2002 Arizona gubernatorial election

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File:2002 Arizona gubernatorial Republican primary election results map by county.svg
Republican primary results by county Script error: No such module "collapsible list".
File:2002 Arizona gubernatorial Democratic primary election results map by county.svg
Democratic primary results by county Script error: No such module "collapsible list". Script error: No such module "collapsible list".
File:2002 Arizona gubernatorial Libertarian primary election results map by county.svg
Libertarian primary results by county Script error: No such module "collapsible list". Script error: No such module "collapsible list". <templatestyles src="Legend/styles.css" />
  Tie

Template:ElectionsAZ The 2002 Arizona gubernatorial election took place on November 5, 2002. Incumbent Republican governor Jane Dee Hull was term-limited. The Democratic nominee, Arizona Attorney General Janet Napolitano, narrowly defeated Republican Matt Salmon, a former U.S. Representative. Upon her inauguration, Napolitano became the first woman to succeed another woman as governor of a state. , this was the last gubernatorial election in Arizona in which the margin of victory was single-digit margin Until 2022 And last time that a winning candidate won governorship without Maricopa County.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declined to run

Results

Republican primary results[2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Script error: No such module "Political party". Matt Salmon Script error: No such module "string". 55.99%
Script error: No such module "Political party". Betsey Bayless Script error: No such module "string". 29.75%
Script error: No such module "Political party". Carol Springer Script error: No such module "string". 14.26%
Script error: No such module "Political party". Steve Moore (write-in) Script error: No such module "string". 0.01%
Script error: No such module "Political party". Diana Kennedy (write-in) Script error: No such module "string". 0.00%
Total votes Script error: No such module "string". 100.00%

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Democratic primary

Candidates

Results

Democratic primary results[2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Script error: No such module "Political party". Janet Napolitano Script error: No such module "string". 57.23%
Script error: No such module "Political party". Alfredo Gutierrez Script error: No such module "string". 22.40%
Script error: No such module "Political party". Mark Osterloh Script error: No such module "string". 13.97%
Script error: No such module "Political party". Mike Newcomb Script error: No such module "string". 6.39%
Total votes Script error: No such module "string". 100.00%

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Libertarian primary

Candidates

  • Gary Fallon
  • Barry Ness

Results

Libertarian primary results[2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Script error: No such module "Political party". Barry Hess Script error: No such module "string". 51.01%
Script error: No such module "Political party". Gary Fallon Script error: No such module "string". 48.99%
Total votes Script error: No such module "string". 100.00%

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General election

Debates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[3] Template:USRaceRating October 31, 2002
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4] Template:USRaceRating November 4, 2002

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeTemplate:Efn
Margin
of error
Janet
Napolitano (D)
Matt
Salmon (R)
Richard
Mahoney (I)
Barry
Hess (L)
Other /
Undecided
SurveyUSA[5] October 29–31, 2002 661 (LV) ± 3.9% style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 43% 41% 11% 3% 1%

Results

The election was extremely close: Napolitano won by just 11,819 votes out of 1,226,111 cast, the closest gubernatorial election in Arizona in many years. Napolitano also won without carrying Maricopa County. Under Arizonan law, the losing candidate may request a recount, for which that candidate must pay, if the margin of victory is less than one percent but greater than half of one percent. In 2002, the margin of victory in 2002 was 1.0%, barely allowing a recount.

It soon became apparent that Napolitano had won the election and would be the next governor of Arizona. Salmon acknowledged that the chance of his prevailing in a recount was extremely small and decided not to ask for one (recounts seldom see a swing over 1,000 votes;Script error: No such module "Unsubst". he was losing by over 10,000). He officially called Napolitano on November 17 and congratulated her on her victory.

On November 20, Arizona Secretary of State Betsey Bayless certified the results of the election and declared Napolitano the governor-elect.

Template:Election box winning candidate with party link
Arizona gubernatorial election, 2002[6]
Party Candidate Votes % <templatestyles src="Template:Tooltip/styles.css" />±%Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters".
Script error: No such module "Political party". Matt Salmon 554,465 45.22% Script error: No such module "String".
Independent Richard D. Mahoney 84,947 6.93%
Script error: No such module "Political party". Barry Hess 20,356 1.66% Script error: No such module "String".
Independent Carlton Rahmani (write-in) 29 0.00%
Independent Tracey Sturgess (write-in) 15 0.00%
Independent Naida Axford (write-in) 5 0.00%
Independent Raymond Caplette (write-in) 5 0.00%
Independent D'Herrera Tapia (write-in) 4 0.00%
Independent L. D. Talbow (write-in) 1 0.00%
Majority 11,819 0.96% Script error: No such module "String".
Total votes 1,226,111 100.00%
Script error: No such module "Political party". gain from Script error: No such module "Political party". Template:Yesno Swing +26.38%

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Results by county

County Janet Napolitano
Democratic
Matt Salmon
Republican
Richard D. Mahoney
Independent
Barry Hess
Libertarian
All others
Write-in
Margin Total votes
cast[6]
# % # % # % # % # % # %
style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|Apache style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|10,927 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|61.22% style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|4,041 style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|22.64% Template:Party shading/Independent|2,516 Template:Party shading/Independent|14.10% style="background:Template:Party color"|365 style="background:Template:Party color"|2.04% Template:Party shading/Independent|1 Template:Party shading/Independent|0.01% style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|6,886 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|38.58% style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|17,850
style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|Cochise style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|11,401 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|41.08% style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|13,210 style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|47.60% Template:Party shading/Independent|2,713 Template:Party shading/Independent|9.78% style="background:Template:Party color"|426 style="background:Template:Party color"|1.53% Template:Party shading/Independent|4 Template:Party shading/Independent|0.01% style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|-1,809 style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|-6.52% style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|27,754
style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|Coconino style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|18,928 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|54.89% style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|11,585 style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|33.59% Template:Party shading/Independent|3,260 Template:Party shading/Independent|9.45% style="background:Template:Party color"|709 style="background:Template:Party color"|2.06% Template:Party shading/Independent|3 Template:Party shading/Independent|0.01% style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|7,343 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|21.29% style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|34,485
style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|Gila style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|7,331 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|47.44% style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|6,336 style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|41.00% Template:Party shading/Independent|1,467 Template:Party shading/Independent|9.49% style="background:Template:Party color"|317 style="background:Template:Party color"|2.05% Template:Party shading/Independent|1 Template:Party shading/Independent|0.01% style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|995 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|6.44% style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|15,452
style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|Graham style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|2,924 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|36.64% style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|4,491 style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|56.27% Template:Party shading/Independent|467 Template:Party shading/Independent|5.85% style="background:Template:Party color"|99 style="background:Template:Party color"|1.24% Template:Party shading/Independent|0 Template:Party shading/Independent|0.00% style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|-1,567 style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|-19.63% style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|7,981
style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|Greenlee style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|966 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|44.91% style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|955 style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|44.40% Template:Party shading/Independent|180 Template:Party shading/Independent|8.37% style="background:Template:Party color"|50 style="background:Template:Party color"|2.32% Template:Party shading/Independent|0 Template:Party shading/Independent|0.00% style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|11 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|0.51% style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|2,151
style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|La Paz style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|1,488 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|41.04% style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|1,766 style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|48.70% Template:Party shading/Independent|259 Template:Party shading/Independent|7.14% style="background:Template:Party color"|113 style="background:Template:Party color"|3.12% Template:Party shading/Independent|0 Template:Party shading/Independent|0.00% style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|-278 style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|-7.67% style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|3,626
style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|Maricopa style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|313,107 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|44.43% style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|337,954 style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|47.95% Template:Party shading/Independent|42,696 Template:Party shading/Independent|6.06% style="background:Template:Party color"|10,966 style="background:Template:Party color"|1.56% Template:Party shading/Independent|27 Template:Party shading/Independent|0.00% style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|-24,847 style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|-3.53% style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|704,750
style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|Mohave style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|13,227 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|37.59% style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|18,431 style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|52.38% Template:Party shading/Independent|2,889 Template:Party shading/Independent|8.21% style="background:Template:Party color"|639 style="background:Template:Party color"|1.82% Template:Party shading/Independent|0 Template:Party shading/Independent|0.00% style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|-5,204 style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|-14.79% style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|35,186
style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|Navajo style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|11,669 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|49.74% style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|9,423 style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|40.17% Template:Party shading/Independent|1,920 Template:Party shading/Independent|8.18% style="background:Template:Party color"|444 style="background:Template:Party color"|1.89% Template:Party shading/Independent|2 Template:Party shading/Independent|0.01% style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|2,246 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|9.57% style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|23,458
style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|Pima style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|118,896 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|51.74% style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|89,002 style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|38.73% Template:Party shading/Independent|17,751 Template:Party shading/Independent|7.72% style="background:Template:Party color"|4,140 style="background:Template:Party color"|1.80% Template:Party shading/Independent|14 Template:Party shading/Independent|0.01% style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|29,894 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|13.01% style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|229,803
style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|Pinal style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|18,300 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|48.13% style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|16,380 style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|43.08% Template:Party shading/Independent|2,658 Template:Party shading/Independent|6.99% style="background:Template:Party color"|682 style="background:Template:Party color"|1.79% Template:Party shading/Independent|3 Template:Party shading/Independent|0.01% style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|1,920 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|5.05% style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|38,023
style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|Santa Cruz style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|3,675 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|57.93% style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|2,069 style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|32.61% Template:Party shading/Independent|495 Template:Party shading/Independent|7.80% style="background:Template:Party color"|105 style="background:Template:Party color"|1.66% Template:Party shading/Independent|0 Template:Party shading/Independent|0.00% style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|1,606 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|25.32% style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|6,344
style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|Yavapai style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|23,238 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|40.50% style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|28,245 style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|49.23% Template:Party shading/Independent|4,866 Template:Party shading/Independent|8.48% style="background:Template:Party color"|1,024 style="background:Template:Party color"|1.78% Template:Party shading/Independent|3 Template:Party shading/Independent|0.01% style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|-5,007 style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|-8.73% style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|57,376
style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|Yuma style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|10,207 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|46.67% style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|10,577 style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|48.36% Template:Party shading/Independent|810 Template:Party shading/Independent|3.70% style="background:Template:Party color"|277 style="background:Template:Party color"|1.27% Template:Party shading/Independent|1 Template:Party shading/Independent|0.00% style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|-370 style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|-1.69% style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading"|21,872
Totals 566,284 46.19% 554,465 45.22% 84,947 6.93% 20,356 1.66% 59 0.00% 11,819 0.96% 1,226,111

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Notes

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References

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Template:Arizona gubernatorial elections Template:United States general elections, 2002 Template:US Third Party Election