Appeal to probability: Difference between revisions
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{{short description|Type of formal fallacy}} | {{short description|Type of formal fallacy}} | ||
An '''appeal to probability''' (or '''appeal to possibility''', also known as ''possibiliter ergo probabiliter'', "possibly, therefore probably") is the [[formal fallacy|logical fallacy]] of taking something for granted because it is possibly the case.{{sfn|Bennett}}{{sfn|Carrier|2012}} <!--[[Inductive argument]]s lack deductive validity and must therefore be asserted or denied in the premises.--> The fact that an event is possible does not imply that the event is probable, nor that the event was realized. | An '''appeal to probability''' (or '''appeal to possibility''', also known as ''possibiliter ergo probabiliter'', "possibly, therefore probably") is the [[formal fallacy|logical fallacy]] of taking something for granted because it is possibly the case.{{sfn|Bennett}}{{sfn|Carrier|2012}} <!--[[Inductive argument]]s lack deductive validity and must therefore be asserted or denied in the premises.--> The fact that an event is possible does not imply that the event is probable, nor that the event was realized. | ||
Latest revision as of 20:43, 2 June 2025
An appeal to probability (or appeal to possibility, also known as possibiliter ergo probabiliter, "possibly, therefore probably") is the logical fallacy of taking something for granted because it is possibly the case.Template:SfnTemplate:Sfn The fact that an event is possible does not imply that the event is probable, nor that the event was realized.
Example
A fallacious appeal to possibility:
- If it can happen (premise)Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters"..
- It will happen. (invalid conclusion)Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters".
- Something can go wrong (premise)Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters"..
- Therefore, something will go wrong (invalid conclusion)Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters"..
- If I do not bring my umbrella (premise)Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters".
- It will rain. (invalid conclusion)Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters"..
Murphy's law is a (typically deliberate, tongue-in-cheek) invocation of the fallacy.Template:Fact
See also
References
Notes
Bibliography
- Script error: No such module "citation/CS1".
- Script error: No such module "citation/CS1".