Economy of Libya: Difference between revisions

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{{Short description|none}}
{{Update|date=March 2015}}
{{Update|date=March 2015}}
{{Use dmy dates|date=March 2020}}
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{{Short description|none}}
{{Infobox economy
{{Infobox economy
| country = Libya
| country = Libya
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| population = {{IncreaseNeutral}} 7,417,134 (2024)<ref>{{cite web |url=https://www.worldometers.info/world-population/libya-population/ |title=Population, total - Libya |publisher=[[WorldoMeters]] |website=worldometers.info |access-date=15 November 2023 |archive-date=6 May 2019 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190506025213/https://www.worldometers.info/world-population/libya-population/ |url-status=live }}</ref>
| population = {{IncreaseNeutral}} 7,417,134 (2024)<ref>{{cite web |url=https://www.worldometers.info/world-population/libya-population/ |title=Population, total - Libya |publisher=[[WorldoMeters]] |website=worldometers.info |access-date=15 November 2023 |archive-date=6 May 2019 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190506025213/https://www.worldometers.info/world-population/libya-population/ |url-status=live }}</ref>
| gdp = {{plainlist|
| gdp = {{plainlist|
*{{increase}} $44.812 billion (nominal, 2024 est.)<ref name="IMFWEOLY"/>
* {{increase}} $47.94 billion ([[GDP (nominal)|nominal]]; {{abbr|2025|2025 forecast}})<ref name="IMF DataMapper">{{cite web |url=https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/profile/LBY |title=IMF DataMapper: Libya |website=[[International Monetary Fund]] |date=2025 |access-date=31 May 2025}}</ref>
*{{increase}} $106.12 billion ([[Purchasing power parity|PPP]], 2024 est.)<ref name="IMFWEOLY">{{cite web |url=https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/profile/LBY |title=World Economic Outlook |publisher=[[International Monetary Fund]] |website=IMF.org}}</ref>}}
* {{increase}} $123.99 billion ([[Purchasing power parity|PPP]]; {{abbr|2025|2025}})<ref name="IMF DataMapper"/>
}}
| gdp rank = {{plainlist|
* [[List of countries by GDP (nominal)|95th (nominal; 2025)]]
* [[List of countries by GDP (PPP)|95th (PPP; 2025)]]
}}
| growth = {{plainlist| 
* {{Increase}} 17.3%&nbsp;(2025)<ref name="IMF DataMapper" />
* {{Increase}} 4.3%&nbsp;(2026f)<ref name="IMF DataMapper" />
* {{Increase}} 1.8%&nbsp;({{abbr|2027f|2025 forecast}})<ref name="IMF DataMapper" />
* {{Increase}} 1.9%&nbsp;({{abbr|2028f|2025 forecast}})<ref name="IMF DataMapper" />
}}
| per capita = {{plainlist|
| per capita = {{plainlist|
*{{increase}} $6,482 (nominal, 2024 est.)<ref name="IMFWEOLY"/>
* {{increase}} $6,800 (nominal; {{abbr|2025|2025 forecast}})<ref name="IMF DataMapper"/>
*{{increase}} $17,800 ([[Purchasing power parity|PPP]], 2024 est.)<ref name="IMFWEOLY"/>}}
* {{increase}} $17,760 (PPP; {{abbr|2025|2025 forecast}})<ref name="IMF DataMapper"/>  
| gdp rank = {{plainlist|
}}
*[[List of countries by GDP (nominal)|98th (nominal, 2024)]]
*[[List of countries by GDP (PPP)|98th (PPP, 2024)]]}}
| per capita rank = {{plainlist|
| per capita rank = {{plainlist|
*[[List of countries by GDP (nominal) per capita|103rd (nominal, 2024)]]
* [[List of countries by GDP per capita (nominal)|102th (nominal; 2025)]]
*[[List of countries by GDP (PPP) per capita|107th (PPP, 2024)]]}}
* [[List of countries by GDP per capita (PPP)|101th (PPP; 2025)]]
| growth = {{plainlist|
}}
*10.2% (2023)
*2.4% (2024e)
*13.7% (2025f)
*4.1% (2026f)}}
| sectors = {{plainlist|
| sectors = {{plainlist|
*agriculture 1.3%
*agriculture 1.3%
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*services 46.4%
*services 46.4%
*(2017 est.)<ref name="CIA World Fact Book - Libya's economy">{{cite web |url=https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/countries/libya/ |title=The World Factbook- Libya |publisher=Central Intelligence Agency |access-date=5 May 2018 |archive-date=9 January 2021 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210109235257/https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/countries/libya |url-status=live }}</ref>}}
*(2017 est.)<ref name="CIA World Fact Book - Libya's economy">{{cite web |url=https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/countries/libya/ |title=The World Factbook- Libya |publisher=Central Intelligence Agency |access-date=5 May 2018 |archive-date=9 January 2021 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210109235257/https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/countries/libya |url-status=live }}</ref>}}
| inflation = 2% (2024)<ref name="IMFWEOLY"/>
| inflation = 2% (2024)<ref name="IMFWEOLY">{{cite web |url=https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/profile/LBY |title=World Economic Outlook |publisher=[[International Monetary Fund]] |website=IMF.org}}</ref>
| poverty = {{plainlist|
| poverty = {{plainlist|
*NA%
*NA%
*about one-third of Libyans live at or below the national poverty line<ref name="CIAWFLY"/>}}
}}
| gini = N/A
| gini = N/A
| hdi = {{increase}} 0.718 {{color|green|high}} (2022)<ref name="HDI">{{cite web|url=https://hdr.undp.org/system/files/documents/global-report-document/hdr2021-22pdf_1.pdf|title=Human Development Report 2021/2022|language=en|publisher=[[United Nations Development Programme]]|date=8 September 2022|access-date=8 September 2022|archive-date=9 October 2022|archive-url=https://ghostarchive.org/archive/20221009/https://hdr.undp.org/system/files/documents/global-report-document/hdr2021-22pdf_1.pdf|url-status=live}}</ref>
| hdi = {{increase}} 0.718 {{color|green|high}} (2022)<ref name="HDI">{{cite web|url=https://hdr.undp.org/system/files/documents/global-report-document/hdr2021-22pdf_1.pdf|title=Human Development Report 2021/2022|language=en|publisher=[[United Nations Development Programme]]|date=8 September 2022|access-date=8 September 2022|archive-date=9 October 2022|archive-url=https://ghostarchive.org/archive/20221009/https://hdr.undp.org/system/files/documents/global-report-document/hdr2021-22pdf_1.pdf|url-status=live}}</ref>
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*(2004)<ref name="CIAWFLY"/>}}
*(2004)<ref name="CIAWFLY"/>}}
| unemployment = {{decreasepositive}} 18.74% (2023 est.)<ref name="CIAWFLY">{{cite web |url=https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/countries/libya/ |title=The World Factbook |publisher=[[Central Intelligence Agency]] |website=CIA.gov |access-date=10 February 2019 |archive-date=9 January 2021 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210109235257/https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/countries/libya |url-status=live }}</ref>
| unemployment = {{decreasepositive}} 18.74% (2023 est.)<ref name="CIAWFLY">{{cite web |url=https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/countries/libya/ |title=The World Factbook |publisher=[[Central Intelligence Agency]] |website=CIA.gov |access-date=10 February 2019 |archive-date=9 January 2021 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210109235257/https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/countries/libya |url-status=live }}</ref>
| edbr = {{steady}} [[Ease of doing business index#Ranking|186th (below average, 2020)]]<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.doingbusiness.org/data/exploreeconomies/libya |title=Ease of Doing Business in Libya |publisher=Doingbusiness.org |access-date=2017-11-29 |archive-date=7 February 2017 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170207215739/http://www.doingbusiness.org/data/exploreeconomies/libya |url-status=live }}</ref>|
| industries = [[petroleum]], [[steel]], [[iron]], [[food processing]], [[textiles]], [[cement]]
| industries = [[petroleum]], [[steel]], [[iron]], [[food processing]], [[textiles]], [[cement]]
| FDI = {{plainlist|
| FDI = {{plainlist|
Line 79: Line 83:
| aid = recipient [[Official development assistance|ODA]] $9 million (2010), $642 million (2011), $87 million (2012)<ref>http://www.oecd.org/dac/stats/documentupload/LBY.JPG {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180125134442/http://www.oecd.org/dac/stats/documentupload/LBY.JPG |date=25 January 2018 }} OECD Statistics</ref>
| aid = recipient [[Official development assistance|ODA]] $9 million (2010), $642 million (2011), $87 million (2012)<ref>http://www.oecd.org/dac/stats/documentupload/LBY.JPG {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180125134442/http://www.oecd.org/dac/stats/documentupload/LBY.JPG |date=25 January 2018 }} OECD Statistics</ref>
| reserves = {{increase}} $74.71 billion (31 December 2017 est.)<ref name="CIAWFLY"/>
| reserves = {{increase}} $74.71 billion (31 December 2017 est.)<ref name="CIAWFLY"/>
| cianame = libya
}}
}}
The '''economy of Libya''' depends primarily on revenues from the [[petroleum industry|petroleum sector]], which represents over 95% of export earnings and 60% of [[Gross domestic product|GDP]].<ref name="OPEC - Libya">{{cite web |url=http://www.opec.org/opec_web/en/about_us/166.htm |title=Libya |publisher=Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries |access-date=5 May 2018 |archive-date=19 May 2014 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140519225427/http://www.opec.org/opec_web/en/about_us/166.htm |url-status=live }}</ref> These oil revenues and a small population have given Libya one of the highest [[List of countries by GDP (nominal) per capita|nominal per capita GDP]] in [[Economy of Africa|Africa]].<ref>USD 12,062 as of 2010 (IMF estimate); rank 48 worldwide, followed by [[Equatorial Guinea]] with USD 11,081 on rank 51.</ref><ref name="OPEC - Libya" />
The '''economy of Libya''' depends primarily on revenues from the [[petroleum industry|petroleum sector]], which represents over 95% of export earnings and 60% of [[Gross domestic product|GDP]].<ref name="OPEC - Libya">{{cite web |url=http://www.opec.org/opec_web/en/about_us/166.htm |title=Libya |publisher=Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries |access-date=5 May 2018 |archive-date=19 May 2014 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140519225427/http://www.opec.org/opec_web/en/about_us/166.htm |url-status=live }}</ref> These oil revenues and a small population have given Libya one of the highest [[List of countries by GDP (nominal) per capita|nominal per capita GDP]] in [[Economy of Africa|Africa]].<ref>USD 12,062 as of 2010 (IMF estimate); rank 48 worldwide, followed by [[Equatorial Guinea]] with USD 11,081 on rank 51.</ref><ref name="OPEC - Libya" />


After 2000, [[Libya]] recorded favorable growth rates with an estimated 10.6% growth of GDP in 2010. This development was interrupted by the [[2011 Libyan Civil War|Libyan Civil War]], which resulted in contraction of the economy by 62.1% in 2011. After the war, the economy rebounded by 104.5% in 2012. It crashed again following the [[Second Libyan Civil War]].<ref name=":0">{{Cite web|url=https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.PCAP.PP.KD?locations=LY|title=GDP per capita, PPP (constant 2011 international $) {{!}} Data|website=data.worldbank.org|language=en-us|access-date=2018-09-03|archive-date=3 September 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180903215223/https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.PCAP.PP.KD?locations=LY|url-status=live}}</ref> As of 2024, Libya's [[List of countries by GDP (PPP) per capita|per capita PPP GDP]] stands at only 65% of its pre-war level in 2010.<ref>{{cite web |url=https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/PPPPC@WEO/LBY?zoom=LBY&highlight=LBY |title=IMF World Economic Outlook Chart 2024 |author=<!--Staff writer(s); no by-line.--> |access-date=9 April 2025 |url-status=live }}</ref>
After 2000, [[Libya]] recorded favorable growth rates with an estimated 10.6% growth of GDP in 2010. This development was interrupted by the [[2011 Libyan Civil War|Libyan Civil War]], which resulted in contraction of the economy by 62.1% in 2011. After the war, the economy rebounded by 104.5% in 2012. It crashed again following the [[Second Libyan Civil War]].<ref name=":0">{{Cite web|url=https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.PCAP.PP.KD?locations=LY|title=GDP per capita, PPP (constant 2011 international $) {{!}} Data|website=data.worldbank.org|language=en-us|access-date=2018-09-03|archive-date=3 September 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180903215223/https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.PCAP.PP.KD?locations=LY|url-status=live}}</ref> As of 2024, Libya's [[List of countries by GDP (PPP) per capita|per capita PPP GDP]] stands at only 65% of its pre-war level in 2010.<ref>{{cite web |url=https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/PPPPC@WEO/LBY?zoom=LBY&highlight=LBY |title=IMF World Economic Outlook Chart 2024 |author=<!--Staff writer(s); no by-line.--> |access-date=9 April 2025 }}</ref>


==Macroeconomic trends==
==Macroeconomic trends==
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{{further|Oil reserves in Libya}}
{{further|Oil reserves in Libya}}
[[File:Libya location map-oil & gas 2011-en.svg|thumb|350px|Oil is Libya's major resource.]]
[[File:Libya location map-oil & gas 2011-en.svg|thumb|350px|Oil is Libya's major resource.]]
In November 2005, [[Repsol YPF]] discovered a significant oil deposit of light, sweet crude in the [[Murzuq Basin]]. Industry experts believe the discovery to be one of the biggest made in Libya for several years. Repsol YPF is joined by a consortium of partners including OMV, Total and [[Norsk Hydro]]. Also located in Murzuq Basin is Eni's [[Elephant field]]. In October 1997, a consortium led by British company [[Lasmo]], along with Eni and a group of five South Korean companies, announced that it had discovered large recoverable crude reserves about {{convert|800|km|mi}} south of Tripoli.<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.libya-businessnews.com/2013/10/22/omvs-1st-oil-find-in-libya-since-revolution/ |title=OMV's 1st Oil Find in Libya since Revolution |author=<!--Staff writer(s); no by-line.--> |date=22 October 2013 |website=libya-businessnews.com/ |publisher=Libya Business News. |access-date=4 September 2015 |archive-date=8 December 2013 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20131208082851/http://www.libya-businessnews.com/2013/10/22/omvs-1st-oil-find-in-libya-since-revolution/ |url-status=live }}</ref> Lasmo estimated field production would cost around $1 per barrel. Elephant began production in February 2004.
In November 2005, [[Repsol YPF]] discovered a significant oil deposit of light, sweet crude in the [[Murzuq Basin]]. Industry experts believe the discovery to be one of the biggest made in Libya for several years. Repsol YPF is joined by a consortium of partners including OMV, Total and [[Norsk Hydro]]. Also located in Murzuq Basin is Eni's [[Elephant field]]. In October 1997, a consortium led by British company [[Lasmo]], along with Eni and a group of five South Korean companies, announced that it had discovered large recoverable crude reserves about {{convert|800|km|mi}} south of Tripoli.<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.libya-businessnews.com/2013/10/22/omvs-1st-oil-find-in-libya-since-revolution/ |title=OMV's 1st Oil Find in Libya since Revolution |author=<!--Staff writer(s); no by-line.--> |date=22 October 2013 |website=libya-businessnews.com/ |publisher=Libya Business News. |access-date=4 September 2015 |archive-date=8 December 2013 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20131208082851/http://www.libya-businessnews.com/2013/10/22/omvs-1st-oil-find-in-libya-since-revolution/ |url-status=usurped }}</ref> Lasmo estimated field production would cost around $1 per barrel. Elephant began production in February 2004.


WOC's Waha fields currently produce around {{convert|350000|oilbbl/d|m3/d|abbr=on}}. In 2005, ConocoPhillips and co-venturers reached an agreement with NOC to return to its operations in Libya and extend the Waha concession 25 years. ConocoPhillips operates the Waha fields with a 16.33% share in the project. NOC has the largest share of the Waha concession, and additional partners include Marathon and [[Amerada Hess]].<ref>EIA 2007 p.3</ref>
WOC's Waha fields currently produce around {{convert|350000|oilbbl/d|m3/d|abbr=on}}. In 2005, ConocoPhillips and co-venturers reached an agreement with NOC to return to its operations in Libya and extend the Waha concession 25 years. ConocoPhillips operates the Waha fields with a 16.33% share in the project. NOC has the largest share of the Waha concession, and additional partners include Marathon and [[Amerada Hess]].<ref>EIA 2007 p.3</ref>
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In 2007, mining and hydrocarbon industries accounted for well over 95 percent of the Libyan economy.{{Citation needed|date=March 2011}} Diversification of the economy into manufacturing industries remain a long-term issue.
In 2007, mining and hydrocarbon industries accounted for well over 95 percent of the Libyan economy.{{Citation needed|date=March 2011}} Diversification of the economy into manufacturing industries remain a long-term issue.


Although [[agriculture]] is the second-largest sector in the economy, Libya depends on [[imports]] in most foods. Climatic conditions and poor soils severely limit farm output, and domestic food production meets only about 25% of demand. Domestic conditions limit output, while higher incomes and a growing population have caused food consumption to rise. Because of low rainfall levels in Libya, agricultural projects such as the [[Kufra]] oasis rely on underground water sources. Libya's primary agricultural water source remains the [[Great Manmade River]] (GMMR), but significant resources are being invested in [[desalinization]] research to meet growing demand. Libyan agricultural projects and policies are overseen by a General Inspector; there is no [[Ministry of Agriculture]], ''per se''.<ref>''Doing Business in LIBYA: A Country Commercial Guide for U.S. Companies'', March, 2006</ref>
A significant reliance on cement imports from Egypt, Turkey, and Tunisia is worth noting.<ref>{{cite web |url=https://www.libyanexpress.com/cement-supply-is-the-backbone-of-libyas-reconstruction/ |title=Cement supply is the backbone of Libya's reconstruction |work=Libyan Express |date=3 July 2025 |access-date=9 November 2025}}</ref>
 
Although [[agriculture]] is the second-largest sector in the economy, Libya depends on [[imports]] in most foods. Climatic conditions and poor soils severely limit farm output, and domestic food production meets only about 25% of demand. Domestic conditions limit output, while higher incomes and a growing population have caused food consumption to rise. Because of low rainfall levels in Libya, agricultural projects such as the [[Kufra]] oasis rely on underground water sources. Libya's primary agricultural water source remains the [[Great Manmade River]] (GMMR), but significant resources are being invested in [[desalinization]] research to meet growing demand. Libyan agricultural projects and policies are overseen by a General Inspector; there is no [[Ministry of Agriculture]], ''per se''.<ref>''Doing Business in Libya: A Country Commercial Guide for U.S. Companies'', March, 2006</ref>


Libya produced in 2018:
Libya produced in 2018:
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==Tourism==
==Tourism==
{{Main|Tourism in Libya}}
{{Main|Tourism in Libya}}
The tourism industry was heavily hit by the [[2011 Libyan Civil War|Libyan Civil War]]. Before the war tourism was developing, with 149,000 tourists visiting Libya in 2004, rising to 180,000 in 2007, although this still only contributed less than 1% of the country's GDP. There were 1,000,000 day visitors in the same year.<ref>{{cite book |url=http://www.un-ilibrary.org/economic-and-social-development/annual-review-of-developments-in-globalization-and-regional-integration-in-the-arab-countries-2007_b9466ffc-en |title=Annual Review of Developments in Globalization and Regional Integration in the Arab Countries, 2007 |publisher=UN |year=2013 |isbn=9789210557740 |series=Annual Review of Developments in Globalization and Regional Integration in the Arab Countries |page=21 |doi=10.18356/b9466ffc-en |access-date=2018-03-11 |archive-date=3 June 2018 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180603052840/https://www.un-ilibrary.org/economic-and-social-development/annual-review-of-developments-in-globalization-and-regional-integration-in-the-arab-countries-2007_b9466ffc-en |url-status=live }}</ref><ref>{{cite web |title=Tripoli, Libya – A Prosperous Prospect. - Tuesday, 23rd September 2008 at 4Hoteliers |url=http://www.4hoteliers.com/4hots_fshw.php?mwi=3375 |access-date=2012-03-11 |publisher=4hoteliers.com |archive-date=16 February 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120216232014/http://www.4hoteliers.com/4hots_fshw.php?mwi=3375 |url-status=live }}</ref> The country is best known for its ancient Greek and Roman ruins and Sahara desert landscapes.
The tourism industry was heavily hit by the [[2011 Libyan Civil War|Libyan Civil War]]. Before the war tourism was developing, with 149,000 tourists visiting Libya in 2004, rising to 180,000 in 2007, although this still only contributed less than 1% of the country's GDP. There were 1,000,000 day visitors in the same year.<ref>{{cite book |url=http://www.un-ilibrary.org/economic-and-social-development/annual-review-of-developments-in-globalization-and-regional-integration-in-the-arab-countries-2007_b9466ffc-en |title=Annual Review of Developments in Globalization and Regional Integration in the Arab Countries, 2007 |publisher=UN |year=2013 |isbn=9789210557740 |page=21 |doi=10.18356/b9466ffc-en |access-date=2018-03-11 |archive-date=3 June 2018 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180603052840/https://www.un-ilibrary.org/economic-and-social-development/annual-review-of-developments-in-globalization-and-regional-integration-in-the-arab-countries-2007_b9466ffc-en |url-status=live }}</ref><ref>{{cite web |title=Tripoli, Libya – A Prosperous Prospect. - Tuesday, 23rd September 2008 at 4Hoteliers |url=http://www.4hoteliers.com/4hots_fshw.php?mwi=3375 |access-date=2012-03-11 |publisher=4hoteliers.com |archive-date=16 February 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120216232014/http://www.4hoteliers.com/4hots_fshw.php?mwi=3375 |url-status=live }}</ref> The country is best known for its ancient Greek and Roman ruins and Sahara desert landscapes.


==Labor market==
==Labor market==
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* [[Energy Information Administration]] (2007) [https://web.archive.org/web/20070926162829/http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cabs/Libya/pdf.pdf ''Libya: Country Analysis Brief'']
* [[Energy Information Administration]] (2007) [https://web.archive.org/web/20070926162829/http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cabs/Libya/pdf.pdf ''Libya: Country Analysis Brief'']
* [[World Bank]] (2006), [http://siteresources.worldbank.org/INTLIBYA/Resources/libyacountryeconomicreport.pdf ''Libya: Economic Report''], Social & Economic Development Group
* [[World Bank]] (2006), [http://siteresources.worldbank.org/INTLIBYA/Resources/libyacountryeconomicreport.pdf ''Libya: Economic Report''], Social & Economic Development Group
* P. Mobbs (2002) [http://minerals.usgs.gov/minerals/pubs/country/2001/lymyb01.pdf ''Mineral Industry of Libya'']
* P. Mobbs (2002) [https://minerals.usgs.gov/minerals/pubs/country/2001/lymyb01.pdf ''Mineral Industry of Libya''] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080910014528/http://minerals.usgs.gov/minerals/pubs/country/2001/lymyb01.pdf |date=10 September 2008 }}
* T. Ahlbrandt (2001) [http://pubs.usgs.gov/bul/b2202-f/b2202-ftextonly.pdf ''Sirte Basin Province: Sirte-Zelten Total Petroleum System''] [[USGS]]
* T. Ahlbrandt (2001) [https://pubs.usgs.gov/bul/b2202-f/b2202-ftextonly.pdf ''Sirte Basin Province: Sirte-Zelten Total Petroleum System''] [[USGS]]
* [http://www.cbl-ly.com/eabout.htm Central Bank Of Libya Economic Bulletin] Socialist People's Libyan Arab Jamahiriya
* [http://www.cbl-ly.com/eabout.htm Central Bank Of Libya Economic Bulletin] Socialist People's Libyan Arab Jamahiriya
* National Authority for Information and Statistics, Socialist People's Libyan Arab Jamahiriya.
* National Authority for Information and Statistics, Socialist People's Libyan Arab Jamahiriya.

Latest revision as of 06:40, 16 November 2025

Template:Short description Script error: No such module "Unsubst". Template:Use dmy dates Template:Infobox economy The economy of Libya depends primarily on revenues from the petroleum sector, which represents over 95% of export earnings and 60% of GDP.[1] These oil revenues and a small population have given Libya one of the highest nominal per capita GDP in Africa.[2][1]

After 2000, Libya recorded favorable growth rates with an estimated 10.6% growth of GDP in 2010. This development was interrupted by the Libyan Civil War, which resulted in contraction of the economy by 62.1% in 2011. After the war, the economy rebounded by 104.5% in 2012. It crashed again following the Second Libyan Civil War.[3] As of 2024, Libya's per capita PPP GDP stands at only 65% of its pre-war level in 2010.[4]

Macroeconomic trends

Libyan GDP per capita was about $40 in the early 1920s and it rose to $1,018 by 1967. In 1947 alone, per capita GDP rose by 42 percent.

The following table shows the main economic indicators in 1980–2021 (with IMF staff estimates in 2022–2027). Inflation below 5% is in green.[5] The annual unemployment rate is extracted from the World Bank, although the International Monetary Fund find them unreliable.

Year GDP

(in Bil. US$PPP)

GDP per capita

(in US$ PPP)

GDP

(in Bil. US$nominal)

GDP per capita

(in US$ nominal)

GDP growth

(real)

Inflation rate

(in Percent)

Unemployment

(in Percent)

Government debt

(in % of GDP)

1980 97.8 32,745.5 40.2 13,449.6 Increase0.6% Template:IncreaseNegative14.3% n/a n/a
1981 Decrease85.6 Decrease27,398.5 Decrease34.7 Decrease11,107.6 Decrease-20.0% Template:IncreaseNegative13.2% n/a n/a
1982 Increase92.3 Increase28,202.7 Decrease34.6 Decrease10,575.6 Increase1.5% Template:IncreaseNegative13.8% n/a n/a
1983 Decrease91.4 Decrease26,800.2 Decrease33.0 Decrease9,671.5 Decrease-4.7% Template:IncreaseNegative10.5% n/a n/a
1984 Decrease86.8 Decrease24,406.1 Decrease30.9 Decrease8,681.2 Decrease-8.3% Template:IncreaseNegative12.4% n/a n/a
1985 Increase90.1 Increase25,471.4 Decrease30.4 Decrease8,586.4 Increase0.6% Template:IncreaseNegative9.1% n/a n/a
1986 Decrease81.5 Decrease22,172.1 Decrease24.8 Decrease6,734.0 Decrease-11.4% Increase3.4% n/a n/a
1987 Decrease71.2 Decrease18,585.1 Decrease23.0 Decrease6,002.1 Decrease-14.7% Increase4.4% n/a n/a
1988 Increase79.3 Decrease18,346.5 Increase25.9 Decrease5,981.6 Increase7.6% Increase3.1% n/a n/a
1989 Increase88.4 Increase19,550.0 Increase27.4 Increase6,070.1 Increase7.2% Increase4.5% n/a n/a
1990 Increase95.1 Increase22,327.7 Increase31.6 Increase7,424.2 Increase3.7% Increase0.7% n/a 4.7%
1991 Increase116.3 Increase26,685.3 Increase35.0 Increase8,026.3 Increase18.3% Template:IncreaseNegative11.7% 19.8% Template:IncreaseNegative9.6%
1992 Decrease113.6 Decrease25,468.7 Increase35.5 Decrease7,950.5 Decrease-4.5% Template:IncreaseNegative9.5% Template:IncreaseNegative20.0% Template:DecreasePositive1.2%
1993 Decrease109.9 Decrease24,106.1 Decrease31.9 Decrease6,998.3 Decrease-5.5% Template:IncreaseNegative7.5% Steady20.0% Template:DecreasePositive-4.6%
1994 Increase115.9 Increase24,921.7 Decrease29.7 Decrease6,391.1 Increase3.2% Template:IncreaseNegative10.7% Template:DecreasePositive19.9% Template:IncreaseNegative-1.6%
1995 Decrease100.1 Decrease21,064.9 Increase33.7 Increase7,102.9 Decrease-15.4% Template:IncreaseNegative8.3% Template:IncreaseNegative20.0% Template:IncreaseNegative4.8%
1996 Increase103.7 Increase21,422.2 Increase36.8 Increase7,608.8 Increase1.8% Increase4.0% Template:DecreasePositive19.8% Template:IncreaseNegative12.2%
1997 Decrease102.7 Decrease20,872.4 Increase37.7 Increase7,663.0 Decrease-2.6% Increase3.6% Steady19.8% Template:DecreasePositive-1.3%
1998 Increase103.1 Decrease20,587.9 Decrease30.9 Decrease6,171.8 Decrease-0.7% Increase3.7% Steady19.8% Template:DecreasePositive-1.5%
1999 Increase104.4 Decrease20,511.0 Increase37.1 Increase7,294.5 Decrease-0.2% Increase2.6% Template:DecreasePositive19.7% Template:IncreaseNegative6.4%
2000 Increase111.1 Increase21,444.4 Increase39.5 Increase7,625.0 Increase4.0% Increase-2.9% Steady19.7% Template:IncreaseNegative13.6%
2001 Increase116.6 Increase22,161.2 Decrease35.2 Decrease6,693.1 Increase2.6% Increase-8.8% Steady19.7% Template:DecreasePositive0.4%
2002 Decrease114.0 Decrease21,343.2 Decrease21.1 Decrease3,956.5 Decrease-3.7% Increase-9.9% Template:DecreasePositive19.6% Template:IncreaseNegative7.0%
2003 Increase135.0 Increase24,905.2 Increase27.0 Increase4,986.3 Increase16.1% Increase-2.1% Template:DecreasePositive19.5% Template:DecreasePositive6.2%
2004 Increase146.7 Increase26,626.3 Increase34.1 Increase6,180.4 Increase5.8% Increase1.3% Steady19.5% Template:IncreaseNegative11.3%
2005 Increase167.4 Increase29,942.7 Increase48.9 Increase8,739.2 Increase10.6% Increase2.7% Template:DecreasePositive19.4% Template:IncreaseNegative30.4%
2006 Increase173.0 Increase30,408.6 Increase60.1 Increase10,561.4 Increase0.3% Increase1.5% Steady19.4% Template:DecreasePositive29.1%
2007 Increase188.8 Increase32,659.5 Increase68.2 Increase11,801.3 Increase6.2% Template:IncreaseNegative6.2% Steady19.4% Template:DecreasePositive28.4%
2008 Increase192.1 Increase32,666.6 Increase86.8 Increase14,762.6 Decrease-0.2% Template:IncreaseNegative10.4% Steady19.4% Template:DecreasePositive27.7%
2009 Decrease184.8 Decrease31,007.5 Decrease60.8 Decrease10,202.8 Decrease-4.4% Increase2.4% Steady19.4% Template:DecreasePositive-5.5%
2010 Increase196.4 Increase32,515.4 Increase75.4 Increase12,478.0 Increase5.0% Increase2.5% Template:DecreasePositive19.3% Template:IncreaseNegative11.5%
2011 Decrease99.6 Decrease16,810.9 Decrease48.2 Decrease8,132.3 Decrease-50.3% Template:IncreaseNegative15.9% Template:IncreaseNegative19.4% Template:DecreasePositive-11.5%
2012 Increase172.5 Increase27,458.8 Increase92.5 Increase14,728.1 Increase86.8% Template:IncreaseNegative6.1% Template:DecreasePositive19.0% Template:IncreaseNegative24.6%
2013 Decrease144.5 Decrease23,054.5 Decrease75.4 Decrease12,025.6 Decrease-18.0% Increase2.6% Template:IncreaseNegative19.5% Template:DecreasePositive-16.3%
2014 Decrease126.9 Decrease20,273.6 Decrease57.4 Decrease9,166.6 Decrease-23.0% Increase2.4% Steady19.5% Template:DecreasePositive-30.5%
2015 Increase137.2 Increase21,709.9 Decrease48.7 Decrease7,706.7 Decrease-0.8% Template:IncreaseNegative10.0% Steady19.5% Template:IncreaseNegative-28.5%
2016 Increase137.4 Decrease21,520.7 Increase49.9 Increase7,817.6 Decrease-1.5% Template:IncreaseNegative25.9% Steady19.5% Template:DecreasePositive-29.3%
2017 Increase154.4 Increase23,949.3 Increase67.2 Increase10,414.1 Increase32.5% Template:IncreaseNegative25.9% Template:DecreasePositive19.4% Template:IncreaseNegative-11.1%
2018 Increase170.7 Increase26,207.0 Increase76.7 Increase11,773.8 Increase7.9% Template:IncreaseNegative14.0% Template:IncreaseNegative19.5% Template:IncreaseNegative9.4%
2019 Decrease154.3 Decrease23,454.9 Decrease69.2 Decrease10,526.3 Decrease-11.2% Increase-2.9% Template:IncreaseNegative19.7% Template:IncreaseNegative11.9%
2020 Decrease110.1 Decrease16,575.1 Decrease46.9 Decrease7,056.7 Decrease-29.5% Increase1.5% Template:IncreaseNegative20.1% Template:DecreasePositive-22.3%
2021 Increase147.1 Increase21,929.0 Decrease39.0 Decrease5,813.3 Increase28.3% Increase2.8% Template:DecreasePositive19.6% Template:IncreaseNegative11.3%
2022 Decrease128.4 Decrease18,944.7 Increase40.8 Increase6,025.7 Decrease-18.5% Template:IncreaseNegative5.5% n/a Template:IncreaseNegative15.8%
2023 Increase156.7 Increase22,899.5 Increase43.8 Increase6,391.8 Increase17.9% Increase4.0% n/a Template:IncreaseNegative22.1%
2024 Increase172.8 Increase24,997.2 Increase45.6 Increase6,599.0 Increase8.0% Increase3.0% n/a Template:DecreasePositive18.8%
2025 Increase188.8 Increase27,034.7 Increase47.7 Increase6,836.3 Increase7.2% Increase3.0% n/a Template:DecreasePositive16.5%
2026 Increase200.5 Increase28,434.6 Increase49.1 Increase6,964.6 Increase4.2% Increase3.0% n/a Template:DecreasePositive13.5%
2027 Increase212.8 Increase29,874.1 Increase50.5 Increase7,096.0 Increase4.1% Increase3.1% n/a Template:DecreasePositive9.7%

Notes:
1. For purchasing power parity comparisons, the US Dollar is exchanged at 0.77 Libyan Dinars only.

Mean wages were $9.51 per man-hour in 2009 (amounts to a compensation of $1598 for 21 working days of 8 hours).

Oil sector

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File:Oil production Libya.svg
Development of oil production in Libya

Libya is an OPEC member and holds the largest proven oil reserves in Africa (followed by Nigeria and Algeria), Template:Convert as of January 2007, up from Template:Convert in 2006. About 80% of Libya's proven oil reserves are located in the Sirte Basin, which is responsible for 90% of the country's oil output.[6] The state-owned National Oil Corporation (NOC) dominates Libya's oil industry, along with smaller subsidiaries, which combined account for around 50% of the country's oil output. Among NOC's subsidiaries, the largest oil producer is the Waha Oil Company (WOC), followed by the Agoco, Zueitina Oil Company (ZOC), and Sirte Oil Company (SOC). Oil resources, which account for approximately 95% of export earnings, 75% of government receipts, and over 50% of GDP. Oil revenues constitute the principal foreign exchange source. Reflecting the heritage of the command economy, three-quarters of employment is in the public sector, and private investment remains small at around 2% of GDP.[7]

File:Map-of-countries-by-proven-oil-reserves-(in-millions-of-barrels)---2017---US-EIA---Jo-Di-graphics.jpg
A map of world oil reserves according to U.S. EIA, 2017

Falling world oil prices in the early 1980s and economic sanctions caused a serious decline in economic activity, eventually leading to a slow private sector rehabilitation. At 2.6% per year on average, real GDP growth was modest and volatile during the 1990s. Libya's GDP grew in 2001 due to high oil prices, the end of a long cyclical drought, and increased foreign direct investment following the suspension of UN sanctions in 1999. Real GDP growth has been boosted by high oil revenues, reaching 4.6% in 2004 and 3.5% in 2005. Despite efforts to diversify the economy and encourage private sector participation, extensive controls of prices, credit, trade, and foreign exchange constrain growth.

Although UN sanctions were suspended in 1999, foreign investment in the Libyan gas and oil sectors were severely curtailed due to the U.S. Iran and Libya Sanctions Act (ILSA), which capped the amount foreign companies can invest in Libya yearly at $20 million (lowered from $40 million in 2001). As of May 2006, the U.S. has removed Libya from its list of states that sponsor terrorism and has normalised ties and removed sanctions. This clears the road for U.S. oil companies to exploit Libyan oil and is expected to have a positive impact on the Libyan economy. [1]

The NOC hopes to raise oil production from 1.80 million bpd in 2006 to 2 million bpd by 2008. FDI into the oil sector is likely, which is attractive due to its low cost of oil recovery, high oil quality, and proximity to European markets.[8] Most Libyan oil is sold on a term basis, including to the country's Oilinvest marketing network in Europe; to companies like Agip, OMV, Repsol YPF, Tupras, CEPSA, and Total; and small volumes to Asian and South African companies.[9]

Statistic Amount
Proven Oil Reserves (2007E) Template:Convert
Oil Production (2006E) Template:Convert (95% crude)
Oil Consumption (2006E) Template:Convert
Net Oil Exports (2006E) Template:Convert
Crude Oil Distillation Capacity (2006E) Template:Convert
Proven Natural Gas Reserves (2007E) Template:Convert
Natural Gas Production (2006E) Template:Convert
Natural Gas consumption (2005E) Template:Convert

Notes:
1. Energy Information Administration (2007)

Field Development and Exploration

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File:Libya location map-oil & gas 2011-en.svg
Oil is Libya's major resource.

In November 2005, Repsol YPF discovered a significant oil deposit of light, sweet crude in the Murzuq Basin. Industry experts believe the discovery to be one of the biggest made in Libya for several years. Repsol YPF is joined by a consortium of partners including OMV, Total and Norsk Hydro. Also located in Murzuq Basin is Eni's Elephant field. In October 1997, a consortium led by British company Lasmo, along with Eni and a group of five South Korean companies, announced that it had discovered large recoverable crude reserves about Template:Convert south of Tripoli.[10] Lasmo estimated field production would cost around $1 per barrel. Elephant began production in February 2004.

WOC's Waha fields currently produce around Template:Convert. In 2005, ConocoPhillips and co-venturers reached an agreement with NOC to return to its operations in Libya and extend the Waha concession 25 years. ConocoPhillips operates the Waha fields with a 16.33% share in the project. NOC has the largest share of the Waha concession, and additional partners include Marathon and Amerada Hess.[11]

Refining and Downstream

Libya has five domestic refineries:

Refinery Capacity Operator
Zawia Refinery 120,000 ZOC
Ras Lanuf Refinery 220,000 Ras Lanuf
El-Brega Refinery 10,000 SOC
Tobruk Refinery 20,000 Agoco
Sarir Refinery 10,000 Agoco

Notes:
1. Amounts in barrels per day.

Diversification

File:Libyan pivot irrigation 460142568 02e969004a o.jpg
Pivot irrigation in Kufra, southeast Cyrenaica. Oil wealth has enabled Libya to pursue extravagant projects such as agriculture and the Great Manmade River in the Sahara Desert.
File:Tripoli CBD.JPG
Modern buildings in Tripoli before the wars, 2009

In 2007, mining and hydrocarbon industries accounted for well over 95 percent of the Libyan economy.Script error: No such module "Unsubst". Diversification of the economy into manufacturing industries remain a long-term issue.

A significant reliance on cement imports from Egypt, Turkey, and Tunisia is worth noting.[12]

Although agriculture is the second-largest sector in the economy, Libya depends on imports in most foods. Climatic conditions and poor soils severely limit farm output, and domestic food production meets only about 25% of demand. Domestic conditions limit output, while higher incomes and a growing population have caused food consumption to rise. Because of low rainfall levels in Libya, agricultural projects such as the Kufra oasis rely on underground water sources. Libya's primary agricultural water source remains the Great Manmade River (GMMR), but significant resources are being invested in desalinization research to meet growing demand. Libyan agricultural projects and policies are overseen by a General Inspector; there is no Ministry of Agriculture, per se.[13]

Libya produced in 2018:

In addition to smaller productions of other agricultural products.[14]

Tourism

Script error: No such module "Labelled list hatnote". The tourism industry was heavily hit by the Libyan Civil War. Before the war tourism was developing, with 149,000 tourists visiting Libya in 2004, rising to 180,000 in 2007, although this still only contributed less than 1% of the country's GDP. There were 1,000,000 day visitors in the same year.[15][16] The country is best known for its ancient Greek and Roman ruins and Sahara desert landscapes.

Labor market

Libya posted a 3.3% rate of population growth during 1960–2003. In 2003, 86% of the population was urban, compared to 45% in 1970. Although no reliable estimates are available, unemployment is reportedly acute: over 50% of the population under the age of 20. Moreover, despite the bias of labor market regulations favoring Libyan workers, the mismatch of the educational system with market demand has produced a large pool of expatriate workers, with typically better-suited education and higher productivity. However, because of shortages for manual labor, Libya has also attracted important numbers of less skilled immigrants. Expatriate workers represent an estimated fifth of the labor force.[17]

Although significant, the proportion of expatriate workers is still below oil producing countries in the Persian Gulf. Foreign workers mainly come from the Maghreb, Egypt, Turkey, India, the Philippines, Malaysia, Thailand, Vietnam, Poland, Chad, Sudan, and Bosnia and Herzegovina.[18][19] They tend to earn relatively high wages, taking either skilled or hard manual jobs. Census data for 2000 show the share of expatriates earning over LD 300 (US$230) per month was 20%, compared to 12% for Libyan nationals. A campaign encouraging conversion of qualified civil servants to entrepreneurs, in the face of public sector over employment and declining productivity, does not seem to be producing the desired results thus far.[7]

External trade and finance

File:2006Libyan exports.PNG
Libyan export destinations in 2006.

The Government is in the process of preparing a financial sector reform program. Recent legislation setting corporate governance standards for financial institutions makes progress towards better management and greater operational independence of public banks. However, Libyan public banks still lack management structures supported by skills in critical areas like credit, investment, risk management, and information and control systems.

The new banking law reinforces the independence of the Central Bank of Libya (CBL) and offers a legal framework for regulating banking activities, even if some provisions call for improvement. Despite progress brought by the new banking Law that specifies and limits its duties and responsibilities, the CBL remains the owner of the public banks, with the associated potential conflict of interest between ownership and regulation.

Financial sector reform has also progressed with partial interest rate liberalization. Interest rates have been liberalized on deposits, while a lending rate ceiling has been set above the discount rate. The Libyan Stock Exchange, established in 2007, is the first exchange of its kind in the country.

In 2011, Libya Oil Holdings had its €38m stake in Irish exploration firm Circle Oil frozen on foot of a European Union order that's been put in place to put pressure on the Gaddafi regime.[20]

Tunisia's exports to Libya, exceeding 18% growth between 2020 and 2024.[21]

Two trans-African automobile routes pass through Libya:

Statistics

Household income or consumption by percentage share:
lowest 11%: NA%
highest 10%: NA%

Industrial production growth rate: 2.7% (2009)

Electricity - production: 24 billion kWh (2007 est)

Electricity - production by source:
fossil fuel: 100%
hydro: 0%
nuclear: 0%
other: 0% (1998)

Electricity - consumption: 22.17 billion kWh (2007 est)

Electricity - exports: 104 million kWh (2007)

Electricity - imports: 77 million kWh (2007)

Agriculture - products: wheat, barley, olives, dates, citrus, vegetables, peanuts, soybeans, cattle, corn

International rankings

Organisation Survey Ranking
The Economist The World in 2005 - Worldwide quality-of-life index, 2005 70 out of 111
Energy Information Administration Greatest Oil Reserves by Country, 2006 9 out of 20
Reporters Without Borders Press Freedom Index (2007) 155 out of 169
Transparency International Corruption Perceptions Index 2007 131 out of 180
United Nations Development Programme Human Development Index 2005 58 out of 177

Notes

Template:Reflist

References

See also

External links

Template:Sister project

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  1. a b Script error: No such module "citation/CS1".
  2. USD 12,062 as of 2010 (IMF estimate); rank 48 worldwide, followed by Equatorial Guinea with USD 11,081 on rank 51.
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  6. Oil and Gas Journal, 2007
  7. a b World Bank 2006
  8. International Crude Oil Market Handbook
  9. EIA 2007
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  11. EIA 2007 p.3
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  13. Doing Business in Libya: A Country Commercial Guide for U.S. Companies, March, 2006
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  17. Although, in the absence of a labor force survey, estimates are surrounded by considerable uncertainty
  18. http://www.seenews.com/news/latestnews/bosnia_senergoinvestsees2007profitunchanging_signscontractsinlibya_-151444/ Template:Webarchive Bosnia's Energoinvest Sees 2007 Profit Flat, Signs Contracts in Libya, Algeria
  19. http://www.arabianbusiness.com/506991-bosnian-firm-clinches-52mn-libya-deal?ln=en Template:Webarchive Bosnian firm clinches $52mn Libya deal
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