United States midterm election

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File:Oklahoma general election ballot for 2018.png
A 2018 Oklahoma general election ballot, listing candidates for state and local offices, as well as those for U.S. Congress

Midterm elections in the United States are the general elections that are held near the midpoint of a president's four-year term of office, on Election Day on the Tuesday next after the first Monday in November. Federal offices that are up for election during the midterms include all 435 seats in the United States House of Representatives, and 33 or 34 of the 100 seats in the United States Senate.

In addition, 34 of the 50 U.S. states elect their governors for four-year terms during midterm elections, while Vermont and New Hampshire elect governors to two-year terms in both midterm and presidential elections. Thus, 36 governors are elected during midterm elections. Many states also elect officers to their state legislatures in midterm years. There are also elections held at the municipal level. On the ballot are many mayors, other local public offices, and a wide variety of citizen and legislatively referred initiatives.

Special elections are often held in conjunction with regular elections,[1] so additional Senators, governors and other local officials may be elected to partial terms.

Midterm elections historically generate lower voter turnout than presidential elections. While the latter have had turnouts of about 50–60% over the past 60 years, only about 40% of those eligible to vote go to the polls in midterm elections.[2][3] Historically, midterm elections often see the president's party lose seats in Congress, and also frequently see the president's opposite-party opponents gain control of one or both houses of Congress.[4]

Background

While Article II, Section 1, Clause 1 of the United States Constitution sets the U.S. president's term of office to four years, Article I, Section 2, Clause 1 sets a two-year term for congressmembers elected to the U.S. House of Representatives. Article I, Section 3, Clause 1 then sets a six-year term for those elected to the U.S. Senate, with Clause 2 dividing the chamber into three "classes" so that approximately one-third of those seats are up for election every two years.[5]

The elections for many state and local government offices are held during the midterms so they are not overshadowed or influenced by the presidential election.Script error: No such module "Unsubst". Still, a number of state and local governments instead prefer to avoid presidential and midterm years altogether and schedule their local races during odd-numbered "off-years".[6]

Historical record of midterm

Script error: No such module "Labelled list hatnote". Midterm elections are regarded as a referendum on the sitting president's and/or incumbent party's performance.[7][8]

The party of the incumbent president tends to lose ground during midterm elections:[9] since World War II, the president's party has lost an average of 26 seats in the House, and an average of four seats in the Senate.

Moreover, since direct public midterm elections were introduced, in only eight of those (under presidents Woodrow Wilson, Franklin D. Roosevelt, John F. Kennedy, Richard Nixon, Bill Clinton, George W. Bush, Donald Trump, and Joe Biden) has the president's party gained seats in the House or the Senate, and of those only two (1934, Franklin D. Roosevelt, and 2002, George W. Bush) have seen the president's party gain seats in both houses.

The losses suffered during a president's second midterm tend to be more pronounced than during their first midterm,[10] in what is described as a "six-year itch".

Year Sitting president President's party Net gain/loss of president's partyTemplate:Efn
House seats Senate seats
1790 George Washington NoneTemplate:Efn style="background:Template:Party color" | +3: (37 ► 40) style="background:Template:Party color" | 0: (18 ► 18)
1794 -4: (51 ► 47) +3: (16 ► 19)
1798 John Adams Federalist +3: (57 ► 60) 0: (22 ► 22)
1802 Thomas Jefferson Democratic-Republican +35: (68 ► 103) +5: (17 ► 22)
1806 +2: (114 ► 116) +1: (27 ► 28)
1810 James Madison Democratic-Republican +13: (94 ► 107) 0: (26 ► 26)
1814 +5: (114 ► 119) -3: (26 ► 22)
1818 James Monroe Democratic-Republican +13: (145 ► 158) +2: (28 ► 30)
1822 +34: (155 ► 189) 0: (44 ► 44)
1826 John Quincy Adams Democratic-RepublicanTemplate:Efn Template:Party shading/Pro-Jacksonian | -9: (109 ► 100) Template:Party shading/Pro-Jacksonian | -2: (21 ► 19)
1830 Andrew Jackson rowspan=2 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | DemocraticTemplate:Efn Template:Party shading/Pro-Jacksonian | -10: (136 ► 126) Template:Party shading/Pro-Jacksonian | +1: (25 ► 26)
1834 Template:Party shading/Pro-Jacksonian | 0: (143 ► 143) +1: (21 ► 22)
1838 Martin Van Buren style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | Democratic style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | -3: (128 ► 125) style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | -7: (35 ► 28)
1842 John Tyler NoneTemplate:Efn style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | -69: (142 ► 73) style="background-color:Template:Party color" | -3: (30 ► 27)
1846 James K. Polk style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | Democratic style="background-color:Template:Party color" | -30: (142 ► 112) style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | +2: (33 ► 35)
1850 Millard Fillmore style="background-color:Template:Party color" | Whig style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | -22: (108 ► 86) style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | -3: (36 ► 33)
1854 Franklin Pierce style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | Democratic -75: (158 ► 83) style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | -3: (36 ► 33)
1858 James Buchanan style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | Democratic style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | -35: (133 ► 98) style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | -4: (32 ► 38)
1862 Abraham Lincoln style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | Republican style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | -23: (108 ► 85) style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | +1: (31 ► 32)
1866 Andrew Johnson style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | Democratic style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | +9: (38 ► 47) style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | 0: (10 ► 10)
1870 Ulysses S. Grant rowspan = 2 style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | Republican style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | -32: (171 ► 139) style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | -5: (63 ► 58)
1874 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | -93: (199 ► 106) style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | -10: (52 ► 42)
1878 Rutherford B. Hayes style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | Republican style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | -4: (136 ► 132) style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | -7: (38 ► 31)
1882 Chester A. Arthur style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | Republican style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | -29: (151 ► 118) style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | 0: (37 ► 37)
1886 Grover Cleveland style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | Democratic style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | -16: (183 ► 167) style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | +2: (34 ► 36)
1890 Benjamin Harrison style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | Republican style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | -93: (179 ► 86) style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | -4: (47 ► 43)
1894 Grover Cleveland style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | Democratic style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | -127: (220 ► 93) style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | -4: (44 ► 40)
1898 William McKinley style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | Republican style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | -21: (205 ► 189) style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | +6: (44 ► 50)
1902 Theodore Roosevelt rowspan = 2 style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | Republican style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | +9: (201 ► 210) style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | 0: (55 ► 55)
1906 style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | -27: (251 ► 224) style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | +2: (58 ► 60)
1910 William Howard Taft style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | Republican style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | -56: (219 ► 163) style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | -9: (59 ► 50)
1914 Woodrow Wilson rowspan=2 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | Democratic style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | -61: (291 ► 230) style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | +3: (50 ► 53)
1918 style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | -22: (214 ► 192) style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | -4: (52 ► 48)
1922 Warren G. Harding style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | Republican style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | -77: (302 ► 225) style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | -7: (60 ► 53)
1926 Calvin Coolidge style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | Republican style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | -9: (247 ► 238) style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | -6: (56 ► 50)
1930 Herbert Hoover style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | Republican style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | -52: (270 ► 218) style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | -6: (56 ► 50)
1934 Franklin D. Roosevelt rowspan=3 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | Democratic style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | +9: (313 ► 322) style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | +9: (60 ► 69)
1938 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | -72: (334 ► 262) style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | -7: (75 ► 68)
1942 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | -45: (267 ► 222) style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | -8: (65 ► 57)
1946 Harry S. Truman rowspan=2 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | Democratic style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | -54: (242 ► 188) style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | -10: (56 ► 46)
1950 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | -28: (263 ► 235) style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | -5: (54 ► 49)
1954 Dwight D. Eisenhower rowspan=2 style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | Republican style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | -18: (221 ► 203) style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | -2: (49 ► 47)
1958 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | -48: (201 ► 153) style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | -12: (47 ► 35)
1962 John F. Kennedy style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | Democratic style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | -4: (262 ► 258) style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | +4: (64 ► 68)
1966 Lyndon B. Johnson style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | Democratic style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | -47: (295 ► 248) style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | -3: (67 ► 64)
1970 Richard Nixon style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | Republican style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | -12: (192 ► 180) style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | +2: (43 ► 45)
1974 Gerald Ford style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | Republican style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | -48: (192 ► 144) style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | -4: (42 ► 38)
1978 Jimmy Carter style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | Democratic style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | -15: (292 ► 277) style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | -2: (61 ► 59)
1982 Ronald Reagan rowspan=2 style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | Republican style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | -26: (192 ► 166) style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | 0: (54 ► 54)
1986 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | -5: (182 ► 177) style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | -8: (53 ► 45)
1990 George H. W. Bush style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | Republican style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | -8: (175 ► 167) style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | -1: (45 ► 44)
1994 Bill Clinton rowspan=2 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | Democratic style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | -54: (258 ► 204) style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | -9: (56 ► 47)
1998 style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | +4: (207 ► 211) style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | 0: (45 ► 45)
2002 George W. Bush rowspan=2 style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | Republican style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | +8: (221 ► 229) style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | +2: (49 ► 51)
2006 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | -32: (231 ► 199) style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | -6: (55 ► 49)
2010 Barack Obama rowspan=2 style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | Democratic style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | -63: (256 ► 193) style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | -6: (59 ► 53)
2014 style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | -13: (201 ► 188) style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | -9: (55 ► 46)
2018 Donald Trump style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | Republican style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | -41: (241 ► 200) style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | +2: (51 ► 53)
2022 Joe Biden style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | Democratic style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" |-9: (222 ► 213) style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" | +1: (50 ► 51)
2026 Donald Trump style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" | Republican TBD TBD

Comparison with other U.S. general elections

Template:US elections

Notes

Template:Notelist

References

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  3. Desilver, D. (2014) Voter turnout always drops off for midterm elections, but why? Pew Research Center, July 24, 2014.
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External links

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