2008 Washington gubernatorial election
Template:Short description Script error: No such module "For". Template:Use American English Template:Use mdy dates Template:Infobox election Template:Elections in Washington (state) sidebar The 2008 gubernatorial election in Washington was held on November 4, 2008. Republican Dino Rossi and incumbent Democratic Governor Christine Gregoire emerged from the August 19 primary. This made the 2008 election a rematch between the candidates from the 2004 election, the closest gubernatorial election in the state's history. In contrast to the recounts and months of legal challenges in their previous contest, Gregoire was the clear winner on November 5 with about 53% of the vote. With a margin of 6.48%, this election was the second-closest race of the 2008 gubernatorial election cycle, behind only the election in North Carolina.
Timeline
| Date | Year | Event | Reference | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 6 | 2008 | Filing deadline | [1] | |
| August 19 | 2008 | State primary | [2] | Same date as general primaries for other offices |
| November 4 | 2008 | General election | [2] | Same date as presidential election and other offices |
| November 26 | 2008 | General election | [2] | Last day for counties to deliver results to the state |
| December 4 | 2008 | General election | [2] | Results certified |
Primary election
| Candidate | Stated party preference | Website | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Gregoire | Prefers Democratic Party | [1] | Incumbent governor |
| Dino Rossi | Prefers G.O.P. Party | [2] | Ex-state senator, 2004 gubernatorial nominee |
| Will Baker | Prefers Reform Party | [3] | Out; lost primary |
| Duff Badgley | Prefers Green Party | [4] | Out; lost primary |
| John W. Aiken Jr. | Prefers Republican Party | [5] | Out; lost primary |
| Christian Pierre Joubert | Prefers Democratic Party | [6] | Out; lost primary |
| Chris Tudor | States No Party Preference | [7] | Out; lost primary |
| Javier O. Lopez | Prefers Republican Party | [8] | Out; lost primary |
| Mohammad Hasan Said | States No Party Preference | [9] | Out; lost primary |
| James White | Prefers Independent Party | [10] | Out; lost primary |
| Source: [4] | |||
The Washington primary election was held August 19, 2008. For the first time, Washington ran a top-two primary, eliminating the "pick a party" primary used since 2004. Unlike traditional primaries, wherein each party with more than one candidate is reduced to a single person to appear on the general election ballot, the system simply reduces the entire crop of candidates from all parties down to the top two candidates, resulting in no more than two candidates appearing on the general election ballot for a given position. As a result, candidates from all parties were essentially running against each other. To allow for ideological identification, each candidate in a partisan race was allowed to indicate an arbitrary party preference.[5]
Controversy over Rossi's party preference
Under the changes to election law made by the passage of Initiative 872, partisan contests are no longer tied to registered parties, but candidates are allowed to indicate an arbitrary "party preference" to appear next to their name on the primary and general election ballots.[6] An extreme example of this occurred in the 40th District race for state senator, where candidate Timothy Stoddard indicated a preference for the "Salmon Yoga" party.[7]
Republican candidate Dino Rossi listed his party preference as "G.O.P." instead of the traditional party name "Republican". Critics of Rossi contended that the choice of party name was an attempt to distance himself from any negative opinions associated with the Republican Party.[8] Rossi's campaign argued that the difference was insignificant, saying voters are already aware that the terms refer to the same party.[9] However, an Elway Research poll taken in August 2008 found that over 25% of registered voters were not aware that the term "GOP" meant the Republican Party.[10]
On September 23, the Washington State Democrats, alleging that the latter is a misrepresentation of his true party affiliation, filed a lawsuit against the Secretary of State to force the state to list Rossi to on the general election ballot as a Republican instead of with the "GOP Party" label.[11] A King County Superior Court judge dismissed the suit, saying nothing in state law made the choice of party name illegal, but he acknowledged the potential confusion. Had the lawsuit succeeded, many counties would have had to reprint their ballots, and the already-cast absentee votes of military personnel may have become invalid.[12]
Results
While the primary was officially held on August 19, 2008, some counties such as King County allowed absentee ballots to be postmarked by that date in order to be valid. As a result, the primary vote tally was not officially certified until September 9, to allow time for mailed-in ballots to arrive and be counted by the counties. As an increasing number of counties allowed, encouraged, or mandated mail-in ballots for voters within the county, the number of such ballots was significant.[13]
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General election
Christine Gregoire and Dino Rossi were declared the winners of the primary and placed on the ballot for the November 4 election, which coincided with the national election. However, with all Washington counties either exclusively or (in the case of Pierce and King counties) predominantly voting via mail-in ballot,[14] many votes were cast prior to that date. King County, the largest county in the state, and the one which carried Gregoire to victory in 2004, sent out overseas absentee ballots on October 5, and resident mail-in ballots on October 17.[15]
In Washington state, mail-in ballots only needed to be postmarked, not received, by November 4, meaning that valid ballots continued to be received and counted after that date.[16] For the 2008 election, counties had until November 26 to send results to the state, and the Secretary of State had until December 4 to certify all state results.[2]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[17] | Template:USRaceRating | October 16, 2008 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[18] | Template:USRaceRating | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[19] | Template:USRaceRating | November 3, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[20] | Template:USRaceRating | November 4, 2008 |
Polling
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Christine Gregoire (D) |
Dino Rossi (R) |
Other/Undecided Template:Efn |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Clear Politics[21] | October 22 – November 2, 2008 | November 2, 2008 | style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|50.7% | 47.3% | 2.0% | style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading"|Gregoire +3.4% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Christine Gregoire (D) |
Dino Rossi (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Survey USA[22] | October 30-November 2, 2008 | – | – | style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" align="center" | 52% | 46% | 2% |
| Survey USA[23] | October 26–27, 2008 | – | – | style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 50% | 48% | 2% |
| Rasmussen Reports[24] | October 22, 2008 | – | – | style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 50% | 48% | 2% |
| Survey USA[25] | October 12–13, 2008 | – | – | style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 48% | 47% | 5% |
| Rasmussen Reports[24] | October 2, 2008 | – | – | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Survey USA[26] | September 21–22, 2008 | – | – | style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 50% | 48% | 2% |
| Strategic Vision[27] | September 14–16, 2008 | 800 | ± 3.0% | 46% | style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 48% | 6% |
| Rasmussen Reports[24] | September 10, 2008 | – | – | 46% | style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 52% | 2% |
| Survey USA[28] | September 5–7, 2008 | – | – | 47% | style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 48% | 5% |
| SurveyUSA[29] | August 11–12, 2008 | 718 | ± 3.7% | style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 50% | 48% | 2% |
| Rasmussen Reports[30] | August 6, 2008 | – | – | style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 47% | 43% | 10% |
| Strategic Vision[31] | July 25–27, 2008 | 800 | ± 3.0% | style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 47% | 45% | 8% |
| SurveyUSA[32] | July 13–15, 2008 | 666 | ± 3.9% | style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 49% | 46% | 5% |
| Moore Information[33] | July 9–10, 2008 | 400 | ± 5.0% | 45% | 45% | 11% |
| Rasmussen Reports[24] | July 9, 2008 | – | – | style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 49% | 43% | 8% |
| Elway Poll[34] | June 18–22, 2008 | 405 | ± 5.0% | style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 47% | 39% | 14% |
| Rasmussen Reports[35] | June 9, 2008 | – | – | style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 50% | 43% | 7% |
| SurveyUSA[36] | June 9, 2008 | 637 | ± 4.0% | style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 50% | 47% | 3% |
| Rasmussen Reports[37] | May 12, 2008 | – | – | style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 52% | 41% | 7% |
| Elway Poll[38] | April 21–22, 2008 | 405 | ± 5.0% | style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 43% | 38% | 19% |
| SurveyUSA[39] | April 14–16, 2008 | 634 | ± 4.0% | style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 50% | 46% | 4% |
| SurveyUSA[40] | April 7, 2008 | 607 | ± 4.1% | style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 48% | 47% | 5% |
| Rasmussen Reports[41] | March 27, 2008 | – | – | style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 47% | 46% | 7% |
| Rasmussen Reports[42] | February 28, 2008 | – | – | 46% | style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 47% | 7% |
| Washington Poll[43] | February 7–18, 2008 | 300 | ± 5.6% | style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 54% | 42% | 4% |
| Elway Poll[44] | January 3–6, 2008 | 405 | – | style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 48% | 35% | 17% |
| Washington Poll[45] | October 22–29, 2007 | 601 | ± 4.0% | style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 47% | 42% | 11% |
| Strategic Vision[46] | October 5–7, 2007 | 800 | ± 3.0% | style="color:black;background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 47% | 45% | 8% |
| Strategic Vision[47] | March 24–26, 2006 | 800 | ± 3.0% | 38% | style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/shading" align=center| 51% | 11% |
Police Guild press conference incident
At an August 7 press conference held by the Seattle Police Officers Guild to declare its endorsement of Rossi, the Guild forcibly removed Kelly Akers, a Gregoire campaign staffer who was filming the event, from the premises. The Rossi campaign reiterated a standing policy to prevent opposing campaigns from filming Rossi's appearances, to deny them the ability to take "attack footage." Rossi's campaign staff includes a cameraman tasked with filming Gregoire appearances.[48]
Debates
Five debates were held[49] between Gregoire and Rossi, the candidates in the general election.
| Date | Time | Location | Sponsors |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2008-09-20 | 9:00 PM | Fisher Plaza (Seattle) | Fisher Communications, League of Women Voters, Seattle Post-Intelligencer |
| 2008-09-25 | 7:30 PM | Semiahmoo Resort (Blaine) | Association of Washington Business Complete video of debate - C-SPAN |
| 2008-10-01 | 7:00 PM | Capitol Theatre (Yakima) | KCTS 9, Yakima Herald-Republic |
| 2008-10-09 | 7:00 PM*[50] | KSPS-TV Studios (Spokane) | KSPS-TV, Spokane Spokesman-Review[51] |
| 2008-10-15 | 8:00 PM[52] | TBD | KING-TV, Seattle Times, NPR |
*The Spokane debate was taped in the morning to be aired at the indicated time. All other debates were held and aired live.
The Gregoire campaign had sought a sixth debate in Tacoma, sponsored by the Tacoma News-Tribune. The Rossi campaign instead sought a sixth debate in Vancouver, Washington, sponsored by The Columbian. The local Camas-Washougal Rotary Club went so far as to reserve a venue for October 8. The campaigns could not agree on either event.[53][54][55][56]
The Gregoire campaign had set aside August 15 for a pre-primary radio debate with Rossi on Seattle NPR station KUOW-FM.[57] Rossi declined to appear, giving Gregoire solo airtime.[58]
Results
Gregoire declared victory after late evening returns were posted, with 42% of the statewide vote counted, showing her with a 52% lead over Rossi.[59] By 10:30 PM PST (1:30 AM EST) all five major television networks had called the race for Gregoire.[60] The Rossi campaign called the networks' declarations "premature" and did not concede defeat that evening. Rossi held out hope that late ballots would carry him, as late returns had reversed an early Gregoire lead in 2004. Rossi conceded the next morning.
Rossi conceded defeat in the gubernatorial election on November 5. In his concession speech, he indicated that he was not planning a return to politics.[61] Rossi's retirement from politics was short-lived: in 2010 he ran in (and lost) the race for United States Senate against Patty Murray.
Template:Election box winning candidate with party link| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | <templatestyles src="Template:Tooltip/styles.css" />±%Script error: No such module "Check for unknown parameters". | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Script error: No such module "Political party". | Dino Rossi | 1,404,124 | 46.76% | Script error: No such module "String". | |
| Majority | 194,614 | 6.48% | Script error: No such module "String". | ||
| Total votes | 3,002,862 | 100.00% | |||
| Script error: No such module "Political party". hold | Swing | +6.48% | |||
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By county
- Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Island (largest city: Oak Harbor)
- Kitsap (largest city: Bremerton)
- Pierce (largest city: Tacoma)
- Skagit (largest city: Mount Vernon)
- Snohomish (largest city: Everett)
- Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
By congressional district
Gregoire won 5 of 9 congressional districts, with the remaining 4 going to Rossi, including one that elected a Democrat.[64]
Notes
References
External links
- Elections from the Washington Secretary of State
- Washington Governor candidates at Project Vote Smart
- Washington Governor race from 2008 Race Tracker
- Campaign contributionsTemplate:Dead link from Follow the Money
- Rossi (R) vs Gregoire (D-i) graph of collected poll results from Pollster.com
- Official campaign websites (Archived)
- Christine Gregoire, Democratic incumbent candidate
- Dino Rossi, Republican candidate
Template:Elections in Washington (state) footer Template:2008 United States elections
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- ↑ Strategic Vision
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- ↑ Rasmussen Reports
- ↑ Strategic Vision
- ↑ SurveyUSA
- ↑ Moore Information
- ↑ Elway Poll
- ↑ Rasmussen Reports
- ↑ SurveyUSA
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- ↑ Elway Poll
- ↑ SurveyUSA
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