color"| | colspan="2" style="background:Template:Party color"| | ||||
| % | S | % | S | % | S | |
| Almería | 39.1 | 5 | style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 49.3 | 7 | 3.8 | − |
| Cádiz | style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 47.8 | 8 | 38.3 | 6 | 6.6 | 1 |
| Córdoba | style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 46.6 | 6 | 37.9 | 5 | 9.5 | 1 |
| Granada | style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 46.1 | 6 | 42.0 | 6 | 7.3 | 1 |
| Huelva | style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 52.0 | 6 | 35.2 | 4 | 7.6 | 1 |
| Jaén | style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 53.3 | 7 | 36.6 | 5 | 6.1 | − |
| Málaga | 43.2 | 7 | style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 43.6 | 8 | 7.1 | 1 |
| Seville | style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 54.4 | 11 | 31.7 | 6 | 7.3 | 1 |
| Total | style="background:Template:Party color; color:white;"| 48.4 | 56 | 38.5 | 47 | 7.1 | 6 |
| Sources[12][13][14] | ||||||
Aftermath
Government formation
| Investiture Manuel Chaves (PSOE–A) | ||
| Ballot → | 17 April 2008 | |
|---|---|---|
| Required majority → | 55 out of 109 check | |
| Script error: No such module "collapsible list". | Template:Composition bar | |
| Script error: No such module "collapsible list". | Template:Composition bar | |
| Abstentions | Template:Composition bar | |
| Script error: No such module "collapsible list". | Template:Composition bar | |
| Sources[12] | ||
2009 investiture
Script error: No such module "labelled list hatnote". On 7 April 2009, Manuel Chaves resigned as regional President in order to become Third Deputy Prime Minister in the Second Zapatero Government, being succeeded as acting officeholder by Vice President Gaspar Zarrías. On 22 April, José Antonio Griñán was elected as new President by the Parliament of Andalusia.
| Investiture José Antonio Griñán (PSOE–A) | ||
| Ballot → | 22 April 2009 | |
|---|---|---|
| Required majority → | 55 out of 109 check | |
| Script error: No such module "collapsible list". | Template:Composition bar | |
| Script error: No such module "collapsible list". | Template:Composition bar | |
| Abstentions | Template:Composition bar | |
| Absentees | Template:Composition bar | |
| Sources[12] | ||
Notes
References
- Opinion poll sources
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Template:Andalusian elections Template:Regional elections in Spain in the 2000s Template:Use dmy dates