View source for Nipissing—Timiskaming

{{short description|Federal electoral district in Ontario, Canada}}
{{Use Canadian English|date=November 2024}}
{{Use mdy dates|date=November 2024}}
{{Infobox Canada electoral district
| province            = Ontario
| image               = {{switcher
|{{maplink|frame=yes|plain=yes|from=Canadian federal electoral districts/2019/Nipissing--Timiskaming.map|frame-height=300|frame-width=400|zoom=6|overlay-horizontal-alignment=right|overlay-vertical-alignment=bottom|overlay=[[File:Blank.png|x100px]]<!--Please replace with a static map once it's available, the existing one was outdated-->
}}
|From the [[2015 Canadian federal election|2015 federal election]] to 2025
|{{maplink|frame=yes|plain=yes|from=Canadian federal electoral districts/2025/Nipissing—Timiskaming.map|frame-height=300|frame-width=400|zoom=6|overlay-horizontal-alignment=right|overlay-vertical-alignment=bottom|overlay=[[File:Blank.png|x100px]]<!--Please replace with a static map once it's available-->
}}
|From the [[2025 Canadian federal election|2025 federal election]]
|default=2
}}
| caption             = Interactive map of riding boundaries
| fed-status          = active
| fed-district-number = 35070
| fed-created         = 2003
| fed-abolished       = 
| fed-election-first  = 2004
| fed-election-last   = 2025
| fed-rep             = Pauline Rochefort
| fed-rep-party       = Liberal
| prov-status         = 
| prov-created        = 
| prov-abolished      = 
| prov-election-first = 
| prov-election-last  = 
| prov-rep            = 
| prov-rep-link       = 
| prov-rep-party      = 
| prov-rep-party-link = 
| demo-pop-ref        = <ref>[[#2011fed|Statistics Canada]]: 2012</ref>
| demo-area-ref       = <ref>[[#2011fed|Statistics Canada]]: 2012</ref>
| demo-electors-ref   = 
| demo-census-date    = [[Canada 2011 Census|2011]]
| demo-pop            = 90996
| demo-electors       = 70342
| demo-electors-date  = 2015
| demo-area           = 15313
| demo-cd             = [[Nipissing District, Ontario|Nipissing District]], [[Parry Sound District, Ontario|Parry Sound District]]
| demo-csd            = [[North Bay, Ontario|North Bay]], [[Temiskaming Shores]], [[East Ferris, Ontario|East Ferris]], [[Callander, Ontario|Callander]], [[Powassan]], [[Bonfield, Ontario|Bonfield]], [[Mattawa, Ontario|Mattawa]], [[Nipissing, Ontario|Nipissing]], [[Nipissing First Nation|Nipissing]], [[Englehart]]
}}

'''Nipissing—Timiskaming''' is a federal [[electoral district (Canada)|electoral district]] in [[Ontario]], Canada, that has been represented in the [[House of Commons of Canada]] since 2004. The riding was formed by the amalgamation of the former [[Nipissing (electoral district)|Nipissing]] riding with the southeastern portion of the former [[Timiskaming—Cochrane]] riding.  The 2011 electoral results in this riding were challenged in court on the grounds that there were "irregularities, fraud or corrupt or illegal practices that affected the result of the election".<ref>{{cite news|last=Fitzpatrick|first=Meagan|title=Robocalls trigger legal challenges in 7 ridings|url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/robocalls-trigger-legal-challenges-in-7-ridings-1.1146316|access-date=29 March 2012|newspaper=CBC News|date=27 March 2012}}</ref>

Nipissing—Timiskaming consists of:
*the Territorial District of Nipissing, excluding:
** the Municipality of West Nipissing;
** the southeast part of the district;
** the Town of Kearney;
* in the Territorial District of Parry Sound, the Town of Powassan and the townships of Nipissing and North Himsworth; and
* the part of the Territorial District of Timiskaming lying south and east of a line drawn from the eastern limit of the district west along the northern border of the Townships of Harris, Dymond, Hudson, Lundy, Auld and Speight, south along the western border of the townships of Speight, Van Nostrand, Leo and Medina to the southern limit of the district.

This riding lost small portions of territory to [[Timmins—James Bay (federal electoral district)|Timmins-James Bay]] and gained a small portion from [[Nickel Belt (federal electoral district)|Nickel Belt]] during the [[Canadian federal electoral redistribution, 2012|2012 electoral redistribution]].

The seat's present federal MP is Pauline Rochefort, a member of the Liberal Party.

==Demographics==
''According to the [[2021 Canadian census]]''<ref>{{Cite web |last=Government of Canada |first=Statistics Canada |date=2022-02-09 |title=Profile table, Census Profile, 2021 Census of Population - Nipissing--Timiskaming [Federal electoral district (2013 Representation Order)], Ontario |url=https://www12.statcan.gc.ca/census-recensement/2021/dp-pd/prof/index.cfm?Lang=E |access-date=2023-04-04 |website=www12.statcan.gc.ca}}</ref>

'''Ethnic groups:''' 81.7% White, 14.9% Indigenous, 1.0% South Asian<br />
'''Languages:''' 79.6% English, 13.8% French

'''Religions:''' 58.9% Christian (36.3% Catholic, 6.1% United Church, 4.0% Anglican, 1.1% Pentecostal, 1.0% Presbyterian, 10.4% Other), 39.2% None

'''Median income:''' $39,600 (2020)<br />
'''Average income:''' $49,400 (2020)

This riding has elected the following members of the [[House of Commons of Canada]]:

{{CanMP}}
{{CanMP nodata|Nipissing—Timiskaming<br />''Riding created from'' [[Nipissing (electoral district)|Nipissing]] ''and'' [[Timiskaming—Cochrane]]}}
{{CanMP row
| FromYr = 2004
| ToYr = 2006
| Assembly# = 38
| CanParty = Liberal
| RepName = Anthony Rota
| RepTerms# = 3
| PartyTerms# = 3
}}
{{CanMP row
| FromYr = 2006
| ToYr = 2008
| Assembly# = 39
}}
{{CanMP row
| FromYr = 2008
| ToYr = 2011
| Assembly# = 40
}}
{{CanMP row
| FromYr = 2011
| ToYr = 2015
| Assembly# = 41
| CanParty = Conservative
| RepName = Jay Aspin
| RepTerms# = 1
| PartyTerms# = 1
}}
{{CanMP row
| FromYr = 2015
| ToYr = 2019
| Assembly# = 42
| CanParty = Liberal
| RepName = Anthony Rota
| RepTerms# = 3
| PartyTerms# = 4
}}
{{CanMP row
| FromYr = 2019
| ToYr = 2021
| Assembly# = 43
}}
{{CanMP row
| FromYr = 2021
| ToYr = 2025
| Assembly# = 44
}}
{{CanMP row
| FromYr = 2025
| Assembly# = 45
| RepName = Pauline Rochefort
| RepTerms# = 1
}}
{{CanMP end}}

==Election results==
{{Image frame
| width=850
| content = {{Graph:Chart
 | width=650
 | height=300
 | type=line
 | xAxisTitle=Year
 | yAxisTitle=Vote share
 | xAxisMin=2004
 | xAxisMax=2021
 | yAxisMin=0
 | yAxisMax=0.6
 | yAxisFormat=%
 | legend=Legend
 | y1Title=Liberal
 | y2Title=Conservative
 | y3Title=NDP
 | y4Title=Green
 | y5Title=People's
 | linewidth=2
 | x=2004,2006,2008,2011,2011,2015,2019,2021
 | y1=0.423,0.447,0.446,0.366,0.3649,0.5188,0.4055,0.388
 | y2=0.371,0.345,0.323,0.367,0.3641,0.2931,0.272,0.318
 | y3=0.17,0.173,0.158,0.208,0.2113,0.1624,0.205,0.221
 | y4=0.031,0.035,0.068,0.06,0.0597,0.0257,0.0652
 | y5=,,,,,,0.0523,0.074
 | colors=#DC241f,#1c1cff,#FAA61A,#6AB023,#550099
 | showSymbols=true }}
| caption=Graph of election results in Nippissing—Tiskaming (minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)
| align=center
}}

{{2025 Canadian federal election/Nipissing—Timiskaming}}
{| class="wikitable"
|-
! colspan="4" | [[2021 Canadian federal election|2021 federal election]] redistributed results<ref>{{Cite web| title=Transposition of Votes from the 44th General Election to the 2023 Representation Orders|url=https://www.elections.ca/content.aspx?section=res&dir=rep/tra/2023rep&document=index&lang=e|access-date=9 April 2024|website=[[Elections Canada]]}}</ref>
|-
! bgcolor="#DDDDFF" width="130px" colspan="2" | Party
! bgcolor="#DDDDFF" width="50px" | Vote
! bgcolor="#DDDDFF" width="30px" | %
|-
| {{Canadian party colour|CA|Liberal|background}} | &nbsp;
| [[Liberal Party of Canada|Liberal]] ||align=right| 19,007 ||align=right| 36.86
|-
| {{Canadian party colour|CA|Conservative|background}} | &nbsp;
| [[Conservative Party of Canada|Conservative]] ||align=right| 16,438 ||align=right| 31.88
|-
| {{Canadian party colour|CA|NDP|background}} | &nbsp;
| [[New Democratic Party|New Democratic]] ||align=right| 12,031 ||align=right| 23.33
|-
| {{Canadian party colour|CA|PPC|background}} | &nbsp;
| [[People's Party of Canada|People's]] ||align=right| 4,088 ||align=right| 7.93
|}
{{2021 Canadian federal election/Nipissing—Timiskaming}}
{{2019 Canadian federal election/Nipissing—Timiskaming}}

{{Canadian election result/top|CA|2015|percent=yes|change=yes|expenditures=yes}}
{{CANelec|CA|Liberal|[[Anthony Rota]]|25,357|51.88|+15.39|$111,880.91}}
{{CANelec|CA|Conservative|[[Jay Aspin]]|14,325|29.31|-7.10|$88,713.85}}
{{CANelec|CA|NDP|Kathleen Jodouin|7,936|16.24|-4.89|$25,717.06}}
{{CANelec|CA|Green|Nicole Peltier|1,257|2.57|-3.40|$2,243.82}}
{{Canadian election result/total|Total valid votes/Expense limit|48,875|99.54|&nbsp;|$218,149.29}}
{{Canadian election result/total|Total rejected ballots|224|0.46| }}
{{Canadian election result/total|Turnout|49,099|68.31| }}
{{Canadian election result/total|Eligible voters|71,879}}
{{CANelec/nothold|CA|Liberal|+11.24}}
{{CANelec/source|Source: [[Elections Canada]]<ref>[http://www.elections.ca/Scripts/vis/candidates?L=e&ED=35070&EV=41&EV_TYPE=1&PC=&PROV=ON&PROVID=35&MAPID=&QID=8&PAGEID=17&TPAGEID=&PD=&STAT_CODE_ID=-1 Elections Canada – Confirmed candidates for Nipissing—Timiskaming, 30 September 2015]</ref><ref>[http://www.elections.ca/content2.aspx?section=can&dir=cand/canlim&document=index&lang=e Elections Canada – Preliminary Election Expenses Limits for Candidates]</ref>}}
{{end}}

Despite the fact that 99% of this riding stayed the same after the [[Canadian federal electoral redistribution, 2012|2012 redistribution]], based on the results of the 2011 election — in which Aspin defeated Rota by a margin of just 18 votes — the minor boundary changes were enough to make the seat a notional Liberal riding.<ref name="redist">[http://www.punditsguide.ca/riding.php?riding=2016 Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections]</ref> The riding lost two Conservative voting areas in the north ([[Hudson, Ontario|Hudson Township]] and [[Harris, Ontario|Harris Township]]) while gaining the [[Nipissing 10, Ontario|Nipissing 10 Indian Reserve]],<ref>{{Cite web|title=redecoupage-federal-redistribution|url=https://www.redecoupage-federal-redistribution.ca/map/pwt/pwt.html?lang=e&province=ON|access-date=2021-07-18|website=www.redecoupage-federal-redistribution.ca}}</ref> where the Tories finished third.

{| class="wikitable"
|-
! colspan="4" | [[2011 Canadian federal election|2011 federal election]] redistributed results<ref name="redist"/>
|-
! bgcolor="#DDDDFF" width="130px" colspan="2" | Party
! bgcolor="#DDDDFF" width="50px" | Vote
! bgcolor="#DDDDFF" width="30px" | %
|-
| {{Canadian party colour|CA|Liberal|background}} | &nbsp;
| [[Liberal Party of Canada|Liberal]] ||align=right| 15,405 ||align=right| 36.49
|-
| {{Canadian party colour|CA|Conservative|background}} | &nbsp;
| [[Conservative Party of Canada|Conservative]] ||align=right| 15,369 ||align=right| 36.41
|-
| {{Canadian party colour|CA|NDP|background}} | &nbsp;
| [[New Democratic Party|New Democratic]] ||align=right| 8,919 ||align=right| 21.13
|-
| {{Canadian party colour|CA|Green|background}} | &nbsp;
| [[Green Party of Canada|Green]] ||align=right| 2,520 ||align=right| 5.97
|}

{{Canadian election result/top|CA|2011|percent=yes|change=yes|expenditures=yes}}
{{CANelec|CA|Conservative|[[Jay Aspin]]|15,495|36.7| +4.4|&ndash;}}
{{CANelec|CA|Liberal|[[Anthony Rota]]|15,477|36.6| -8.0|&ndash;}}
{{CANelec|CA|NDP|Rona Eckert|8,781|20.8| +5.0|&ndash;}}
{{CANelec|CA|Green|Scott Daley|2,518|6.0| -0.8|&ndash;}}
{{Canadian election result/total|Total valid votes/Expense limit|42,271|	100.0|&ndash;}}
{{Canadian election result/total|Total rejected ballots|225 |0.5|+0.1| }}
{{Canadian election result/total|Turnout|42,496	 | 60.5|+6.8 | }}
{{Canadian election result/total|Eligible voters| 70,244|&ndash;|&ndash;| }}
{{CANelec/gain|CA|Conservative|Liberal|+6.2}}
{{end}}
Note: This vote was subject to mandatory recount because of the margin of win being less than 1/1000 of the total votes.

{{Canadian election result/top|CA|2008|percent=yes|change=yes|expenditures=yes}}
{{CANelec|CA|Liberal|[[Anthony Rota]]|18,510|44.6|&ndash;0.1|$77,997}}
{{CANelec|CA|Conservative|Joe Sinicrope|13,432|32.3|&ndash;2.2|$81,801}}
{{CANelec|CA|NDP|Dianna Allen|6,582|15.8|&ndash;1.5|$8,409}}
{{CANelec|CA|Green|Craig Bridges|2,808|6.8|+3.3|$10,803}}
{{CANelec|CA|Canadian Action|Andrew Moulden|204|0.5|&ndash;| }}
{{Canadian election result/total|Total valid votes/Expense limit|41,536| 100.0|$87,383}}
{{Canadian election result/total|Total rejected ballots|167| 0.4|0.0}}
{{Canadian election result/total|Turnout|41,703|~58.2|-9.4}}
{{CANelec/hold|CA|Liberal|+2.1}}
{{end}}

{{Canadian election result/top|CA|2006|percent=yes|change=yes}}
{{CANelec|CA|Liberal|[[Anthony Rota]]|21,393|44.7|+2.4}}
{{CANelec|CA|Conservative|Peter Chirico|16,511|34.5|&ndash;2.6}}
{{CANelec|CA|NDP|Dave Fluri|8,268|17.3|+0.3}}
{{CANelec|CA|Green|Meg Purdy|1,698|3.5|+0.4}}
{{Canadian election result/total|Total valid votes|47,870|100.0 }}
{{Canadian election result/total|Total rejected ballots|211| 0.4|-0.1}}
{{Canadian election result/total|Turnout|48,081|67.6|+5.2}}
{{CANelec/hold|CA|Liberal|+2.5}}
{{end}}

{{Canadian election result/top|CA|2004|percent=yes}}
{{CANelec|CA|Liberal|[[Anthony Rota]]|18,254|42.3}}
{{CANelec|CA|Conservative|[[Al McDonald]]|16,001|37.1}}
{{CANelec|CA|NDP|Dave Fluri|7,354|17.0}}
{{CANelec|CA|Green|Les Wilcox|1,329|3.1}}
{{CANelec|CA|Canadian Action|Ross MacLean|204|0.5}}
{{Canadian election result/total|Total valid votes|43,142| 100.0}}
{{Canadian election result/total|Total rejected ballots|222|0.5 }}
{{Canadian election result/total|Turnout|43,364|62.4}}
{{end}}

==See also==
* [[List of Canadian electoral districts]]
* [[Historical federal electoral districts of Canada]]

==References==
*{{SCref|unit=fed|name=2011fed|accessdate=2011-03-03|35057}}
*[http://www2.parl.gc.ca/Sites/LOP/HFER/hfer.asp?Language=E&Search=Det&Include=Y&rid=1360 Riding history from the] [[Library of Parliament]]
* [http://enr.elections.ca/ElectoralDistricts_e.aspx?type=3&criteria=Nipissing--Timiskaming 2011 results from Elections Canada]
* [http://www.elections.ca Campaign expense data from Elections Canada]

===Notes===
{{reflist}}

{{Ridings in Northern Ontario}}
{{Ridings in Ontario}}
{{Authority control}}

{{coord missing|Ontario}}

{{DEFAULTSORT:Nipissing-Timiskaming}}
[[Category:Ontario federal electoral districts]]
[[Category:Politics of North Bay, Ontario]]
[[Category:Temiskaming Shores]]