View source for David Spiegelhalter

{{Redirect|Spiegelhalter|the Spiegelhalter shop in [[Whitechapel]]|Wickhams (department store)}}
{{Short description|English statistician (born 1953)}}
{{EngvarB|date=August 2014}}
{{Use dmy dates|date=November 2022}}
{{Infobox scientist
| honorific_prefix = Sir
| name = David Spiegelhalter
| honorific_suffix = {{post-nominals|country=GBR|size=100%|OBE|FRS}}
| birth_name        = David John Spiegelhalter
| image             = Sir David Spiegelhalter.jpg
| caption           = Spiegelhalter giving a presentation in November 2020
| birth_date        =  {{Birth date and age|df=yes|1953|08|16}}
| birth_place       = [[Barnstaple]], Devon, England 
| death_date        =
| death_place       = 
| residence         =
| nationality       =
| fields            = {{Plainlist|
* Statistics
* [[Biostatistics]]<ref name=googlescholar/>}}
| workplaces        = {{Plainlist|
* [[University of Cambridge]]
* [[University of California, Berkeley]]
* [[Brunel University]]
* [[University of Nottingham]]}}
| alma_mater        = {{Plainlist|class=nowrap|
* [[University of Oxford]] (BA)
* [[University College London]] (MSc, PhD)}}
| doctoral_advisor  = [[Adrian Smith (statistician)|Adrian Smith]]<ref name="mathgene">{{MathGenealogy|id=62175}}</ref>
| thesis_title = Adaptive inference using finite mixture models
| thesis_url = http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.473544
| thesis_year = 1978
| doctoral_students = <!-- Commented out per Template:Infobox_scientist#Guidelines : Hayley E Jones, Kenneth Rice, Iain Stemp<ref name="mathgene"/> -->
| awards            =  {{Plainlist|
* [[Guy Medal]]
* [[Order of the British Empire|OBE]]
* [[Fellow of the Royal Society|FRS]] (2005)
* [[Weldon Memorial Prize]] (2009)
* [[Knight Bachelor]] (2014)}}
| website = {{URL|http://www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/person/ds28}}
}}

'''Sir David John Spiegelhalter''' (born 16 August 1953) is a British statistician  and a Fellow of [[Churchill College, Cambridge]].<ref name=googlescholar>{{GoogleScholar|id=oz7MFu0AAAAJ}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.chu.cam.ac.uk/about/fellows/fellows.php |title=Churchill College: Fellows: List of current Fellows |access-date=14 September 2011 |archive-date=18 February 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120218224022/http://www.chu.cam.ac.uk/about/fellows/fellows.php |url-status=dead }}</ref><ref name=scopus>{{Scopus| id=35491822900}}</ref><ref name=imdb>{{IMDb name|4097227}}</ref> From 2007 to 2018 he was [[Winton Professorship of the Public Understanding of Risk|Winton Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk]] in the [[Faculty of Mathematics, University of Cambridge|Statistical Laboratory]] at the [[University of Cambridge]].<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~david/ |title=David Spiegelhalter's Personal Home Page |access-date=6 January 2022}}</ref> Spiegelhalter is an [[ISI highly cited researcher]]. 

He is currently Chair of the Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication in the [[Centre for Mathematical Sciences (Cambridge)|Centre for Mathematical Sciences]] at Cambridge.<ref>{{Cite book|last=Spiegelhalter|first=D. J.|url=https://www.worldcat.org/oclc/1250202258|title=Covid by numbers: making sense of the pandemic with data / David Spiegelhalter and Anthony Masters.|date=2021|others=Anthony Masters|isbn=978-0-241-54773-1|publisher=Pelican|oclc=1250202258}}</ref> On 27 May 2020 he joined the [[UK Statistics Authority#Current board members|board]] of the [[UK Statistics Authority]] as a non-executive director for a period of three years,<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.statisticsauthority.gov.uk/news/appointment-of-two-new-non-executive-directors-to-the-uk-statistics-authority-board/|title=Appointment of two new Non-Executive Directors to the UK Statistics Authority Board|language=en-GB|access-date=27 May 2020}}</ref> a term which was extended through to 2026.<ref>{{cite web | url=https://uksa.statisticsauthority.gov.uk/news/uk-statistics-authority-welcomes-three-new-non-executive-directors/ | title=UK Statistics Authority welcomes three new non-executive directors }}</ref>

==Early life and education==
Spiegelhalter was born on 16 August 1953.<ref name="whoswho">{{Who's Who | title=SPIEGELHALTER, Prof. David John | id = U45800 | volume = 2015 | edition = online [[Oxford University Press]]}}</ref> He was educated at [[Barnstaple Grammar School]], a [[State school|state]] grammar school in [[Barnstaple, Devon]], from 1963 to 1970.<ref>{{cite news|first1=Andy|last1=Keeble|title=Barnstaple old boy knighted in Queen's Birthday honours|url=http://www.northdevongazette.co.uk/news/barnstaple-old-boy-knighted-in-queen-s-birthday-honours-1-3647170|newspaper=[[North Devon Gazette]]| date=18 June 2014}}</ref> He then studied mathematics at [[Keble College, Oxford]], graduating with a Bachelor of Arts (BA) degree in 1974.<ref name="WW 2021" /><ref name="cv" /> He moved to [[University College London]], where he gained his Master of Science (MSc) degree in statistics in 1975 and a Doctor of Philosophy (PhD) degree in [[mathematical statistics]] in 1978.<ref name="WW 2021">{{cite web |title=Spiegelhalter, Sir David (John), (born 16 Aug. 1953), Chair, Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication, University of Cambridge, since 2017 (Winton Professor for the Public Understanding of Risk, 2007–18); Fellow, Churchill College, Cambridge |url=http://www.ukwhoswho.com/view/article/oupww/whoswho/U45800 |website=[[Who's Who 2021]] |publisher=Oxford University Press |access-date=29 August 2021 |language=en |date=1 December 2020}}</ref><ref name="cv" /> His doctoral thesis was titled "Adaptive Inference Using Finite Mixture Models",<ref name="spiegelphd">{{cite thesis |degree=PhD |first=David|last=Spiegelhalter |title=Adaptive inference using finite mixture models |publisher=University College London |date=1978 |url=http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.473544|author-link= David Spiegelhalter}}</ref> and was [[Doctoral advisor|supervised]] by [[Adrian Smith (statistician)|Adrian Smith]].<ref name="mathgene"/>

==Career==
Spiegelhalter was research assistant in [[Brunel University]] in 1976<ref name =cv>{{cite web |title=CURRICULUM VITAE – David John SPIEGELHALTER |url=https://understandinguncertainty.org/files/cv-DJS-full.pdf |website=Understanding Uncertainty |access-date=10 May 2019}}</ref> and then visiting lecturer at the [[University of California, Berkeley]], 1977–78. After his PhD, he was a research assistant for the [[Royal College of Physicians]]; he was based at the [[University of Nottingham]], where his PhD supervisor, [[Adrian Smith (statistician)|Adrian Smith]], had been appointed a professor.{{cn|date=December 2022}}

From 1981 he was at the Medical Research Council Biostatistics Unit at Cambridge. He has been an honorary lecturer at the [[University of Hong Kong]] since 1991. He has also been a consultant for [[GlaxoSmithKline]], [[Novartis]] and the [[World Anti-Doping Agency]]. He played a leading role in the [[List_of_public_inquiries_in_the_United_Kingdom|public inquiries]] into children's heart surgery at the [[Bristol Royal Infirmary]], the murders by [[Harold Shipman]],<ref>{{cite news| url=http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/programmes/panorama/4868560.stm | work=BBC News | title=Programme transcript | date=2 April 2006}}</ref> the independent inquiry on [[Mid_Staffordshire_NHS_Foundation_Trust|Mid Staffs Trust]] and, more recently, the [[Infected Blood Inquiry|infected blood]] inquiry.

Between 2007 and 2012 he divided his work<ref>{{cite book|title=CAM|publisher=Cambridge University Alumni Association|issue=58|date=October 2009|chapter-url=http://www.alumni.cam.ac.uk/sites/www.alumni.cam.ac.uk/files/documents/CAM58.pdf#page=5|page=3|chapter=Don's Diary|first=David|last=Spiegelhalter|access-date=21 October 2014|archive-date=3 March 2016|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160303232446/http://www.alumni.cam.ac.uk/sites/www.alumni.cam.ac.uk/files/documents/CAM58.pdf#page=5|url-status=dead}}</ref> between the Cambridge [[Statistical Laboratory, University of Cambridge|Statistical Laboratory]] (three-fifths) and the [[Medical Research Council (UK)|Medical Research Council]] [[Biostatistics]] Unit (two-fifths).<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.mrc-bsu.cam.ac.uk/About%20Us/People.html |title=MRC Biostatistics Unit: People |access-date=15 September 2011 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110903103326/http://www.mrc-bsu.cam.ac.uk/About%20Us/People.html |archive-date=3 September 2011  }}</ref> He left the MRC in March 2012<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.mrc-bsu.cam.ac.uk/People/formerstaff.html |title=Welcome to the MRC Biostatistics Unit |access-date=25 April 2012 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120113232213/http://www.mrc-bsu.cam.ac.uk/People/formerstaff.html |archive-date=13 January 2012  }}</ref> and worked full-time at the Statistical Laboratory as the [[Winton Professorship of the Public Understanding of Risk|Winton Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk]] until his retirement. He remained chair of the Winton Centre until it closed in 2023. As of 2012 Spiegelhalter has supervised 7 PhD students.<ref name =cv/><ref>{{cite web |title=David John Spiegelhalter |url=https://genealogy.math.ndsu.nodak.edu/id.php?id=62175 |website=Mathematics Genealogy Project |access-date=2 September 2019}}</ref>

[[File:David_crop.jpg|thumb|David Spiegelhalter playing with Arco Iris [[Samba band]], July 2009]]

In 2012, Spiegelhalter hosted the [[BBC Four]] documentary ''Tails You Win: The Science of Chance'' which described the application of [[probability]] in everyday life.<ref>[http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/p00yh2rc BBC Four – Tails You Win: The Science of Chance]</ref> He also presented a 2013 [[Cambridge Science Festival]] talk, ''How to Spot a Shabby Statistic'' at the Babbage Lecture Theatre in Cambridge.<ref name=imdb/><ref>[http://www.cam.ac.uk/sciencefestival/events/?uid=9e97e687-e818-435a-8ae2-2e10be07d2e8 What's On » Cambridge Science Festival – How to spot a shabby statistic]</ref>

He was elected as President of the [[Royal Statistical Society]], and took up the position on 1 January 2017. His Presidential address later that year took as its subject ''Trust in Numbers''.<ref>{{cite journal|year=2017|volume=180|title=Trust in numbers|journal=Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A|author=Spiegelhalter, D.|issue=4 |page=949-965|doi=10.1111/rssa.12302}}</ref>

In March 2020 Spiegelhalter launched a podcast called ''Risky Talk'' where he interviews experts in risk and evidence communication on topics like genetics, nutrition, climate change and immigration.<ref>[https://riskytalk.libsyn.com/ ''Risky Talk'' website]. Accessed 30 December 2022.</ref> He appeared on [[Desert Island Discs|BBC Desert Island Discs]] on 6 February 2022.<ref>{{Cite web|title=Desert Island Discs – Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter, statistician – BBC Sounds|url=https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/m0014644|access-date=11 February 2022|website=www.bbc.co.uk|language=en-GB}}</ref>

==Research==
Spiegelhalter's research interests are in statistics<ref name=googlescholar/><ref name="microsoft">{{AcademicSearch|1785081}}</ref><ref name="dblp">{{DBLP|name=David J. Spiegelhalter}}</ref> including
* [[Bayesian statistics|Bayesian]] approach to clinical trials, expert systems and complex modelling and epidemiology.<ref>{{Cite journal | last1 = Spiegelhalter | first1 = D. J. | last2 = Best | first2 = N. G.|author2-link= Nicky Best | last3 = Carlin | first3 = B. P. | last4 = Linde | first4 = A. V. D. | title = Bayesian Measures of Model Complexity and Fit | journal = Journal of the Royal Statistical Society | volume = 64 | issue = 4 | doi = 10.1111/1467-9868.00353 | pages = 583–639 | year = 2002 | doi-access = free }}</ref>
*[[Graphical model]]s of conditional independence. He wrote several papers in the 1980s that showed how probability could be incorporated into expert systems, a problem that seemed intractable at the time. Spiegelhalter showed that while [[frequentist]] probability did not lend itself to expert systems, [[Bayesian probability]] most certainly did.<ref>{{Cite journal | last1 = Lauritzen | first1 = S. L. | last2 = Spiegelhalter | first2 = D. J. | title = Local Computations with Probabilities on Graphical Structures and Their Application to Expert Systems | journal = Journal of the Royal Statistical Society | volume = 50 | issue = 2 | pages = 157–224 | jstor = 2345762| year = 1988 | doi = 10.1111/j.2517-6161.1988.tb01721.x }}</ref>
*[[Statistical software]].<ref>{{cite book |title=Markov Chain Monte Carlo in Practice |first1=W. R. |last1=Gilks |first2=S. |last2=Richardson |first3=D. J. |last3=Spiegelhalter |publisher=Chapman & Hall |year=1996 |isbn=978-0-412-05551-5}}</ref> In the 1990s Spiegelhalter led the [[Medical Research Council (UK)|Medical Research Council]] team that developed [[WinBUGS|WinBUGS ("Bayesian analysis Using Gibbs Sampling")]], a statistical-modelling system allowing [[hierarchical Bayes model|hierarchical]] [[prior distribution]]s. WinBUGS and its successor [[OpenBUGS]] specifies [[graphical model]]s using acyclic directed graphs whose nodes are random variables, which are updated using [[Gibbs sampling]] (an updating method for [[Markov chain Monte Carlo]] (MCMC) [[simulation]]).<ref name="WinBUGS">{{Cite journal | last1 = Lunn | first1 = D. | last2 = Spiegelhalter | first2 = D. | last3 = Thomas | first3 = A. | last4 = Best | first4 = N. | title = The BUGS project: Evolution, critique and future directions | journal = Statistics in Medicine | volume = 28 | issue = 25 | pages = 3049–3067 | year = 2009 | doi = 10.1002/sim.3680|doi-access=free| pmid=19630097}}</ref> Earlier Bayesian software had required that the probability distribution for the observed data be an [[exponential family]] and that the prior be its [[Conjugate prior|conjugate distribution]]. Allowing flexible choices of prior distributions simplified hierarchical modelling and helped to promote [[multilevel model]]s, which became widely used in epidemiology and education.
*General issues in [[clinical trials]],<ref>{{Cite journal | last1 = Neuenschwander | first1 = B. | last2 = Capkun-Niggli | first2 = G. | last3 = Branson | first3 = M. | last4 = Spiegelhalter | first4 = D. J. | title = Summarizing historical information on controls in clinical trials | doi = 10.1177/1740774509356002 | journal = Clinical Trials | volume = 7 | issue = 1 | pages = 5–18 | year = 2010 | pmid =  20156954| s2cid = 38751711 }}</ref> including cluster randomisation, meta-analysis and ethical monitoring.
*Monitoring and comparing clinical and public-health outcomes and their associated publication as performance indicators.
*Public understanding of risk,<ref>{{Cite journal 
| last1 = Spiegelhalter | first1 = D. 
| last2 = Pearson | first2 = M. 
| last3 = Short | first3 = I. 
| doi = 10.1126/science.1191181 
| title = Visualizing Uncertainty About the Future 
| journal = Science 
| volume = 333 
| issue = 6048 
| pages = 1393–1400 
| year = 2011 
| pmid = 21903802 
| bibcode = 2011Sci...333.1393S 
| citeseerx = 10.1.1.1029.4615 
| s2cid = 1223740 
}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |url=http://understandinguncertainty.org/blogs/david |title=David Spiegelhalter's blog &#124; Understanding Uncertainty |access-date=15 September 2011}}</ref> including promoting concepts such as the [[micromort]] (a one in a million chance of death) and [[microlife]] (a 30-minute reduction of life expectancy). Media reporting of statistics,<ref>{{Cite journal | last1 = Riesch | first1 = H. | last2 = Spiegelhalter | first2 = D. J. | doi = 10.1080/13698575.2010.540645 | title = 'Careless pork costs lives': Risk stories from science to press release to media | journal = Health, Risk & Society | volume = 13 | pages = 47–64 | year = 2011 | s2cid = 72065012 }}</ref> risk and probability and the wider conception of uncertainty as going beyond what is measured to model uncertainty, the unknown and the unmeasurable.

In 2003 Spiegelhalter and others published a paper on the many murders of physician [[Harold Shipman]], in which they found that routine statistical monitoring of mortality could have revealed the murders in 1996, two years and many murders before suspicions were actually raised.<ref>{{cite journal | last1=Spiegelhalter | first1=David|last2=Grigg|first2=Olivia|last3=Kinsman|first3=Robin|last4=Treasure|first4=Tom | title=Risk-adjusted sequential probability ratio tests: applications to Bristol, Shipman and adult cardiac surgery | journal=International Journal for Quality in Health Care | volume=15 | issue=1 | date=1 February 2003 | doi=10.1093/intqhc/15.1.7| pages=7–13 | url=https://academic.oup.com/intqhc/article-pdf/15/1/7/5086350/150007.pdf}}</ref>

==Honours==
*1975 Fellow, [[Royal Statistical Society]]
*1985 [[Guy Medal]] in Bronze, Royal Statistical Society
*1990 Award for Outstanding Statistical Application, [[American Statistical Association]]<ref>[http://www.amstat.org/awards/outstandingstatisticalapplicationaward.cfm Outstanding Statistical Application Award], ASA, retrieved 31 March 2014.</ref>
*1993 Chartered Statistician, Royal Statistical Society{{Dubious|CS status only came in about 2002|date=March 2012}}
*1994 Guy Medal in Silver, Royal Statistical Society
*1994 Honorary Doctorate, [[Aalborg University]], Denmark
*[[List of Fellows of the Royal Society elected in 2005|2005 Elected a Fellow of the Royal Society (FRS)]]
*2006 Appointed [[Officer of the Order of the British Empire]] (OBE) in the [[2006 Birthday Honours|Queen's Birthday Honours]] for services to medical research<ref>UK list: {{London Gazette |date=17 June 2006 |issue=58014 |pages=13 |supp=1}}</ref>
*2006 Appointed Honorary Professor of Biostatistics at [[University of Cambridge]]
*2009 [[Weldon Memorial Prize|Weldon Memorial Prize and Medal]]<ref>{{cite web|url=http://isi-web.org/root/weldon-memorial-prize-and-medal |title=Weldon Memorial Prize and Medal – International Statistical Institute |access-date=15 September 2011 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110814215436/http://isi-web.org/root/weldon-memorial-prize-and-medal |archive-date=14 August 2011  }}</ref>
*2010 Honorary Doctorate of Science, [[Plymouth University]]
*2013 Honorary Doctorate of Science, [[University of Bath]]<ref>{{cite web | url=https://www.bath.ac.uk/corporate-information/honorary-graduates-2010-to-2019/ | title=Honorary graduates, 2010 to 2019 }}</ref>
*2013 Honorary Doctorate from [[Heriot-Watt University]]<ref>{{Cite web|url=http://www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/Dept/People/Spiegelhalter/davids.html|title=David Spiegelhalter's Personal Home Page|website=www.statslab.cam.ac.uk|access-date=29 March 2016|archive-date=1 January 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180101201226/http://www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/Dept/People/Spiegelhalter/davids.html|url-status=dead}}</ref>
*2014 [[Knight Bachelor|Knighted]] in the [[2014 Birthday Honours]] for services to statistics<ref>{{London Gazette |issue=60895 |date=14 June 2014 |page=b2 |supp=y}}</ref><ref>{{cite news|last1=Gallagher|first1=James|title=Prof Colin Blakemore: Medical research defender knighted|url=https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-27834406|work=BBC News|date=14 June 2014}}</ref>
*2016 Honorary Fellow [[Institute and Faculty of Actuaries]]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.actuaries.org.uk/news-and-insights/news/newly-elected-honorary-fellows-institute-and-faculty-actuaries|title=Newly elected Honorary Fellows of the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries}}</ref>
* 2020 [[Guy Medal]] in Gold, Royal Statistical Society<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.statslife.org.uk/news/4453-announcing-our-honours-recipients-for-2020|title=Announcing our honours recipients for 2020  }}</ref>
*2020 [[Royal Society of London Michael Faraday Prize|Michael Faraday Prize]] of the Royal Society<ref>{{cite web|url = https://www.maths.cam.ac.uk/features/david-spiegelhalter-wins-faraday-prize|title = David Spiegelhalter wins Faraday Prize}}</ref>
*2021 Honorary Fellow of the [[Market Research Society]]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.mrs.org.uk/article/anytype/mrs-celebrates-75th-anniversary-with-honorary-fellowships|title=MRS celebrates 75th anniversary with Honorary Fellowships}}</ref>
*2023 Honorary Doctorate, [[Athens University of Economics and Business]]<ref>{{cite web|url = https://www.aueb.gr/en/content/professor-sir-david-john-spiegelhalter-was-awarded-honorary-doctorate-athens-university|title = Professor Sir DAVID JOHN SPIEGELHALTER was awarded an Honorary Doctorate}}</ref>
*2023 Honorary Doctorate of Laws, Dundee University<ref>{{cite web | url=https://www.dundee.ac.uk/corporate-information/honorary-degrees | title=Honorary Degrees &#124; University of Dundee, UK }}</ref>

==Media appearances==
* ''[[Horizon (BBC TV series)|Horizon]] – To Infinity and Beyond'' (10 February 2010)
*''[https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b00wgq0l The Joy of Stats]'' (7 December 2010)  
*''[[Horizon (BBC TV series)|Horizon]] – [[List of Horizon episodes#Series 47: 2010–2011|What is One Degree?]]'' (10 January 2011) – Interviewed by [[Ben Miller]]  
*''[[Total Wipeout#Winter Wipeout episodes|Winter Wipeout]] -'' ''BBC One'' (17 December 2011)  
*''[https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/p00yh2rc Tails You Win: The Science of Chance]'' (18 October 2012)  
*''[[Horizon (BBC TV series)|Horizon]] – Should I Eat Meat? The Big Health Dilemma'' (18 August 2014)  
*''[[Through the Wormhole]]'' with [[Morgan Freeman]] (2014)
*''[https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/p02jsdrk Climate Change by Numbers]'' (2 March 2015)  
* ''[[Panorama (TV series)|Panorama]] – Why Are Gambling Machines Addictive?'' (12 September 2016)
*''[https://80000hours.org/podcast/episodes/prof-david-spiegelhalter-on-risk-statistics-and-improving-the-public-understanding-of-science/ The 80,000 Hours Podcast]'' – (21 June – 2017)
*''[https://socialsciencebites.libsyn.com/david-spiegelhalter-on-communicating-statistics Social Science Bites]'' – (2 April 2018)
*''[https://www.imdb.com/title/tt8924962/fullcredits The Infinite Monkey Cage: 100th Episode TV Special]'' – (13 July 2018)
* ''Risky Talk''; host of [https://wintoncentre.maths.cam.ac.uk/riskytalk-winton-centre-podcast-sir-david-spiegelhalter/ Risky Talk] the podcast (5 February 2020 – ongoing)
*[https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/m000q9gj ''Scientists in the Spotlight''] with Jim Al-Khalili. BBC Sounds (15 Dec 2020)
*[https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m0014644 Desert Island Discs], BBC Radio 4 (11 February 2022)

== Bibliography ==

* ''Sex by Numbers: What Statistics Can Tell Us About Sexual Behaviour'' (2015, Wellcome Collection)
* ''Teaching Probability'' (2016, Cambridge University Press) (with Jenny Gage)
* ''The Art of Statistics: Learning from Data'' (2019, Pelican)
* ''Covid by Numbers: Making Sense of the Pandemic with Data'' (2021, Pelican) (with Dr Anthony Masters)
* ''The Art of Uncertainty: Living with Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck'' (2024, Pelican)<ref>{{cite news |last1=Thompson |first1=Alexandra |title=Top statistician David Spiegelhalter on how to deal with uncertainty |url=https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg26335090-500-top-statistician-david-spiegelhalter-on-how-to-deal-with-uncertainty/ |access-date=22 September 2024 |publisher=New Scientist |date=18 September 2024}}</ref>

==References==
{{Reflist|30em}}

== External links ==
{{wikiquote}}

* [https://www.dpmms.cam.ac.uk/~ds28/ Homepage at Statistical Laboratory, Cambridge]

{{FRS 2005}}
{{Guy Medal}}
{{Royal Statistical Society presidents}}{{Authority control}}

{{DEFAULTSORT:Spiegelhalter, David}}
[[Category:1953 births]]
[[Category:Living people]]
[[Category:English statisticians]]
[[Category:Fellows of the Royal Society]]
[[Category:Fellows of Churchill College, Cambridge]]
[[Category:Alumni of Keble College, Oxford]]
[[Category:Alumni of University College London]]
[[Category:Officers of the Order of the British Empire]]
[[Category:20th-century English mathematicians]]
[[Category:21st-century English mathematicians]]
[[Category:Cambridge mathematicians]]
[[Category:English people of German descent]]
[[Category:Knights Bachelor]]
[[Category:People educated at Barnstaple Grammar School]]
[[Category:Professors of the University of Cambridge]]
[[Category:British mathematical statisticians]]
[[Category:Computational statisticians]]