2006 Maryland gubernatorial election

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Template:Short description Template:Use American English Template:Use mdy dates Script error: No such module "infobox".Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". Template:Elections in Maryland sidebar

The 2006 Maryland gubernatorial election was held on November 7, 2006. Incumbent Republican governor Bob Ehrlich ran for a second term, but was defeated by the Democratic nominee, Baltimore Mayor Martin O'Malley. Ehrlich was the only incumbent governor from either party to lose a general election in the 2006 midterms.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Campaign

Baltimore Mayor Martin O'Malley and Montgomery County Executive Doug Duncan emerged as the two Democratic candidates for governor in late 2005. Early polling indicated that O'Malley would have the advantage in both the Democratic primary and the general election, with a solid lead over Duncan in the primary and a several point lead over Ehrlich in the general.[1]

As the gubernatorial campaign intensified, Duncan withdrew from the race, citing his diagnosis with clinical depression. In the same announcement, he threw his support behind O'Malley and declined to seek another office in the fall. No other Democratic candidate had announced, so O'Malley was unopposed in the primary election.

O'Malley selected Anthony Brown, a black State Delegate from Prince George's County and a veteran of the Iraq War, as his running mate.

Results

Democratic primary results[2]
Party Candidate Votes %
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Total votes Script error: No such module "string". 100.00%

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Republican primary

Candidates

Campaign

Ehrlich sought a second term as governor and did not face opposition at any point in the Republican primary. Incumbent lieutenant governor Michael Steele ran for the U.S. Senate instead of seeking a second term as lieutenant governor, so Ehrlich named Maryland Secretary of Disabilities Kristen Cox, who is blind, as his running mate.

Results

Republican primary results[2]
Party Candidate Votes %
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Total votes Script error: No such module "string". 100.00%

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General election

Candidates

Campaign

Elected to his first term in 2002, incumbent Republican governor Bob Ehrlich ran for a second term as governor, opposed by the Democratic nominee, Martin O'Malley, the mayor of Baltimore. Both candidates emerged from uncontested primary elections and a contentious election season began.

Early in the campaign, Ehrlich boasted decent approval ratings from Maryland citizens, with a Gonzalez Research poll taken during October 2005 showing him with a 49% approval rating.[1] and The Baltimore Sun poll from November 2005 giving the Governor a 50% approval and a 33% disapproval.[3] However, the unpopularity of the national Republican Party and President George W. Bush dragged Ehrlich's re-election chances down.[4][5]

Ehrlich launched attack ads that hit O'Malley on crime in Baltimore under his tenure as Mayor, calling the murder rate in Baltimore "awful" and "an embarrassment to the state of Maryland."[6] O'Malley countered with one television ad that featured testimonials from local community leaders, Howard County Executive James N. Robey, Baltimore County Executive James T. Smith Jr.[7] and another ad that attacked Ehrlich for breaking his promise to end parole for violent criminals.[8]

The Washington Post and The Washington Times both endorsed Ehrlich in his bid for re-election, with the Times praising Ehrlich's "brand of moderate conservatism that offers a refreshing contrast" to the state's historically Democratic leanings[9] and the Post called him "a generally proficient, pragmatic governor" and praised him for "successes on transportation, the environment and education."[10]

In turn, The Baltimore Sun endorsed O'Malley, saying, "the progress under the mayor's tenure is clear and irrefutable", and that he addressed "rising crime, failing schools and shrinking economic prospects."[11] O'Malley also called upon the praise given to him by TIME Magazine when they named him one of the country's "Top 5 Big City Mayors."[12]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Template:USRaceRating November 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] Template:USRaceRating November 6, 2006
Rothenberg Political Report[15] Template:USRaceRating November 2, 2006
Real Clear Politics[16] Template:USRaceRating November 6, 2006

Polling

Source Date Martin
O'Malley (D) 		Bob
Ehrlich (R)
SurveyUSAScript error: No such module "Unsubst". November 5, 2006 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | 50% 47%
The Baltimore Sun/Potomac Inc.[17] November 1, 2006 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | 47% 46%
The Wall Street Journal/Zogby[18] October 31, 2006 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | 49.3% 43.9%
Public Opinion Strategies[19] October 31, 2006 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | 46% 45%
Rasmussen[20] October 30, 2006 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | 50% 47%
The Washington Post[21] October 29, 2006 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | 55% 45%
Rasmussen[22] October 17, 2006 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | 53% 45%
USA Today/Gallup[23] October 6, 2006 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | 53% 41%
The Baltimore Sun/Potomac Inc.[24] September 24, 2006 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | 50% 44%
Survey USA[25] September 20, 2006 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | 51% 44%
Rasmussen[26] September 20, 2006 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | 49% 42%
The Wall Street Journal/Zogby[18] September 11, 2006 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | 52.5% 39.6%
The Wall Street Journal/Zogby[18] August 28, 2006 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | 52.0% 42.2%
Rasmussen[27] August 18, 2006 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | 50% 43%
[28] August 14, 2006 41% 41%
The Wall Street Journal/Zogby[18] July 24, 2006 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | 51.3% 42.2%
Rasmussen[29] July 17, 2006 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | 49% 42%
The Baltimore Sun/Potomac Inc.[30] July 16, 2006 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | 46% 38%
The Washington Post[31] June 25, 2006 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | 51% 40%
The Wall Street Journal/Zogby[18] June 21, 2006 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | 53.1% 39.2%
Opinion Works[32] April 27, 2006 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | 46% 37%
Rasmussen[33] April 21, 2006 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | 51% 42%
Gonzales Research[34] April 18, 2006 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | 46% 41%
Rasmussen[35] January 13, 2006 42% style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | 47%
The Wall Street Journal/Zogby[36] January 13, 2006 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | 53% 40%
Rasmussen[37] November 22, 2005 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | 46% 40%
The Baltimore Sun[38] November 6, 2005 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | 48% 33%
The Baltimore Sun[39] October 25, 2005 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | 48% 42%
Rasmussen[40] July 18, 2005 41% style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | 46%
The Baltimore Sun[41] April 17, 2005 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | 45% 39%
The Baltimore Sun[41] January 2005 40% 40%

Results

Template:Election box winning candidate with party linkTemplate:Election box write-in with party link
Maryland gubernatorial election, 2006[42]
Party Candidate Votes % <templatestyles src="Template:Tooltip/styles.css" />±%Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters".
Script error: No such module "Political party". Bob Ehrlich (incumbent) 825,464 46.16% Script error: No such module "String".
Script error: No such module "Political party". Ed Boyd 15,551 0.87% Script error: No such module "String".
Script error: No such module "Political party". Christopher Driscoll 3,481 0.19% Script error: No such module "String".
Total votes 1,788,316 100.00% N/A
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Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

References

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  8. ↑ Script error: No such module "citation/CS1".Template:Cbignore
  9. ↑ Script error: No such module "citation/CS1".
  10. ↑ Script error: No such module "citation/CS1".
  11. ↑ Script error: No such module "citation/CS1".
  12. ↑ Script error: No such module "citation/CS1".
  13. ↑ Script error: No such module "citation/CS1".
  14. ↑ Script error: No such module "citation/CS1".
  15. ↑ Script error: No such module "citation/CS1".
  16. ↑ Script error: No such module "citation/CS1".
  17. ↑ Script error: No such module "citation/CS1".
  18. ↑ a b c d e Script error: No such module "citation/CS1".
  19. ↑ Public Opinion Strategies
  20. ↑ Script error: No such module "citation/CS1".
  21. ↑ Washington Post
  22. ↑ Rasmussen
  23. ↑ Script error: No such module "citation/CS1".
  24. ↑ Baltimore Sun/Potomac Inc.
  25. ↑ Script error: No such module "citation/CS1".
  26. ↑ Rasmussen
  27. ↑ Rasmussen
  28. ↑ Script error: No such module "citation/CS1".
  29. ↑ Rasmussen
  30. ↑ Script error: No such module "citation/CS1".
  31. ↑ The Washington Post
  32. ↑ Script error: No such module "citation/CS1".
  33. ↑ Rasmussen
  34. ↑ Script error: No such module "citation/CS1".
  35. ↑ Rasmussen
  36. ↑ Script error: No such module "citation/CS1".
  37. ↑ Script error: No such module "citation/CS1".
  38. ↑ Script error: No such module "citation/CS1".
  39. ↑ Script error: No such module "citation/CS1".
  40. ↑ Script error: No such module "citation/CS1".
  41. ↑ a b Script error: No such module "citation/CS1".
  42. ↑ Script error: No such module "citation/CS1".

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External links

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