View source for Havering and Redbridge (London Assembly constituency)

{{Short description|none}} <!-- "none" is preferred when the title is already sufficiently detailed; see [[WP:SDNONE]] -->
{{Use dmy dates|date=April 2022}}
{{Infobox London Assembly constituency
| name    = Havering and Redbridge 
| map     = [[File:Havering and Redbridge shown within  London.PNG|180px|]] 
| member  = [[Keith Prince]] 
| party   = [[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative]]
}}
'''Havering and Redbridge''' is a territorial [[constituency]] represented on the [[London Assembly]] by one Assembly Member (AM). The constituency was created in 2000 at the same time as the London Assembly and has elections every four years. It consists of the combined area of the [[London Borough of Havering]] and the [[London Borough of Redbridge]]. The current assembly member is [[Keith Prince]] of the [[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative Party]] who was first elected in 2016.

==Constituency profile==
Created in [[2000 London Assembly election|2000]], Havering and Redbridge has elected only [[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative]] AMs to date. The current AM is [[Keith Prince]], first elected in [[2016 London Assembly election|2016]].

The Conservative win upon its creation in 2000 was somewhat unexpected, as at that point, the vast majority of the area it covers (excluding two Redbridge wards that fall under the [[Chingford and Woodford Green]] parliamentary seat) was represented by Labour MPs. However, the [[Romford (UK Parliament constituency)|Romford]] and [[Upminster (UK Parliament constituency)|Upminster]] constituencies were among the very small number of seats that the Conservatives gained from Labour at the subsequent [[2001 United Kingdom general election|general election of 2001]].

In line with this, the Conservative majority increased here in 2004, while the trend towards the Conservatives in this area of London continued in the [[2005 United Kingdom general election|2005 general election]] result, which saw the Conservatives winning increased majorities in the two seats they already held, whilst also gaining the constituencies of [[Hornchurch (UK Parliament constituency)|Hornchurch]] and [[Ilford North]] from Labour. Consequently, this London Assembly seat became very safe for the Conservatives in the 2008 election, where they got more than twice as many votes as Labour.

The seat has, however, become extremely marginal in recent years, following a swing of almost 12% to Labour in the 2012 election. This swing against the Conservatives preluded Labour gaining a majority on Redbridge Council in 2014 for the first time since its creation, the Conservatives losing overall control on Havering Council and Labour gaining the Ilford North seat back from the Conservatives at the [[2015 United Kingdom general election|2015 general election]]. The seat became slightly more marginal in 2016, but it was not enough for Labour to gain it. The Conservatives increased their majority in 2021, and held the seat again in 2024.

== Assembly members ==
{| class="wikitable"
|-
!colspan="2"|Year!!Member!!Party
|-
|style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
| [[2000 London Assembly election|2000]]
| [[Roger Evans (London politician)|Roger Evans]]
| [[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative]]
|-
|style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
| [[2016 London Assembly election|2016]]
| [[Keith Prince]]
| [[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative]]
|}

== Mayoral election results ==
''Below are the results for the candidate which received the highest share of the popular vote in the constituency at each mayoral election.''
{| class="wikitable"
!colspan="2"|Year!!Mayoral candidate!!Party
|-
|style="background-color: {{party color|Independent (politician)}}" |
| [[2000 London mayoral election|2000]] 
| [[Ken Livingstone]]
| [[Independent (politician)|Independent]]
|-
|style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
| [[2004 London mayoral election|2004]] 
| [[Steven Norris]]
| [[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative]]
|-
|style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
| [[2008 London mayoral election|2008]] 
| [[Boris Johnson]]
| [[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative]]
|-
|style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
| [[2012 London mayoral election|2012]] 
| [[Boris Johnson]]
| [[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative]]
|-
|style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
| [[2016 London mayoral election|2016]] 
| [[Zac Goldsmith]]
| [[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative]]
|-
|style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
| [[2021 London mayoral election|2021]] 
| [[Shaun Bailey (AM)|Shaun Bailey]]
| [[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative]]
|-
|style="background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |
| [[2024 London mayoral election|2024]] 
| [[Susan Hall]]
| [[Conservative Party (UK)|Conservative]]
|}

==Assembly election results==

{{AMS election box begin|title=[[2024 London Assembly election]]: Havering and Redbridge<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.londonelects.org.uk/sites/default/files/2024-05/havering_and_redbridge_constituency_member_results_2024.pdf|title=GLA 2024 Elections, Constituency Member of the London Assembly Results, Havering and Redbridge|publisher=London Elects}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.londonelects.org.uk/sites/default/files/2024-05/havering_and_redbridge_london-wide_member_results_2024.pdf|title=GLA 2024 Elections, London Wide Assembly, Havering and Redbridge|publisher=London Elects}}</ref>
|constituency_type = Constituency
|list_type = List
}}

{{AMS election box with party link
 |party = Conservative Party (UK)
 |candidate = [[Keith Prince]]
 |votes = 65,037 
 |percentage = 37.9
 |change = -8.1
 |list_votes   = 62,200
 |list_percentage = 36.3
 |list_change  = 
 |winner       = yes
 |list_winner  = yes
}}
{{AMS election box with party link
 |party = Labour Party (UK)
 |candidate = Guy Williams
 |votes = 49,561
 |percentage = 28.9
 |change = -8.0
 |list_votes   = 50,941
 |list_percentage = 29.7
 |list_change  =
}}
{{AMS election box with party link
 |party = Reform UK
 |candidate = [[Alex Wilson (British politician)|Alex Wilson]]
 |votes = 19,696
 |percentage = 11.5
 |change =+8.4
 |list_votes   = 17,718
 |list_percentage =10.3
 |list_change  = 
}}
{{AMS election box with party link
 |party = Green Party of England and Wales
 |candidate = Kim Arrowsmith
 |votes = 15,010
 |percentage = 8.8
 |change =+0.7
 |list_votes   = 13,727
 |list_percentage =8.0
 |list_change  = 
}}
{{AMS election box with party link
 |party = Independent (politician)
 |candidate = Mohammed Asif
 |votes = 11,768
 |percentage = 6.9
 |change =''New''
 |list_votes   =
 |list_percentage =
 |list_change  = 
}}
{{AMS election box with party link
 |party = Liberal Democrats (UK)
 |candidate = Fraser Coppin
 |votes = 8,240
 |percentage = 4.8
 |change =0.0
 |list_votes   = 7,955
 |list_percentage = 4.6
 |list_change  = 
}}
{{AMS election box with list party link
 |party = Britain First
 |list_votes   = 3,894
 |list_percentage = 2.3
 |list_change  = 
}}
{{AMS election box with list party link
 |party = Rejoin EU
 |list_votes   = 3,250
 |list_percentage = 1.9
 |list_change  = 
}}
{{AMS election box with list party link
 |party = Animal Welfare Party
 |list_votes   = 2,964
 |list_percentage = 1.7
 |list_change  = 
}}
{{AMS election box independent
|party        = Independent (politician)
|candidate    = Farah London
 |list_votes   = 2,832
 |list_percentage = 1.7
 |list_change  = 
}}
{{AMS election box with party link
 |party = Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition
 |candidate = Andy Walker
 |votes = 2,145
 |percentage = 1.3
 |change = +0.2
 |list_votes   = 
 |list_percentage = 
 |list_change  = 
}}
{{AMS election box with list party link
 |party = Christian Peoples Alliance
 |list_votes   = 1,884
 |list_percentage = 1.1
 |list_change  = 
}}
{{AMS election box with list party link
 |party = Social Democratic Party (UK, 1990-present)
 |list_votes   = 1,705
 |list_percentage = 1.0
 |list_change  = 
}}
{{AMS election box independent
|party        = Independent (politician)
|candidate    = [[Laurence Fox]]
 |list_votes   = 1,257
 |list_percentage = 0.7
 |list_change  = 
}}
{{AMS election box with list party link
 |party = Communist Party of Britain
 |list_votes   = 636
 |list_percentage = 0.4
 |list_change  = 
}}
{{AMS election box with list party link
 |party = Heritage Party (UK)
 |list_votes   = 338
 |list_percentage = 0.2
 |list_change  = 
}}
{{AMS election box independent
|party        = Independent (politician)
|candidate    = Gabe Romualdo
 |list_votes   = 172
 |list_percentage = 0.1
 |list_change  = 
}}
{{AMS election box majority 
|votes=15,476
|percentage=9.0
|change=-0.1}}
{{AMS election box valid votes 
|votes= 171,457
|list_votes= 171,473
}}
{{AMS election box invalid votes 
|votes= 1,274
|list_votes= 1,239
}}
{{AMS election box turnout 
|votes= 172,731
|percentage=42.91
|change=
  |list_votes = 172,712
  |list_percentage = 42.91
  |list_change  = 
}}
{{AMS election box hold
  |winner = Conservative Party (UK)
  |swing = 
}}
{{AMS election box end|notes=no}}

{{Election box begin|title=[[2021 London Assembly election]]: Havering and Redbridge<ref>{{cite web |title=Havering and Redbridge 2021 |url=https://www.londonelects.org.uk/sites/default/files/2021-05/Havering%20and%20Redbridge%202021.pdf |website=London Elects |access-date=25 July 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210507222118/https://www.londonelects.org.uk/sites/default/files/2021-05/Havering%20and%20Redbridge%202021.pdf |archive-date=7 May 2021 |url-status=live}}</ref>}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link
 |party = Conservative Party (UK)
 |candidate = [[Keith Prince]]
 |votes = 77,268
 |percentage = 46.0
 |change = +8.3
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link
 |party = Labour Party (UK) 	
 |candidate = Judith Garfield 
 |votes = 61,941
 |percentage = 36.9
 |change = 0.0
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link
 |party = Green Party of England and Wales
 |candidate = Melanie Collins 
 |votes = 13,685
 |percentage = 8.1
 |change = +2.5
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link
 |party = Liberal Democrats (UK)
 |candidate = Thomas Clarke
 |votes = 8,150
 |percentage = 4.8
 |change = +0.7
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link
 |party = Reform UK
 |candidate = [[Richard Tice]]
 |votes = 5,143
 |percentage = 3.1
 |change = ''New''
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link
 |party = Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition
 |candidate = Andy Walker
 |votes = 1,856
 |percentage = 1.1
 |change = ''New''
}}
{{Election box majority
 |votes = 15,327
 |percentage = 9.1
 |change = +8.3
}}
{{Election box formal|
|votes = 168,043
|percentage =
|change =
}}
{{Election box informal|
|votes = 2,741
|percentage =
|change =
}}
{{Election box turnout
 |votes = 170,784
 |percentage =
 |change =
}}
{{Election box hold with party link|
 |winner     = Conservative Party (UK)
 |swing      =
}}
{{Election box end}}
{{Election box begin|title=[[2016 London Assembly election]]: Havering and Redbridge<ref>{{Cite web |url=http://www.londonelects.org.uk/download/file/fid/477 |title=Archived copy |access-date=2016-04-21 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160503084740/https://londonelects.org.uk/download/file/fid/477 |archive-date=2016-05-03 |url-status=dead }}</ref>}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link
 |party = Conservative Party (UK)
 |candidate = [[Keith Prince]]
 |votes = 64,483
 |percentage = 37.7
 |change = +0.1
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link
 |party = Labour Party (UK) 	
 |candidate = Ivana Bartoletti 
 |votes = 63,045
 |percentage = 36.9
 |change = +2.1
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link
 |party = UK Independence Party
 |candidate = Lawrence Webb
 |votes = 26,788
 |percentage = 15.7
 |change = +9.0 
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link
 |party = Green Party of England and Wales
 |candidate = Lee Burkwood 
 |votes = 9,617
 |percentage = 5.6
 |change = +1.9
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link
 |party = Liberal Democrats (UK)
 |candidate = Ian Sanderson 
 |votes = 7,105
 |percentage = 4.1
 |change = -0.4
}}
{{Election box majority
 |votes = 1,438
 |percentage = 0.8
 |change = -2.0
}}
{{Election box formal|
|votes = 171,038
|percentage = 99.0
|change = +0.4
}}
{{Election box informal|
|votes = 1768
|percentage = 1.0 
|change = -0.4
}}
{{Election box turnout
 |votes = 172,806
 |percentage = 45.0
 |change = +8.1
}}
{{Election box hold with party link|
 |winner     = Conservative Party (UK)
 |swing      =
}}
{{Election box end}}

{{Election box begin|title=[[2012 London Assembly election]]: Havering and Redbridge<ref>{{Cite web |url=http://www.londonelects.org.uk/download/file/fid/484 |title=Archived copy |access-date=2012-05-04 |archive-date=2016-05-03 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160503084806/https://londonelects.org.uk/download/file/fid/484 |url-status=dead }}</ref>}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link|
 |party = Conservative Party (UK)
 |candidate = [[Roger Evans (London politician)|Roger Evans]] 	
 |votes = 53,285
 |percentage = 37.6
 |change = -10.1
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|
 |party = Labour Party (UK)
 |candidate = Mandy Richards
 |votes = 49,346
 |percentage = 34.8
 |change = +13.3
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|
 |party = UK Independence Party
 |candidate = Lawrence Webb
 |votes = 9,471
 |percentage = 6.7
 |change = -0.7
}}
{{Election box candidate|
 |party = Residents' Association of London
 |candidate = Malvin Brown 	
 |votes = 8,239
 |percentage = 5.8
 |change = ''New''
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|
 |party = Liberal Democrats (UK)
 |candidate = Farrukh Islam
 |votes = 6,435
 |percentage = 4.5
 |change = -2.9
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|
 |party = British National Party
 |candidate = Robert Taylor
 |votes = 5,234
 |percentage = 3.7
 |change = ''New''
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|
 |party = Green Party of England and Wales 
 |candidate = Haroon Said
 |votes = 5,207
 |percentage = 3.7
 |change = -1.9
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|
 |party = English Democrats
 |candidate = Mark Twiddy
 |votes = 2,573
 |percentage = 1.8
 |change = -2.1
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|
 |party = National Front (UK)
 |candidate = [[Richard Edmonds]]	
 |votes = 1,936
 |percentage = 1.4
 |change = ''New''
}}
{{Election box majority|
 |votes = 3,939
 |percentage = 2.8
 |change = -22.8
}}
{{Election box formal|
|votes = 141,726
|percentage = 98.6
|change = 
}}
{{Election box informal|
|votes = 1,993
|percentage = 1.4
|change = 
}}
{{Election box turnout|
 |votes = 143,759
 |percentage = 36.9
 |change = -8.6
}}
{{Election box hold with party link|
 |winner     = Conservative Party (UK)
 |swing      =
}}
{{Election box end}}

{{Election box begin|title=[[2008 London Assembly election]]: Havering and Redbridge<ref>{{Cite web|url=http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/shared/bsp/hi/elections/london/08/html/9.stm|title=BBC NEWS &#124; Election 2008 &#124; London Elections: Havering & Redbridge|website=news.bbc.co.uk}}</ref>}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link|
 |party = Conservative Party (UK)
 |candidate = [[Roger Evans (London politician)|Roger Evans]]
 |votes = 78,493
 |percentage = 46.7
 |change = +13.1
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|
 |party = Labour Party (UK)
 |candidate = Balvinder Saund
 |votes = 35,468
 |percentage = 21.1
 |change = –0.6
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|
 |party = Liberal Democrats (UK)
 |candidate = Farrukh Islam
 |votes = 12,443
 |percentage = 7.4
 |change = –6.8
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|
 |party = UK Independence Party
 |candidate = Lawrence Webb
 |votes = 12,203
 |percentage = 7.3
 |change = –6.9
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|
 |party = Green Party of England and Wales
 |candidate = [[Ashley Gunstock]]
 |votes = 9,126
 |percentage = 5.4
 |change = +0.7
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|
 |party = English Democrats
 |candidate = Leo Brookes
 |votes = 6,487
 |percentage = 3.9
 |change = ''New''
}}
{{Election box candidate for alliance|
  |party      = Christian Party (UK)
  |side = Christian Peoples Alliance
 |candidate = Paula Warren
 |votes = 5,533
 |percentage = 3.3
 |change = +1.0
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|
 |party = Independent politician
 |candidate = Peter Thorogood
 |votes = 3,450
 |percentage = 2.1
 |change = +0.9
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|
 |party = Left List
 |candidate = [[Carole Vincent (Big Brother)|Carole Vincent]]
 |votes = 1,473
 |percentage = 0.9
 |change = ''New''
}}
{{Election box majority|
 |votes = 43,025
 |percentage = 25.6
 |change = +12.7
}}
{{Election box turnout|
 |votes = 167,922
 |percentage = 45.5
 |change = +8.6
}}
{{Election box hold with party link|
 |winner = Conservative Party (UK)
 |swing = 
}}
{{Election box end}}

{{Election box begin|title=[[2004 London Assembly election]]: Havering and Redbridge<ref name="demon">{{Cite web|url=http://www.election.demon.co.uk/gla.html|title=Greater London Authority Election Results|website=www.election.demon.co.uk}}</ref>}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link|
 |party = Conservative Party (UK)
 |candidate = [[Roger Evans (London politician)|Roger Evans]]
 |votes = 44,723
 |percentage = 34.6
 |change = –2.9
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|
 |party = Labour Party (UK)
 |candidate = [[Keith Darvill]]
 |votes = 28,017
 |percentage = 21.7
 |change = –8.3
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|
 |party = UK Independence Party
 |candidate = Lawrence Webb
 |votes = 18,297
 |percentage = 14.2
 |change = ''New''
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|
 |party = Liberal Democrats (UK)
 |candidate = Matthew Lake
 |votes = 13,646
 |percentage = 10.6
 |change = –2.3
}}
{{Election box candidate|
 |party = Residents' Association of London
 |candidate = Malvin Brown
 |votes = 6,925
 |percentage = 5.4
 |change = –6.4
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|
 |party = Green Party of England and Wales
 |candidate = [[Ashley Gunstock]]
 |votes = 6,009
 |percentage = 4.7
 |change = –1.5
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|
 |party = RESPECT The Unity Coalition
 |candidate = Abdurahman Jafar
 |votes = 5,185
 |percentage = 4.0
 |change = ''New''
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|
 |party = Christian Peoples Alliance
 |candidate = Juliet Hawkins
 |votes = 2,917
 |percentage = 2.3
 |change = ''New''
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|
  |party      = National Liberal Party (UK, 1999)
 |candidate = David Stephens
 |votes = 2,031
 |percentage = 1.6
 |change = ''New''
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|
 |party = Independent politician
 |candidate = Peter Thorogood
 |votes = 1,597
 |percentage = 1.2
 |change = ''New''
}}
{{Election box majority|
 |votes = 16,706
 |percentage = 12.9
 |change = +5.4
}}
{{Election box turnout|
 |votes = 129,347
 |percentage = 36.9
 |change = +6.1
}}
{{Election box hold with party link|
 |winner = Conservative Party (UK)
 |swing = 
}}
{{Election box end}}

{{Election box begin|title=[[2000 London Assembly election]]: Havering and Redbridge<ref name="bbc">[http://news.bbc.co.uk/hi/english/static/uk_politics/vote2000/london/havering_redbridge/havering_redbridge.stm London & Local Elections 2000: Havering and Redbridge], ''[[BBC News]]''</ref>}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link|
 |party = Conservative Party (UK)
 |candidate = [[Roger Evans (London politician)|Roger Evans]]
 |votes = 40,919
 |percentage = 37.5
 |change = ''N/A''
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|
 |party = Labour Party (UK)
 |candidate = Chris Robbins
 |votes = 32,650
 |percentage = 30.0
 |change = ''N/A''
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|
 |party = Liberal Democrats (UK)
 |candidate = Geoffrey Seeff
 |votes = 14,028
 |percentage = 12.9
 |change = ''N/A''
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|
 |party = Havering Residents Association
 |candidate = Ian Wilkes
 |votes = 12,831
 |percentage = 11.8
 |change = ''N/A''
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|
 |party = Green Party of England and Wales
 |candidate = [[Ashley Gunstock]]
 |votes = 6,803
 |percentage = 6.2
 |change = ''N/A''
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|
 |party = London Socialist Alliance
 |candidate = George Taylor
 |votes = 1,744
 |percentage = 1.6
 |change = ''N/A''
}}
{{Election box majority|
 |votes = 8,269
 |percentage = 7.5
 |change = ''N/A''
}}
{{Election box turnout|
 |votes = 108,975
 |percentage = 30.8
 |change = ''N/A''
}}
{{Election box new seat win|
 |winner = Conservative Party (UK)
 |swing = ''N/A''
}}
{{Election box end}}

==References==
{{reflist}}

{{London Assembly}}

[[Category:London Assembly constituencies]]
[[Category:Politics of the London Borough of Havering]]
[[Category:Politics of the London Borough of Redbridge]]
[[Category:Constituencies established in 2000]]