Bury North (UK Parliament constituency)

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Template:Short description Template:Use dmy dates Template:Infobox UK constituency main Bury North is a borough constituency in Greater Manchester, created in 1983 and represented in the House of Commons of the UK Parliament. With a Conservative majority of 105 votes, it was the most marginal constituency for a sitting MP in the United Kingdom at the 2019 general election. At the 2024 general election, James Frith regained the seat which he had held for Labour from 2017 to 2019.

History

Bury North is a marginal seat between Labour and the Conservatives, and a bellwether constituency throughout most of its existence — the winner of the seat has tended to win the general election, with 2017 being an exceptional Labour gain, though it was subsequently regained by the Conservatives in 2019. In forerunner seats, the town of Bury did not have a Labour MP until 1964, since when Bury North has become reported on as an important marginal seat.

The 2010 Conservative win at Bury North was the Conservative Party's sole gain in Greater Manchester. The 2015 general election result was narrower, which produced the fifth-most marginal majority of the Conservative Party's 331 seats by percentage of majority.[1] The 2019 general election result made this the most marginal constituency in Great Britain, with a narrow majority of 105 votes. Only Sinn Fein's majority of 57 in Fermanagh and South Tyrone was lower in the UK, and as Sinn Fein members do not take their seats, Daly's majority was therefore the smallest for that of a sitting MP.

Despite boundary changes which were favorable to the Conservatives, Labour retook the seat in 2024 with a majority of over 15%.

Boundaries

Historic

The constituency of Bury North covers the towns of Ramsbottom, Tottington and Bury. It was created in 1983 from parts of the former seats of Rossendale and Bury and Radcliffe. In those boundary changes Ramsbottom was transferred from Rossendale to Bury North, while with the loss of Ramsbottom, Rossendale was linked with Darwen. In 2010 the Unsworth area was transferred to Bury South.

1983–2010: The Metropolitan Borough of Bury wards of Church, East, Elton, Moorside, Ramsbottom, Redvales, Tottington, and Unsworth.

2010–2024: The Metropolitan Borough of Bury wards of Church, East, Elton, Moorside, North Manor, Ramsbottom, Redvales, and Tottington.

Current

Further to the 2023 Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies which came into effect for the 2024 general election, the constituency was expanded to bring the electorate within the permitted range by transferring from Bury South the ward of Radcliffe North (as it existed on 1 December 2020).[2]

Following a local government boundary review which came into effect in May 2022,[3][4] the constituency now comprises the following wards of the Metropolitan Borough of Bury from the 2024 general election:

  • Bury East; Bury West (nearly all); Elton; Moorside; North Manor; Radcliffe North & Ainsworth (most); Ramsbottom; Redvales; Tottington; and a small part of Unsworth.[5]

Constituency profile

Despite its name, Bury North includes the entirety of the town of Bury. A traditional Labour-Conservative marginal, Ramsbottom and Tottington are mostly Conservative, but in the case of Ramsbottom, not always overwhelmingly so, whereas the town of Bury itself (particularly the Bury East ward) is generally more favourable to Labour, with Elton being a marginal. Tottington, Church ward and the rural North Manor ward are safely Conservative, however Ramsbottom is now a Labour marginal, re-gained by the party in 2018. The 2011 Ramsbottom local election was famously a tie between the Labour and Conservative candidates, decided by drawing straws which Labour won and took control of the council.

The wards surrounding the town centre include some terraced and social housing and is ethnically diverse. The Bury town centre itself features two large sixth form colleges, the 'World Famous' market famed for Black Pudding as well as newer shopping and leisure developments such as The Rock. Tourist attractions include the East Lancashire Heritage Railway and Fusiliers Museum. North of Bury the area becomes more rural, approaching the provincial towns of Tottington and Ramsbottom, which are becoming increasingly desirable for Manchester commuters looking for quieter housing overlooking the West Pennines. Ramsbottom features Peel Monument, a tower on Holcombe Hill dedicated to former Conservative Prime Minister Robert Peel who was born in Bury. The tower is occasionally opened by volunteers, which offers views across Greater Manchester and as far out as Cheshire.

The constituency voted Leave in the 2016 referendum with a margin close to that of the national average at an estimated 54%.[6]

Members of Parliament

Election Member[7][8] Party
style="color:inherit;background-color: Template:Party color" | 1983 Alistair Burt Conservative
style="color:inherit;background-color: Template:Party color" | 1997 David Chaytor Labour
style="color:inherit;background-color: Template:Party color" | 2010 David Nuttall Conservative
style="color:inherit;background-color: Template:Party color" | 2017 James Frith Labour
style="color:inherit;background-color: Template:Party color" | 2019 James Daly Conservative
style="color:inherit;background-color: Template:Party color" | 2024 James Frith Labour

Elections

File:Bury North vote share.png
Bury North constituency vote share as a percentage between 1997 and 2019

Elections in the 2020s

Template:Election box winning candidate with party link
General election 2024: Bury North[9]
Party Candidate Votes % <templatestyles src="Template:Tooltip/styles.css" />±%Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters".
Script error: No such module "Political party". James Daly 12,681 27.9 Script error: No such module "String".
Script error: No such module "Political party". Lynda Rosewell 7,385 16.2 Script error: No such module "String".
Script error: No such module "Political party". Shafat Ali 1,917 4.2 Script error: No such module "String".
Script error: No such module "Political party". Owain Sutton 1,747 3.8 Script error: No such module "String".
Script error: No such module "Political party". Mark Alcock 1,317 2.9 Script error: No such module "String".
Script error: No such module "Political party". Anwarul Haq 571 1.3 Script error: No such module "String".
Script error: No such module "Political party". Spencer Donnelly 277 0.6 Script error: No such module "String".
Majority 6,944 15.2 Script error: No such module "String".
Turnout 45,520 58.5 Script error: No such module "String".
Registered electors Template:Ifnumber Script error: No such module "String".
Script error: No such module "Political party". gain from Script error: No such module "Political party". Template:Yesno Swing +8.8

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Elections in the 2010s

2019 notional result[10]
Party Vote %
Conservative 25,285 47.3
Labour 24,003 44.9
Liberal Democrats 1,639 3.1
Brexit Party 1,446 2.7
Green 939 1.8
Others 158 0.3
Turnout 53,470 69.4
Electorate 77,009
Template:Election box winning candidate with party link
General election 2019: Bury North[11][12]
Party Candidate Votes % <templatestyles src="Template:Tooltip/styles.css" />±%Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters".
Script error: No such module "Political party". James Frith 21,555 46.0 Script error: No such module "String".
Script error: No such module "Political party". Gareth Lloyd-Johnson 1,584 3.4 Script error: No such module "String".
Script error: No such module "Political party". Alan McCarthy 1,240 2.6 Script error: No such module "String".
Script error: No such module "Political party". Charlie Allen 802 1.8 Script error: No such module "String".
Majority 105 0.2 Script error: No such module "String".
Turnout 46,841 68.1 Script error: No such module "String".
Script error: No such module "Political party". gain from Script error: No such module "Political party". Template:Yesno Swing + 4.7

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This was the smallest Conservative majority at the 2019 general election.[12]

Template:Election box winning candidate with party link
General election 2017: Bury North[13]
Party Candidate Votes % <templatestyles src="Template:Tooltip/styles.css" />±%Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters".
Script error: No such module "Political party". David Nuttall 21,308 44.5 Script error: No such module "String".
Script error: No such module "Political party". Richard Baum 912 1.9 Script error: No such module "String".
Majority 4,375 9.1 Script error: No such module "String".
Turnout 47,903 70.9 Script error: No such module "String".
Script error: No such module "Political party". gain from Script error: No such module "Political party". Template:Yesno Swing + 5.0

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Template:Election box winning candidate with party link
General election 2015: Bury North[14][15]
Party Candidate Votes % <templatestyles src="Template:Tooltip/styles.css" />±%Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters".
Script error: No such module "Political party". James Frith 18,592 41.1 Script error: No such module "String".
Script error: No such module "Political party". Ian Henderson 5,595 12.4 Script error: No such module "String".
Script error: No such module "Political party". John Southworth 1,141 2.5 Script error: No such module "String".
Script error: No such module "Political party". Richard Baum 932 2.1 Script error: No such module "String".
Majority 378 0.8 Script error: No such module "String".
Turnout 45,230 66.9 Script error: No such module "String".
Script error: No such module "Political party". hold Swing −2.1

Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters".

Template:Election box winning candidate with party link
General election 2010: Bury North[16][17][18]
Party Candidate Votes % <templatestyles src="Template:Tooltip/styles.css" />±%Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters".
Script error: No such module "Political party". Maryam Khan 15,827 35.2 Script error: No such module "String".
Script error: No such module "Political party". Richard Baum 7,645 17.0 Script error: No such module "String".
Script error: No such module "Political party". John Maude 1,825 4.1 Script error: No such module "String".
Script error: No such module "Political party". Stephen Evans 1,282 2.9 Script error: No such module "String".
Script error: No such module "Political party". Bill Brison 181 0.4 Script error: No such module "String".
Script error: No such module "Political party". Graeme Lambert 131 0.3 Script error: No such module "String".
Majority 2,243 5.0 Script error: No such module "String".
Turnout 44,961 67.3 Script error: No such module "String".
Script error: No such module "Political party". gain from Script error: No such module "Political party". Template:Yesno Swing +5.8

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Elections in the 2000s

Template:Election box winning candidate with party link
General election 2005: Bury North[19]
Party Candidate Votes % <templatestyles src="Template:Tooltip/styles.css" />±%Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters".
Script error: No such module "Political party". David Nuttall 16,204 36.5 Script error: No such module "String".
Script error: No such module "Political party". Wilfred Davison 6,514 14.7 Script error: No such module "String".
Script error: No such module "Political party". Stewart Clough 1,790 4.0 Script error: No such module "String".
Script error: No such module "Political party". Philip Silver 476 1.1 Script error: No such module "String".
Script error: No such module "Political party". Ryan O'Neill 172 0.4 Script error: No such module "String".
Script error: No such module "Political party". Ian Upton 153 0.3 Script error: No such module "String".
Majority 2,926 6.5 Script error: No such module "String".
Turnout 44,439 61.5 Script error: No such module "String".
Script error: No such module "Political party". hold Swing −4.0

Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters".

Template:Election box winning candidate with party link
General election 2001: Bury North[20]
Party Candidate Votes % <templatestyles src="Template:Tooltip/styles.css" />±%Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters".
Script error: No such module "Political party". John Walsh 16,413 36.6 Script error: No such module "String".
Script error: No such module "Political party". Bryn Hackley 5,430 12.1 Script error: No such module "String".
Majority 6,532 14.6 Script error: No such module "String".
Turnout 44,788 63.0 Script error: No such module "String".
Script error: No such module "Political party". hold Swing +0.1

Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters".

Elections in the 1990s

Template:Election box winning candidate with party link
General election 1997: Bury North[21][22][23]
Party Candidate Votes % <templatestyles src="Template:Tooltip/styles.css" />±%Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters".
Script error: No such module "Political party". Alistair Burt 20,657 37.5 Script error: No such module "String".
Script error: No such module "Political party". Neville Kenyon 4,536 8.2 Script error: No such module "String".
Script error: No such module "Political party". Richard Hallewell 1,337 2.4 Script error: No such module "String".
Majority 7,866 14.3 Script error: No such module "String".
Turnout 55,053 77.8 Script error: No such module "String".
Script error: No such module "Political party". gain from Script error: No such module "Political party". Template:Yesno Swing +11.2

Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters".

Template:Election box winning candidate with party link
General election 1992: Bury North[24][25]
Party Candidate Votes % <templatestyles src="Template:Tooltip/styles.css" />±%Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters".
Script error: No such module "Political party". Jim Dobbin 24,502 41.6 Script error: No such module "String".
Script error: No such module "Political party". Colin McGrath 5,010 8.5 Script error: No such module "String".
Script error: No such module "Political party". Michael Sullivan 163 0.3 Script error: No such module "String".
Majority 4,764 8.1 Script error: No such module "String".
Turnout 58,941 84.8 Script error: No such module "String".
Script error: No such module "Political party". hold Swing −2.1

Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters".

Elections in the 1980s

Template:Election box winning candidate with party link
General election 1987: Bury North[26]
Party Candidate Votes % <templatestyles src="Template:Tooltip/styles.css" />±%Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters".
Script error: No such module "Political party". David Crausby 21,186 37.8 Script error: No such module "String".
Script error: No such module "Political party". David Vasmer 6,804 12.1 Script error: No such module "String".
Majority 6,911 12.3 Script error: No such module "String".
Turnout 56,087 82.5 Script error: No such module "String".
Script error: No such module "Political party". hold Swing +3.5

Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters".

Template:Election box winning candidate with party link
General election 1983: Bury North[27]
Party Candidate Votes % <templatestyles src="Template:Tooltip/styles.css" />±%Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters".
Script error: No such module "Political party". Frank White 21,131 40.2
Script error: No such module "Political party". Elisabeth Wilson 7,550 14.4
Majority 2,792 5.3 Script error: No such module "String".
Turnout 52,604 79.6 Script error: No such module "String".
Script error: No such module "Political party". win (new seat)

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See also

References

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  23. C. Rallings & M. Thrasher, The Media Guide to the New Parliamentary Constituencies, p.45 (Plymouth: LGC Elections Centre, 1995)
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External links

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